Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview
This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets...
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Format: | Country Economic Memorandum |
Language: | English |
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World Bank
2012
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Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302092038 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2829 |
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Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English |
topic |
ACCOUNTING ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES ADULT EDUCATION AFTERMARKET AGGREGATE DEMAND AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES AGRICULTURE ARABLE LAND AUCTIONS AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BANKING SECTORS BARGAINING BILATERAL TRADE BINDING CONSTRAINT CADASTRE CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS COMMON MARKET COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITION POLICY COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITIVENESS COMPLEX TASK CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMERS CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEREGULATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DRIVERS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RECOVERY ECONOMIES OF SCALE ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMERGING MARKETS ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY PRICES ENVIRONMENTAL EQUIPMENT EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT LED GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT SHARES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT FARMS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED COSTS FOOD PRODUCTION FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN MARKETS FREE TRADE FULL EMPLOYMENT FUTURES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL TRADE GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT POLICY GROWTH RATE HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INEFFICIENCY INFLATION INNOVATION INTEREST PAYMENTS INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVENTORY INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT CLIMATES JOB CREATION LABOR COSTS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET NEEDS LABOR MARKET POLICIES LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LACK OF COMPETITION LAND USE LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE LIVING STANDARDS MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTS MARKET DEVELOPMENT MARKET FAILURE MARKET FAILURES MARKET FORCES MARKET INFORMATION MARKET LIBERALIZATION MARKET PARTICIPANTS MARKET PRICES MARKET STABILIZATION MARKET SURVEILLANCE MARKETING MERCHANDISE MERCHANDISE TRADE METALS MONETARY POLICY MULTILATERAL TRADE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS OCCUPATIONS OPEN ECONOMY PAYMENT SYSTEM POLICY ENVIRONMENT POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE INVESTORS PRODUCERS PRODUCTION COSTS PRODUCTION PROCESSES PRODUCTIVE RESOURCES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC GOODS PUBLIC SPENDING REAL GDP REGULATORY BARRIERS RESERVES RETAIL RETURN RETURNS TO SCALE RISK FACTORS RULE OF LAW SAFETY SALE SCALE EFFECT SKILLED LABOR SKILLED WORKERS STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLIERS SUPPLY CHAIN SUPPLY CHAINS SURPLUS SURPLUSES SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE GROWTH TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TAX RATES TELECOMMUNICATIONS TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE REGIME TRADING TRANSITION ECONOMIES UNDERLYING PROBLEMS UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE VALUE ADDED VOLATILITY WAGES WHOLESALE TRADE WORLD MARKET WORLD MARKETS WTO YOUNGER WORKERS |
spellingShingle |
ACCOUNTING ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES ADULT EDUCATION AFTERMARKET AGGREGATE DEMAND AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES AGRICULTURE ARABLE LAND AUCTIONS AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BANKING SECTORS BARGAINING BILATERAL TRADE BINDING CONSTRAINT CADASTRE CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS COMMON MARKET COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITION POLICY COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITIVENESS COMPLEX TASK CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMERS CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEREGULATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DRIVERS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RECOVERY ECONOMIES OF SCALE ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMERGING MARKETS ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY PRICES ENVIRONMENTAL EQUIPMENT EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT LED GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT SHARES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT FARMS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED COSTS FOOD PRODUCTION FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN MARKETS FREE TRADE FULL EMPLOYMENT FUTURES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL TRADE GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT POLICY GROWTH RATE HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INEFFICIENCY INFLATION INNOVATION INTEREST PAYMENTS INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVENTORY INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT CLIMATES JOB CREATION LABOR COSTS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET NEEDS LABOR MARKET POLICIES LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LACK OF COMPETITION LAND USE LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE LIVING STANDARDS MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTS MARKET DEVELOPMENT MARKET FAILURE MARKET FAILURES MARKET FORCES MARKET INFORMATION MARKET LIBERALIZATION MARKET PARTICIPANTS MARKET PRICES MARKET STABILIZATION MARKET SURVEILLANCE MARKETING MERCHANDISE MERCHANDISE TRADE METALS MONETARY POLICY MULTILATERAL TRADE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS OCCUPATIONS OPEN ECONOMY PAYMENT SYSTEM POLICY ENVIRONMENT POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE INVESTORS PRODUCERS PRODUCTION COSTS PRODUCTION PROCESSES PRODUCTIVE RESOURCES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC GOODS PUBLIC SPENDING REAL GDP REGULATORY BARRIERS RESERVES RETAIL RETURN RETURNS TO SCALE RISK FACTORS RULE OF LAW SAFETY SALE SCALE EFFECT SKILLED LABOR SKILLED WORKERS STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLIERS SUPPLY CHAIN SUPPLY CHAINS SURPLUS SURPLUSES SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE GROWTH TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TAX RATES TELECOMMUNICATIONS TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE REGIME TRADING TRANSITION ECONOMIES UNDERLYING PROBLEMS UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE VALUE ADDED VOLATILITY WAGES WHOLESALE TRADE WORLD MARKET WORLD MARKETS WTO YOUNGER WORKERS World Bank Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview |
geographic_facet |
Europe and Central Asia Europe Serbia |
description |
This report looks beyond the current
global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic
long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that
Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to
compete effectively in world markets. The past model relying
on excessive inflows of capital and credit that, in part,
fuelled a consumption boom has run its course in all
European countries. Serbia must shift to a greater export
orientation so that it can attain the major gains in
productivity and competitiveness necessary to propel
economic growth to a much higher trajectory. This cannot
happen without an explicit export strategy, and a set of
concomitant structural reforms, driven by commitment and
coordination at the highest political level. This report
tries to pinpoint policy actions that would be most
effective in raising the rate of productivity growth of
Serbia s enterprises so that better export performance and
sustained growth could be achieved. The report has three
parts. Part I reviews Serbia s macroeconomic situation and
its progress on structural reforms. Part II starts with a
review of the current status of Serbia s exports and trade
policy and regional trade arrangements. It then uses product
space (PS) analysis to examine areas where Serbia has a
revealed or potential comparative advantage. The report then
moves on to two such areas, metal processing and automobile
production, which are subjected to value chain analysis to
identify bottlenecks that need to be removed for Serbia to
become a successful producer and exporter in these areas.
