Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report

This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Country Economic Memorandum
Language:English
Published: World Bank 2012
Subjects:
OIL
TAX
WTO
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302093229
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2830
id okr-10986-2830
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ADVANCED ECONOMIES
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ASSET MANAGEMENT
ASSETS
AUCTIONS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANKING SECTORS
BASIC METALS
BILATERAL TRADE
BILATERAL TRADE DATA
BUFFER
CADASTRE
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
COMPETITION POLICY
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER PROTECTION
COST ANALYSIS
CREDIT BOOM
CREDIT FLOWS
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDITORS
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEBT RELIEF
DEFICITS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC SAVING
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC STRUCTURE
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENVIRONMENTS
EXPANSION OF EXPORTS
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT CAPACITY
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT GROWTH RATE
EXPORT GROWTH RATES
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SHARES
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL POSITION
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FISH
FIXED COSTS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN MARKETS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL INTEREST
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMBALANCES
IMPORT
IMPORTS
INCOME GROWTH
INCREASING RETURNS
INFLATION
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INVENTORY
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT CLIMATES
INVESTMENT DEMAND
INVESTMENT RATES
INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS
ISSUANCE
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LAND POLICY
LAND USE
LEVEL OF INVESTMENT
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY PROBLEM
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL BUSINESS
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MARKET ECONOMY
METALS
MONETARY CONDITIONS
MONETARY POLICY
NATIONAL BANK
NATIONAL BANKS
NET EXPORTS
NONPAYMENT
OIL
OPPORTUNITY COST
POLICY MAKERS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
POVERTY LEVELS
PRICE INCREASES
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRIVATE DEBT
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT
PRODUCTION PROCESSES
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PROPERTY VALUES
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC EXTERNAL DEBT
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SPENDING
QUALITY STANDARDS
RAPID GROWTH
RATE OF GROWTH
RATES FOR EXPORTS
REAL APPRECIATION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
RECESSION
REGIONAL MARKETS
REGIONAL TRADE ARRANGEMENTS
REGULATORY BARRIERS
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REGULATORY REFORM
RELATIVE PRICES
RETURN
SAFETY NET
SCALE EFFECT
SECTOR REFORM
STABLE GROWTH
STRUCTURAL REFORMS
SUPPLY SIDE
SURPLUS
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TARIFF BARRIERS
TARIFF POLICY
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX RATES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL EXPORTS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE BALANCES
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE FACILITATION
TRADE INTEGRATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE PERFORMANCE
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REGIME
TRADE RELATIONS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNERS
TRANSITION COUNTRIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
TREATY
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
VALUATION
VALUATION SYSTEM
VALUE ADDED
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD TRADE
WTO
spellingShingle ADVANCED ECONOMIES
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ASSET MANAGEMENT
ASSETS
AUCTIONS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANKING SECTORS
BASIC METALS
BILATERAL TRADE
BILATERAL TRADE DATA
BUFFER
CADASTRE
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
COMPETITION POLICY
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER PROTECTION
COST ANALYSIS
CREDIT BOOM
CREDIT FLOWS
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDITORS
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEBT RELIEF
DEFICITS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC SAVING
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC STRUCTURE
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENVIRONMENTS
EXPANSION OF EXPORTS
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT CAPACITY
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT GROWTH RATE
EXPORT GROWTH RATES
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SHARES
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL POSITION
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FISH
FIXED COSTS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN MARKETS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL INTEREST
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMBALANCES
IMPORT
IMPORTS
INCOME GROWTH
INCREASING RETURNS
INFLATION
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INVENTORY
