Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy

Ethiopia has experienced an impressive growth acceleration over the past decade. This was achieved on the back of an economic strategy emphasizing public infrastructure investment supported by heterodox macro-financial policies. This paper identifies the drivers of Ethiopia’s recent growth episode a...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Moller, Lars Christian, Wacker, Konstantin M.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29224
id okr-10986-29224
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-292242021-05-25T10:54:43Z Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy Moller, Lars Christian Wacker, Konstantin M. ECONOMIC GROWTH DETERMINANTS OF GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICY INFRASTRUCTURE MACROECONOMIC POLICY HETERODOXY Ethiopia has experienced an impressive growth acceleration over the past decade. This was achieved on the back of an economic strategy emphasizing public infrastructure investment supported by heterodox macro-financial policies. This paper identifies the drivers of Ethiopia’s recent growth episode and examines the extent to which they were typical or unique. It combines country-specific information with the results of a cross-country panel regression model. We find that Ethiopia’s growth is explained well by factors correlating with growth in a broad range of countries in recent decades, including public infrastructure investment, restrained government consumption, and a conducive external environment. On the other hand, we argue that the policy mix that supported very high levels of public investment in Ethiopia was, to some extent, unique. Interestingly, macroeconomic imbalances due to this heterodox policy mix only moderately held back growth which helps explain why Ethiopia was able to grow so fast in spite of their presence: their negative effects were quantitatively much less important than the positive growth drivers they helped to achieve. The results suggest that “getting infrastructure right” may outweigh moderate shortcoming in the macro framework at early stages of development. We further relate this country-specific finding to the recent growth literature. 2018-01-23T19:59:15Z 2018-01-23T19:59:15Z 2017-08 Journal Article World Development 0305-750X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29224 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Elsevier Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research Africa Ethiopia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
DETERMINANTS OF GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
INFRASTRUCTURE
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
HETERODOXY
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
DETERMINANTS OF GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
INFRASTRUCTURE
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
HETERODOXY
Moller, Lars Christian
Wacker, Konstantin M.
Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy
geographic_facet Africa
Ethiopia
description Ethiopia has experienced an impressive growth acceleration over the past decade. This was achieved on the back of an economic strategy emphasizing public infrastructure investment supported by heterodox macro-financial policies. This paper identifies the drivers of Ethiopia’s recent growth episode and examines the extent to which they were typical or unique. It combines country-specific information with the results of a cross-country panel regression model. We find that Ethiopia’s growth is explained well by factors correlating with growth in a broad range of countries in recent decades, including public infrastructure investment, restrained government consumption, and a conducive external environment. On the other hand, we argue that the policy mix that supported very high levels of public investment in Ethiopia was, to some extent, unique. Interestingly, macroeconomic imbalances due to this heterodox policy mix only moderately held back growth which helps explain why Ethiopia was able to grow so fast in spite of their presence: their negative effects were quantitatively much less important than the positive growth drivers they helped to achieve. The results suggest that “getting infrastructure right” may outweigh moderate shortcoming in the macro framework at early stages of development. We further relate this country-specific finding to the recent growth literature.
format Journal Article
author Moller, Lars Christian
Wacker, Konstantin M.
author_facet Moller, Lars Christian
Wacker, Konstantin M.
author_sort Moller, Lars Christian
title Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy
title_short Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy
title_full Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy
title_fullStr Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy
title_full_unstemmed Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy
title_sort explaining ethiopia’s growth acceleration—the role of infrastructure and macroeconomic policy
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2018
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29224
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