The final part of the report looks at obstacles to more
rapid and sustainable development of production and exports.
It starts with the analysis of the business environment,
based on a range of surveys, which is followed by four
sectoral chapters that discuss the obstacles found to be
most binding in the business environment: labor skills,
power supply and efficiency of its use, use of land, and
trade facilitation. |
format |
Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum |
author |
World Bank |
author_facet |
World Bank |
author_sort |
World Bank |
title |
Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview |
title_short |
Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview |
title_full |
Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview |
title_fullStr |
Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview |
title_full_unstemmed |
Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview |
title_sort |
serbia - country economic memorandum : the road to prosperity - productivity and exports, volume 1. overview |
publisher |
World Bank |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302092038 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2829 |
_version_ |
1764386017883717632 |
spelling |
okr-10986-28292021-04-23T14:02:04Z Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview World Bank ACCOUNTING ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES ADULT EDUCATION AFTERMARKET AGGREGATE DEMAND AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES AGRICULTURE ARABLE LAND AUCTIONS AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BANKING SECTORS BARGAINING BILATERAL TRADE BINDING CONSTRAINT CADASTRE CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS COMMON MARKET COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITION POLICY COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITIVENESS COMPLEX TASK CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMERS CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEREGULATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DRIVERS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RECOVERY ECONOMIES OF SCALE ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMERGING MARKETS ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY PRICES ENVIRONMENTAL EQUIPMENT EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT LED GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT SHARES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT FARMS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED COSTS FOOD PRODUCTION FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN MARKETS FREE TRADE FULL EMPLOYMENT FUTURES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL TRADE GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT POLICY GROWTH RATE HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INEFFICIENCY INFLATION INNOVATION INTEREST PAYMENTS INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVENTORY INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT CLIMATES JOB CREATION LABOR COSTS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET NEEDS LABOR MARKET POLICIES LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LACK OF COMPETITION LAND USE LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE LIVING STANDARDS MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTS MARKET DEVELOPMENT MARKET FAILURE MARKET FAILURES MARKET FORCES MARKET INFORMATION MARKET LIBERALIZATION MARKET PARTICIPANTS MARKET PRICES MARKET STABILIZATION MARKET SURVEILLANCE MARKETING MERCHANDISE MERCHANDISE TRADE METALS MONETARY POLICY MULTILATERAL TRADE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS OCCUPATIONS OPEN ECONOMY PAYMENT SYSTEM POLICY ENVIRONMENT POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE INVESTORS PRODUCERS PRODUCTION COSTS PRODUCTION PROCESSES PRODUCTIVE RESOURCES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC GOODS PUBLIC SPENDING REAL GDP REGULATORY BARRIERS RESERVES RETAIL RETURN RETURNS TO SCALE RISK FACTORS RULE OF LAW SAFETY SALE SCALE EFFECT SKILLED LABOR SKILLED WORKERS STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLIERS SUPPLY CHAIN SUPPLY CHAINS SURPLUS SURPLUSES SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE GROWTH TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TAX RATES TELECOMMUNICATIONS TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE REGIME TRADING TRANSITION ECONOMIES UNDERLYING PROBLEMS UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE VALUE ADDED VOLATILITY WAGES WHOLESALE TRADE WORLD MARKET WORLD MARKETS WTO YOUNGER WORKERS This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets. The past model relying on excessive inflows of capital and credit that, in part, fuelled a consumption boom has run its course in all European countries. Serbia must shift to a greater export orientation so that it can attain the major gains in productivity and competitiveness necessary to propel economic growth to a much higher trajectory. This cannot happen without an explicit export strategy, and a set of concomitant structural reforms, driven by commitment and coordination at the highest political level. This report tries to pinpoint policy actions that would be most effective in raising the rate of productivity growth of Serbia s enterprises so that better export performance and sustained growth could be achieved. The report has three parts. Part I reviews Serbia s macroeconomic situation and its progress on structural reforms. Part II starts with a review of the current status of Serbia s exports and trade policy and regional trade arrangements. It then uses product space (PS) analysis to examine areas where Serbia has a revealed or potential comparative advantage. The report then moves on to two such areas, metal processing and automobile production, which are subjected to value chain analysis to identify bottlenecks that need to be removed for Serbia to become a successful producer and exporter in these areas. The final part of the report looks at obstacles to more rapid and sustainable development of production and exports. It starts with the analysis of the business environment, based on a range of surveys, which is followed by four sectoral chapters that discuss the obstacles found to be most binding in the business environment: labor skills, power supply and efficiency of its use, use of land, and trade facilitation. 2012-03-19T10:14:36Z 2012-03-19T10:14:36Z 2011-12-12 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302092038 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2829 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum Europe and Central Asia Europe Serbia |