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT CLIMATES
INVESTMENT DEMAND
INVESTMENT RATES
INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS
ISSUANCE
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LAND POLICY
LAND USE
LEVEL OF INVESTMENT
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY PROBLEM
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL BUSINESS
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MARKET ECONOMY
METALS
MONETARY CONDITIONS
MONETARY POLICY
NATIONAL BANK
NATIONAL BANKS
NET EXPORTS
NONPAYMENT
OIL
OPPORTUNITY COST
POLICY MAKERS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
POVERTY LEVELS
PRICE INCREASES
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRIVATE DEBT
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT
PRODUCTION PROCESSES
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PROPERTY VALUES
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC EXTERNAL DEBT
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SPENDING
QUALITY STANDARDS
RAPID GROWTH
RATE OF GROWTH
RATES FOR EXPORTS
REAL APPRECIATION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
RECESSION
REGIONAL MARKETS
REGIONAL TRADE ARRANGEMENTS
REGULATORY BARRIERS
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REGULATORY REFORM
RELATIVE PRICES
RETURN
SAFETY NET
SCALE EFFECT
SECTOR REFORM
STABLE GROWTH
STRUCTURAL REFORMS
SUPPLY SIDE
SURPLUS
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TARIFF BARRIERS
TARIFF POLICY
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX RATES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL EXPORTS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE BALANCES
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE FACILITATION
TRADE INTEGRATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE PERFORMANCE
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REGIME
TRADE RELATIONS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNERS
TRANSITION COUNTRIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
TREATY
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
VALUATION
VALUATION SYSTEM
VALUE ADDED
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD TRADE
WTO
World Bank
Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Europe
Serbia
description This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets. The past model relying on excessive inflows of capital and credit that, in part, fuelled a consumption boom has run its course in all European countries. Serbia must shift to a greater export orientation so that it can attain the major gains in productivity and competitiveness necessary to propel economic growth to a much higher trajectory. This cannot happen without an explicit export strategy, and a set of concomitant structural reforms, driven by commitment and coordination at the highest political level. This report tries to pinpoint policy actions that would be most effective in raising the rate of productivity growth of Serbia s enterprises so that better export performance and sustained growth could be achieved. The report has three parts. Part I reviews Serbia s macroeconomic situation and its progress on structural reforms. Part II starts with a review of the current status of Serbia s exports and trade policy and regional trade arrangements. It then uses product space (PS) analysis to examine areas where Serbia has a revealed or potential comparative advantage. The report then moves on to two such areas, metal processing and automobile production, which are subjected to value chain analysis to identify bottlenecks that need to be removed for Serbia to become a successful producer and exporter in these areas. The final part of the report looks at obstacles to more rapid and sustainable development of production and exports. It starts with the analysis of the business environment, based on a range of surveys, which is followed by four sectoral chapters that discuss the obstacles found to be most binding in the business environment: labor skills, power supply and efficiency of its use, use of land, and trade facilitation.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report
title_short Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report
title_full Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report
title_fullStr Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report
title_full_unstemmed Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report
title_sort serbia - country economic memorandum : the road to prosperity - productivity and exports, volume 2. main report
publisher World Bank
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302093229
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2830
_version_ 1764386019683074048
