Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview

This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Country Economic Memorandum
Language:English
Published: World Bank 2012
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
WTO
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302092038
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2829
id okr-10986-2829
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES
ADULT EDUCATION
AFTERMARKET
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES
AGRICULTURE
ARABLE LAND
AUCTIONS
AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANKING SECTORS
BARGAINING
BILATERAL TRADE
BINDING CONSTRAINT
CADASTRE
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
COMMON MARKET
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
COMPETITION POLICY
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
COMPETITIVENESS
COMPLEX TASK
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMERS
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DRIVERS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RECOVERY
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
EMERGING MARKETS
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY PRICES
ENVIRONMENTAL
EQUIPMENT
EXPENDITURE
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT LED GROWTH
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SHARES
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL DEBT
FARMS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED COSTS
FOOD PRODUCTION
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN MARKETS
FREE TRADE
FULL EMPLOYMENT
FUTURES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT POLICY
GROWTH RATE
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
INCOME
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INEFFICIENCY
INFLATION
INNOVATION
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
INVENTORY
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT CLIMATES
JOB CREATION
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET NEEDS
LABOR MARKET POLICIES
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LACK OF COMPETITION
LAND USE
LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE
LIVING STANDARDS
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET FAILURES
MARKET FORCES
MARKET INFORMATION
MARKET LIBERALIZATION
MARKET PARTICIPANTS
MARKET PRICES
MARKET STABILIZATION
MARKET SURVEILLANCE
MARKETING
MERCHANDISE
MERCHANDISE TRADE
METALS
MONETARY POLICY
MULTILATERAL TRADE
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
OCCUPATIONS
OPEN ECONOMY
PAYMENT SYSTEM
POLICY ENVIRONMENT
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESPONSES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRODUCERS
PRODUCTION COSTS
PRODUCTION PROCESSES
PRODUCTIVE RESOURCES
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL GDP
REGULATORY BARRIERS
RESERVES
RETAIL
RETURN
RETURNS TO SCALE
RISK FACTORS
RULE OF LAW
SAFETY
SALE
SCALE EFFECT
SKILLED LABOR
SKILLED WORKERS
STOCKS
SUBSTITUTE
SUBSTITUTES
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY CHAIN
SUPPLY CHAINS
SURPLUS
SURPLUSES
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TARIFF BARRIERS
TAX
TAX RATES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REGIME
TRADING
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UNDERLYING PROBLEMS
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
VALUE ADDED
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WHOLESALE TRADE
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WTO
YOUNGER WORKERS
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES
ADULT EDUCATION
AFTERMARKET
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES
AGRICULTURE
ARABLE LAND
AUCTIONS
AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANKING SECTORS
BARGAINING
BILATERAL TRADE
BINDING CONSTRAINT
CADASTRE
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
COMMON MARKET
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
COMPETITION POLICY
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
COMPETITIVENESS
COMPLEX TASK
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMERS
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DRIVERS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RECOVERY
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
EMERGING MARKETS
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY PRICES
ENVIRONMENTAL
EQUIPMENT
EXPENDITURE
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT LED GROWTH
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SHARES
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL DEBT
FARMS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED COSTS
FOOD PRODUCTION
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN MARKETS
FREE TRADE
FULL EMPLOYMENT
FUTURES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT POLICY
GROWTH RATE
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
INCOME
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INEFFICIENCY
INFLATION
INNOVATION
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
INVENTORY
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT CLIMATES
JOB CREATION
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET NEEDS
LABOR MARKET POLICIES
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LACK OF COMPETITION
LAND USE
LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE
LIVING STANDARDS
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET FAILURES
MARKET FORCES
MARKET INFORMATION
MARKET LIBERALIZATION
MARKET PARTICIPANTS
MARKET PRICES
MARKET STABILIZATION
MARKET SURVEILLANCE
MARKETING
MERCHANDISE
MERCHANDISE TRADE
METALS
MONETARY POLICY
MULTILATERAL TRADE
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
OCCUPATIONS
OPEN ECONOMY
PAYMENT SYSTEM
POLICY ENVIRONMENT
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESPONSES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRODUCERS
PRODUCTION COSTS
PRODUCTION PROCESSES
PRODUCTIVE RESOURCES
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL GDP
REGULATORY BARRIERS
