The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean

While adoption of new technologies is understood to enhance long-term growth and average per-capita incomes, its impact on lower-skilled workers is more complex and merits clarification. Concerns abound that advanced technologies developed in high-income countries would inexorably lead to job losses...

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Main Authors: Dutz, Mark A., Almeida, Rita K., Packard, Truman G.
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/242731523253230513/the-jobs-of-tomorrow-technology-productivity-and-prosperity-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29617
id okr-10986-29617
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-296172021-04-23T14:04:53Z The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean Dutz, Mark A. Almeida, Rita K. Packard, Truman G. TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION INCLUSIVE GROWTH DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES INTERNET PRODUCTIVITY JOBS SKILLS WAGE INEQUALITY LABOR DEMAND LABOR POLICIES LABOR REGULATION TASKS While adoption of new technologies is understood to enhance long-term growth and average per-capita incomes, its impact on lower-skilled workers is more complex and merits clarification. Concerns abound that advanced technologies developed in high-income countries would inexorably lead to job losses of lower-skilled, less well-off workers and exacerbate inequality. Conversely, there are countervailing concerns that policies intended to protect jobs from technology advancement would themselves stultify progress and depress productivity. This book squarely addresses both sets of concerns with new research showing that adoption of digital technologies offers a pathway to more inclusive growth by increasing adopting firms’ outputs, with the jobs-enhancing impact of technology adoption assisted by growth-enhancing policies that foster sizable output expansion. The research reported here demonstrates with economic theory and data from Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico that lower-skilled workers can benefit from adoption of productivity-enhancing technologies biased towards skilled workers, and often do. The inclusive jobs outcomes arise when the effects of increased productivity and expanding output overcome the substitution of workers for technology. While the substitution effect replaces some lower-skilled workers with new technology and more highly-skilled labor, the output effect can lead to an increase in the total number of jobs for less-skilled workers. Critically, output can increase sufficiently to increase jobs across all tasks and skill types within adopting firms, including jobs for lower-skilled workers, as long as lower-skilled task content remains complementary to new technologies and related occupations are not completely automated and replaced by machines. It is this channel for inclusive growth that underlies the power of pro-competitive enabling policies and institutions—such as regulations encouraging firms to compete and policies supporting the development of skills that technology augments rather than replaces—to ensure that the positive impact of technology adoption on productivity and lower-skilled workers is realized. 2018-04-03T20:35:03Z 2018-04-03T20:35:03Z 2018-04-10 Book https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/242731523253230513/the-jobs-of-tomorrow-technology-productivity-and-prosperity-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean 978-1-4648-1222-4 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29617 English Directions in Development; Directions in Development--Information and Communication Technology; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication Latin America & Caribbean Latin America Argentina Brazil China Colombia Mexico
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES
INTERNET
PRODUCTIVITY
JOBS
SKILLS
WAGE INEQUALITY
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR POLICIES
LABOR REGULATION
TASKS
spellingShingle TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES
INTERNET
PRODUCTIVITY
JOBS
SKILLS
WAGE INEQUALITY
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR POLICIES
LABOR REGULATION
TASKS
Dutz, Mark A.
Almeida, Rita K.
Packard, Truman G.
The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Latin America
Argentina
Brazil
China
Colombia
Mexico
relation Directions in Development;
description While adoption of new technologies is understood to enhance long-term growth and average per-capita incomes, its impact on lower-skilled workers is more complex and merits clarification. Concerns abound that advanced technologies developed in high-income countries would inexorably lead to job losses of lower-skilled, less well-off workers and exacerbate inequality. Conversely, there are countervailing concerns that policies intended to protect jobs from technology advancement would themselves stultify progress and depress productivity. This book squarely addresses both sets of concerns with new research showing that adoption of digital technologies offers a pathway to more inclusive growth by increasing adopting firms’ outputs, with the jobs-enhancing impact of technology adoption assisted by growth-enhancing policies that foster sizable output expansion. The research reported here demonstrates with economic theory and data from Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico that lower-skilled workers can benefit from adoption of productivity-enhancing technologies biased towards skilled workers, and often do. The inclusive jobs outcomes arise when the effects of increased productivity and expanding output overcome the substitution of workers for technology. While the substitution effect replaces some lower-skilled workers with new technology and more highly-skilled labor, the output effect can lead to an increase in the total number of jobs for less-skilled workers. Critically, output can increase sufficiently to increase jobs across all tasks and skill types within adopting firms, including jobs for lower-skilled workers, as long as lower-skilled task content remains complementary to new technologies and related occupations are not completely automated and replaced by machines. It is this channel for inclusive growth that underlies the power of pro-competitive enabling policies and institutions—such as regulations encouraging firms to compete and policies supporting the development of skills that technology augments rather than replaces—to ensure that the positive impact of technology adoption on productivity and lower-skilled workers is realized.
format Book
author Dutz, Mark A.
Almeida, Rita K.
Packard, Truman G.
author_facet Dutz, Mark A.
Almeida, Rita K.
Packard, Truman G.
author_sort Dutz, Mark A.
title The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean
title_short The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean
title_full The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean
title_fullStr The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean
title_full_unstemmed The Jobs of Tomorrow : Technology, Productivity, and Prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean
title_sort jobs of tomorrow : technology, productivity, and prosperity in latin america and the caribbean
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2018
url https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/242731523253230513/the-jobs-of-tomorrow-technology-productivity-and-prosperity-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29617
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