spelling okr-10986-28302021-04-23T14:02:04Z Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report World Bank ADVANCED ECONOMIES ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE DEMAND AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ASSET MANAGEMENT ASSETS AUCTIONS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BANKING SECTORS BASIC METALS BILATERAL TRADE BILATERAL TRADE DATA BUFFER CADASTRE CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITION POLICY COMPETITIVENESS CONSOLIDATION CONSUMER PROTECTION COST ANALYSIS CREDIT BOOM CREDIT FLOWS CREDIT GROWTH CREDITORS CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEBT RELIEF DEFICITS DEREGULATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION DOMESTIC DEMAND DOMESTIC SAVING ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC CRISIS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT ECONOMIC EXPANSION ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC STRUCTURE ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENVIRONMENTS EXPANSION OF EXPORTS EXPENDITURES EXPORT CAPACITY EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT GROWTH RATE EXPORT GROWTH RATES EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT SHARES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL FINANCING EXTERNAL POSITION FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION FINANCIAL SECTOR FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FISH FIXED COSTS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN INTEREST FOREIGN INTEREST RATES FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN MARKETS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL INTEREST GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL TRADE GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT REVENUE GOVERNMENT REVENUES GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMBALANCES IMPORT IMPORTS INCOME GROWTH INCREASING RETURNS INFLATION INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INVENTORY INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT CLIMATES INVESTMENT DEMAND INVESTMENT RATES INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS ISSUANCE LABOR COSTS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LAND POLICY LAND USE LEVEL OF INVESTMENT LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY PROBLEM LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL BUSINESS LOCAL CURRENCY MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTS MARKET ECONOMIES MARKET ECONOMY METALS MONETARY CONDITIONS MONETARY POLICY NATIONAL BANK NATIONAL BANKS NET EXPORTS NONPAYMENT OIL OPPORTUNITY COST POLICY MAKERS POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO POVERTY LEVELS PRICE INCREASES PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRIVATE DEBT PRIVATE INVESTORS PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT PRODUCTION PROCESSES PROPERTY RIGHTS PROPERTY VALUES PUBLIC ASSETS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC EXTERNAL DEBT PUBLIC GOODS PUBLIC SPENDING QUALITY STANDARDS RAPID GROWTH RATE OF GROWTH RATES FOR EXPORTS REAL APPRECIATION REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP RECESSION REGIONAL MARKETS REGIONAL TRADE ARRANGEMENTS REGULATORY BARRIERS REGULATORY FRAMEWORK REGULATORY REFORM RELATIVE PRICES RETURN SAFETY NET SCALE EFFECT SECTOR REFORM STABLE GROWTH STRUCTURAL REFORMS SUPPLY SIDE SURPLUS SUSTAINABLE GROWTH TARIFF BARRIERS TARIFF POLICY TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX RATES TELECOMMUNICATIONS TOTAL EXPORTS TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE AGREEMENT TRADE BALANCE TRADE BALANCES TRADE BARRIERS TRADE DEFICIT TRADE FACILITATION TRADE INTEGRATION TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE OPENNESS TRADE PERFORMANCE TRADE POLICY TRADE REGIME TRADE RELATIONS TRADING TRADING PARTNERS TRANSITION COUNTRIES TRANSITION ECONOMIES TRANSPARENCY TREATY UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE VALUATION VALUATION SYSTEM VALUE ADDED WORLD MARKET WORLD MARKETS WORLD TRADE WTO This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets. The past model relying on excessive inflows of capital and credit that, in part, fuelled a consumption boom has run its course in all European countries. Serbia must shift to a greater export orientation so that it can attain the major gains in productivity and competitiveness necessary to propel economic growth to a much higher trajectory. This cannot happen without an explicit export strategy, and a set of concomitant structural reforms, driven by commitment and coordination at the highest political level. This report tries to pinpoint policy actions that would be most effective in raising the rate of productivity growth of Serbia s enterprises so that better export performance and sustained growth could be achieved. The report has three parts. Part I reviews Serbia s macroeconomic situation and its progress on structural reforms. Part II starts with a review of the current status of Serbia s exports and trade policy and regional trade arrangements. It then uses product space (PS) analysis to examine areas where Serbia has a revealed or potential comparative advantage. The report then moves on to two such areas, metal processing and automobile production, which are subjected to value chain analysis to identify bottlenecks that need to be removed for Serbia to become a successful producer and exporter in these areas. The final part of the report looks at obstacles to more rapid and sustainable development of production and exports. It starts with the analysis of the business environment, based on a range of surveys, which is followed by four sectoral chapters that discuss the obstacles found to be most binding in the business environment: labor skills, power supply and efficiency of its use, use of land, and trade facilitation. 2012-03-19T10:14:37Z 2012-03-19T10:14:37Z 2011-12-06 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302093229 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2830 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum Europe and Central Asia Europe Serbia