Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses

The Kyrgyz economy appears to have recovered from the 2014-2015 external shocks. Over the first nine months of 2017, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded by five percent, year-on-year, thanks to improvements in the external environment and a...

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Main Authors: Dubashov, Bakyt, Kruse, Aurélien, Ismailakhunova, Saida
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/727401517229479407/Economic-update-with-a-special-focus-on-labor-migration
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29261
id okr-10986-29261
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-292612021-05-25T09:10:43Z Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses Dubashov, Bakyt Kruse, Aurélien Ismailakhunova, Saida MACROECONOMICS TRADE FISCAL TRENDS MONETARY POLICY EXCHANGE RATES POVERTY REDUCTION ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK MIGRATION REMITTANCES DUTCH DISEASE The Kyrgyz economy appears to have recovered from the 2014-2015 external shocks. Over the first nine months of 2017, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded by five percent, year-on-year, thanks to improvements in the external environment and a continued expansionary fiscal policy, which were mirrored by a strong gold production and a strengthening in domestic demand. The Kyrgyz economy performed robustly over 2017. Macroeconomic policies were supportive to growth, but the fiscal stance has deteriorated significantly and inflation has tilted upwards. Growth is estimated to have decelerated toward the end of 2017, and expected to pick up in 2018. The economy is expected to remain dependent on remittances. Private inflows will continue to support household incomes and boost domestic demand, but they also come with challenges. The first part of this Economic update analyzes recent macroeconomic trends and presents an assessment of the country’s short- and medium-term outlook. The Special Focus section discusses recent trends in labor migration and the implications of remittance dependence for macroeconomic policies. 2018-01-30T17:54:09Z 2018-01-30T17:54:09Z 2017-12 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/727401517229479407/Economic-update-with-a-special-focus-on-labor-migration http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29261 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work Europe and Central Asia Kyrgyz Republic
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic MACROECONOMICS
TRADE
FISCAL TRENDS
MONETARY POLICY
EXCHANGE RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
MIGRATION
REMITTANCES
DUTCH DISEASE
spellingShingle MACROECONOMICS
TRADE
FISCAL TRENDS
MONETARY POLICY
EXCHANGE RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
MIGRATION
REMITTANCES
DUTCH DISEASE
Dubashov, Bakyt
Kruse, Aurélien
Ismailakhunova, Saida
Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Kyrgyz Republic
description The Kyrgyz economy appears to have recovered from the 2014-2015 external shocks. Over the first nine months of 2017, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded by five percent, year-on-year, thanks to improvements in the external environment and a continued expansionary fiscal policy, which were mirrored by a strong gold production and a strengthening in domestic demand. The Kyrgyz economy performed robustly over 2017. Macroeconomic policies were supportive to growth, but the fiscal stance has deteriorated significantly and inflation has tilted upwards. Growth is estimated to have decelerated toward the end of 2017, and expected to pick up in 2018. The economy is expected to remain dependent on remittances. Private inflows will continue to support household incomes and boost domestic demand, but they also come with challenges. The first part of this Economic update analyzes recent macroeconomic trends and presents an assessment of the country’s short- and medium-term outlook. The Special Focus section discusses recent trends in labor migration and the implications of remittance dependence for macroeconomic policies.
format Report
author Dubashov, Bakyt
Kruse, Aurélien
Ismailakhunova, Saida
author_facet Dubashov, Bakyt
Kruse, Aurélien
Ismailakhunova, Saida
author_sort Dubashov, Bakyt
title Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses
title_short Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses
title_full Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses
title_fullStr Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses
title_full_unstemmed Kyrgyz Republic Economic Update No. 6, Fall/Winter 2017 : A Robust Recovery with Underlying Weaknesses
title_sort kyrgyz republic economic update no. 6, fall/winter 2017 : a robust recovery with underlying weaknesses
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/727401517229479407/Economic-update-with-a-special-focus-on-labor-migration
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29261
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