How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing

Accurately measuring oil production in low-governance contexts is an important task. Many terrorist organizations and insurgencies -- including the Islamic State group, also known as ISIL/ISIS or Daesh -- tap oil as a revenue source. Understanding...

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Main Authors: Do, Quy-Toan, Shapiro, Jacob N., Elvidge, Christopher D., Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed, Ahn, Daniel P., Baugh, Kimberly, Hansen-Lewis, Jamie, Zhizhin, Mikhail
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/239611509455488520/How-much-oil-is-the-Islamic-state-group-producing-evidence-from-remote-sensing
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28617
id okr-10986-28617
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-286172021-06-08T14:42:45Z How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing Do, Quy-Toan Shapiro, Jacob N. Elvidge, Christopher D. Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed Ahn, Daniel P. Baugh, Kimberly Hansen-Lewis, Jamie Zhizhin, Mikhail OIL REMOTE SENSING FLARING ISLAMIC STATE OIL PRODUCTION OIL REVENUE ISIL ISIS DAESH Accurately measuring oil production in low-governance contexts is an important task. Many terrorist organizations and insurgencies -- including the Islamic State group, also known as ISIL/ISIS or Daesh -- tap oil as a revenue source. Understanding spatial and temporal variation in production in their territory can help address such threats by providing near real-time monitoring of their revenue streams, helping to assess long-term economic potential, and informing reconstruction strategies. More broadly, remotely measuring extractive industry activity in conflict-affected areas and other regions without reliable administrative data can support a broad range of public policy decisions and academic research. This paper uses satellite multi-spectral imaging and ground-truth pre-war output data to effectively construct a real-time day-to-day census of oil production in areas controlled by the terrorist group. The estimates of production levels were approximately 56,000 barrels per day (bpd) from July-December 2014, drop to an average of 35,000 bpd throughout 2015, before dropping further to approximately 16,000 bpd in 2016. 2017-11-01T17:16:10Z 2017-11-01T17:16:10Z 2017-10 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/239611509455488520/How-much-oil-is-the-Islamic-state-group-producing-evidence-from-remote-sensing http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28617 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8231 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Middle East and North Africa Iraq Syrian Arab Republic
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic OIL
REMOTE SENSING
FLARING
ISLAMIC STATE
OIL PRODUCTION
OIL REVENUE
ISIL
ISIS
DAESH
spellingShingle OIL
REMOTE SENSING
FLARING
ISLAMIC STATE
OIL PRODUCTION
OIL REVENUE
ISIL
ISIS
DAESH
Do, Quy-Toan
Shapiro, Jacob N.
Elvidge, Christopher D.
Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed
Ahn, Daniel P.
Baugh, Kimberly
Hansen-Lewis, Jamie
Zhizhin, Mikhail
How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Iraq
Syrian Arab Republic
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8231
description Accurately measuring oil production in low-governance contexts is an important task. Many terrorist organizations and insurgencies -- including the Islamic State group, also known as ISIL/ISIS or Daesh -- tap oil as a revenue source. Understanding spatial and temporal variation in production in their territory can help address such threats by providing near real-time monitoring of their revenue streams, helping to assess long-term economic potential, and informing reconstruction strategies. More broadly, remotely measuring extractive industry activity in conflict-affected areas and other regions without reliable administrative data can support a broad range of public policy decisions and academic research. This paper uses satellite multi-spectral imaging and ground-truth pre-war output data to effectively construct a real-time day-to-day census of oil production in areas controlled by the terrorist group. The estimates of production levels were approximately 56,000 barrels per day (bpd) from July-December 2014, drop to an average of 35,000 bpd throughout 2015, before dropping further to approximately 16,000 bpd in 2016.
format Working Paper
author Do, Quy-Toan
Shapiro, Jacob N.
Elvidge, Christopher D.
Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed
Ahn, Daniel P.
Baugh, Kimberly
Hansen-Lewis, Jamie
Zhizhin, Mikhail
author_facet Do, Quy-Toan
Shapiro, Jacob N.
Elvidge, Christopher D.
Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed
Ahn, Daniel P.
Baugh, Kimberly
Hansen-Lewis, Jamie
Zhizhin, Mikhail
author_sort Do, Quy-Toan
title How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing
title_short How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing
title_full How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing
title_fullStr How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing
title_full_unstemmed How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing
title_sort how much oil is the islamic state group producing? : evidence from remote sensing
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/239611509455488520/How-much-oil-is-the-Islamic-state-group-producing-evidence-from-remote-sensing
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28617
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