South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality

This report reviews South Africa’s recent economic and social developments. It underlines that South Africa’s current economic rebound may not be sustained if the fundamental factors undermining its growth potential are not boldly addressed. This i...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Pretoria 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/368961522944196494/South-Africa-Economic-Update-jobs-and-inequality
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29677
id okr-10986-29677
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-296772021-06-14T10:09:25Z South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality World Bank ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK LABOR MARKET FISCAL TRENDS EXTERNAL TRADE JOB CREATION INEQUALITY POVERTY SKILLS INTENSITY SKILLS DEVELOPMENT SKILLED LABOR This report reviews South Africa’s recent economic and social developments. It underlines that South Africa’s current economic rebound may not be sustained if the fundamental factors undermining its growth potential are not boldly addressed. This includes in particular income inequality, which fuels resource contestation, policy uncertainty and scare private investors of seeing their investments overly taxed and expropriated. Nevertheless, inequalities are increasingly driven by labor markets developments, as opposed to race or location of origin. Policy actions could accelerate a projected decline in inequalities resulting from greater access to education. Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium, the report simulates a number of policy scenarios until 2030. Simulation results suggests that continuing to address corruption, restoring policy certainty in mining, improving the competitiveness of strategic state-owned enterprises, further exposing South Africa’s large conglomerates to foreign competition, and facilitating skilled immigration would raise labor demand and create the fiscal space needed to eventually build labor supply from the poor population through education and spatial integration reforms. By 2030, extreme poverty could be almost eradicated and inequalities significantly reduced. And as inequalities decline, the social contract would strengthen and likely encourage further private investment – a possibility not captured in the simulations. 2018-04-13T19:50:11Z 2018-04-13T19:50:11Z 2018-04-05 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/368961522944196494/South-Africa-Economic-Update-jobs-and-inequality http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29677 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Pretoria Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work Africa South Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
LABOR MARKET
FISCAL TRENDS
EXTERNAL TRADE
JOB CREATION
INEQUALITY
POVERTY
SKILLS INTENSITY
SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
SKILLED LABOR
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
LABOR MARKET
FISCAL TRENDS
EXTERNAL TRADE
JOB CREATION
INEQUALITY
POVERTY
SKILLS INTENSITY
SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
SKILLED LABOR
World Bank
South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality
geographic_facet Africa
South Africa
description This report reviews South Africa’s recent economic and social developments. It underlines that South Africa’s current economic rebound may not be sustained if the fundamental factors undermining its growth potential are not boldly addressed. This includes in particular income inequality, which fuels resource contestation, policy uncertainty and scare private investors of seeing their investments overly taxed and expropriated. Nevertheless, inequalities are increasingly driven by labor markets developments, as opposed to race or location of origin. Policy actions could accelerate a projected decline in inequalities resulting from greater access to education. Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium, the report simulates a number of policy scenarios until 2030. Simulation results suggests that continuing to address corruption, restoring policy certainty in mining, improving the competitiveness of strategic state-owned enterprises, further exposing South Africa’s large conglomerates to foreign competition, and facilitating skilled immigration would raise labor demand and create the fiscal space needed to eventually build labor supply from the poor population through education and spatial integration reforms. By 2030, extreme poverty could be almost eradicated and inequalities significantly reduced. And as inequalities decline, the social contract would strengthen and likely encourage further private investment – a possibility not captured in the simulations.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality
title_short South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality
title_full South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality
title_fullStr South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality
title_full_unstemmed South Africa Economic Update, No. 11 : Jobs and Inequality
title_sort south africa economic update, no. 11 : jobs and inequality
publisher World Bank, Pretoria
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/368961522944196494/South-Africa-Economic-Update-jobs-and-inequality
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29677
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