Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods

Drylands account for three-quarters of Sub-Saharan Africa's cropland, two-thirds of cereal production, and four-fifths of livestock holdings. Today frequent and severe shocks, especially droughts, limit the livelihood opportunities available to millions of households and undermine efforts to er...

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Main Authors: Carfagna, Federica, Cervigni, Raffaello
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29597
id okr-10986-29597
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-295972021-04-23T14:04:53Z Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods Carfagna, Federica Cervigni, Raffaello Carfagna, Federica Cervigni, Raffaello Fallavier, Pierre DRYLANDS RESILIENCE AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK DROUGHT IRRIGATION ADAPTION AGROFORESTRY SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT FARMING SOCIAL PROTECTION AFRICA Drylands account for three-quarters of Sub-Saharan Africa's cropland, two-thirds of cereal production, and four-fifths of livestock holdings. Today frequent and severe shocks, especially droughts, limit the livelihood opportunities available to millions of households and undermine efforts to eradicate poverty in the drylands. Prospects for sustainable development of drylands are assessed in this book through the lens of resilience, understood here to mean the ability of people to withstand and respond to droughts and other shocks. An original model was developed expressly to consistently and coherently evaluate different type of interventions on the ground, which provided a common framework to anticipate the scale of the challenges likely to arise in drylands, as well as to generate insights into opportunities for addressing those challenges. Such modeling framework consisted in a) estimating the baseline vulnerability profiles of people living in drylands (2010), b) estimate the evolution of vulnerability by 2030 under a range of assumptions, c) calculated the number of people affectedby drought in the different administrative units of each country, and d) evaluate different types of interventions in agriculture and livestock for mitigating drought impact by calculating the potential for reducing the number of people affected for each scenario and conducting a simplified · benefit/cost (B/C) analysis for each type of intervention. For livestock, simulation models were used to estimate the impacts of feed balances, livestock production, and household income resilience interventions under different climate scenarios). For agriculture, the DSSAT (Decision Support System for·Agrotechnology Transfer) framework was used to assess the potential impact on yields likely to result from adoption of five crop farming technologies: (1) drought-tolerant varieties, (2) heat-tolerant varieties, (3) additional fertilizer, (4) agroforestry practices, (S) irrigation (6) water-harvesting techniques and selected combinations thereof. 2018-04-02T21:19:33Z 2018-04-02T21:19:33Z 2018-04-02 Book 978-1-4648-1226-2 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29597 English World Bank Studies; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication Africa East Africa Sub-Saharan Africa West Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic DRYLANDS
RESILIENCE
AGRICULTURE
LIVESTOCK
DROUGHT
IRRIGATION
ADAPTION
AGROFORESTRY
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
FARMING
SOCIAL PROTECTION
AFRICA
spellingShingle DRYLANDS
RESILIENCE
AGRICULTURE
LIVESTOCK
DROUGHT
IRRIGATION
ADAPTION
AGROFORESTRY
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
FARMING
SOCIAL PROTECTION
AFRICA
Carfagna, Federica
Cervigni, Raffaello
Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods
geographic_facet Africa
East Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
West Africa
relation World Bank Studies;
description Drylands account for three-quarters of Sub-Saharan Africa's cropland, two-thirds of cereal production, and four-fifths of livestock holdings. Today frequent and severe shocks, especially droughts, limit the livelihood opportunities available to millions of households and undermine efforts to eradicate poverty in the drylands. Prospects for sustainable development of drylands are assessed in this book through the lens of resilience, understood here to mean the ability of people to withstand and respond to droughts and other shocks. An original model was developed expressly to consistently and coherently evaluate different type of interventions on the ground, which provided a common framework to anticipate the scale of the challenges likely to arise in drylands, as well as to generate insights into opportunities for addressing those challenges. Such modeling framework consisted in a) estimating the baseline vulnerability profiles of people living in drylands (2010), b) estimate the evolution of vulnerability by 2030 under a range of assumptions, c) calculated the number of people affectedby drought in the different administrative units of each country, and d) evaluate different types of interventions in agriculture and livestock for mitigating drought impact by calculating the potential for reducing the number of people affected for each scenario and conducting a simplified · benefit/cost (B/C) analysis for each type of intervention. For livestock, simulation models were used to estimate the impacts of feed balances, livestock production, and household income resilience interventions under different climate scenarios). For agriculture, the DSSAT (Decision Support System for·Agrotechnology Transfer) framework was used to assess the potential impact on yields likely to result from adoption of five crop farming technologies: (1) drought-tolerant varieties, (2) heat-tolerant varieties, (3) additional fertilizer, (4) agroforestry practices, (S) irrigation (6) water-harvesting techniques and selected combinations thereof.
author2 Carfagna, Federica
author_facet Carfagna, Federica
Carfagna, Federica
Cervigni, Raffaello
format Book
author Carfagna, Federica
Cervigni, Raffaello
author_sort Carfagna, Federica
title Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods
title_short Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods
title_full Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods
title_fullStr Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods
title_full_unstemmed Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands : Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop- and Livestock-Based Livelihoods
title_sort mitigating drought impacts in drylands : quantifying the potential for strengthening crop- and livestock-based livelihoods
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2018
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29597
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