RESERVES
RETAIL
RETURN
RETURNS TO SCALE
RISK FACTORS
RULE OF LAW
SAFETY
SALE
SCALE EFFECT
SKILLED LABOR
SKILLED WORKERS
STOCKS
SUBSTITUTE
SUBSTITUTES
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY CHAIN
SUPPLY CHAINS
SURPLUS
SURPLUSES
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TARIFF BARRIERS
TAX
TAX RATES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REGIME
TRADING
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UNDERLYING PROBLEMS
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
VALUE ADDED
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WHOLESALE TRADE
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WTO
YOUNGER WORKERS
World Bank
Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Europe
Serbia
description This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets. The past model relying on excessive inflows of capital and credit that, in part, fuelled a consumption boom has run its course in all European countries. Serbia must shift to a greater export orientation so that it can attain the major gains in productivity and competitiveness necessary to propel economic growth to a much higher trajectory. This cannot happen without an explicit export strategy, and a set of concomitant structural reforms, driven by commitment and coordination at the highest political level. This report tries to pinpoint policy actions that would be most effective in raising the rate of productivity growth of Serbia s enterprises so that better export performance and sustained growth could be achieved. The report has three parts. Part I reviews Serbia s macroeconomic situation and its progress on structural reforms. Part II starts with a review of the current status of Serbia s exports and trade policy and regional trade arrangements. It then uses product space (PS) analysis to examine areas where Serbia has a revealed or potential comparative advantage. The report then moves on to two such areas, metal processing and automobile production, which are subjected to value chain analysis to identify bottlenecks that need to be removed for Serbia to become a successful producer and exporter in these areas. The final part of the report looks at obstacles to more rapid and sustainable development of production and exports. It starts with the analysis of the business environment, based on a range of surveys, which is followed by four sectoral chapters that discuss the obstacles found to be most binding in the business environment: labor skills, power supply and efficiency of its use, use of land, and trade facilitation.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview
title_short Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview
title_full Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview
title_fullStr Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview
title_full_unstemmed Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview
title_sort serbia - country economic memorandum : the road to prosperity - productivity and exports, volume 1. overview
publisher World Bank
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302092038
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2829
_version_ 1764386017883717632
spelling okr-10986-28292021-04-23T14:02:04Z Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 1. Overview World Bank ACCOUNTING ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES ADULT EDUCATION AFTERMARKET AGGREGATE DEMAND AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES AGRICULTURE ARABLE LAND AUCTIONS AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BANKING SECTORS BARGAINING BILATERAL TRADE BINDING CONSTRAINT CADASTRE CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS COMMON MARKET COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITION POLICY COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES COMPETITIVENESS COMPLEX TASK CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMERS CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEREGULATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DRIVERS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RECOVERY ECONOMIES OF SCALE ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMERGING MARKETS ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY PRICES ENVIRONMENTAL EQUIPMENT EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT LED GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT SHARES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT FARMS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED COSTS FOOD PRODUCTION FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN MARKETS FREE TRADE FULL EMPLOYMENT FUTURES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL TRADE GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT POLICY GROWTH RATE HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INEFFICIENCY INFLATION INNOVATION INTEREST PAYMENTS INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVENTORY INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT CLIMATES JOB CREATION LABOR COSTS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET NEEDS LABOR MARKET POLICIES LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LACK OF COMPETITION LAND USE LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE LIVING STANDARDS MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTS MARKET DEVELOPMENT MARKET FAILURE MARKET FAILURES MARKET FORCES MARKET INFORMATION MARKET LIBERALIZATION MARKET PARTICIPANTS MARKET PRICES MARKET STABILIZATION MARKET SURVEILLANCE MARKETING MERCHANDISE MERCHANDISE TRADE METALS MONETARY POLICY MULTILATERAL TRADE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS OCCUPATIONS OPEN ECONOMY PAYMENT SYSTEM POLICY ENVIRONMENT POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE INVESTORS PRODUCERS PRODUCTION COSTS PRODUCTION PROCESSES PRODUCTIVE RESOURCES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC GOODS PUBLIC SPENDING REAL GDP REGULATORY BARRIERS RESERVES RETAIL RETURN RETURNS TO SCALE RISK FACTORS RULE OF LAW SAFETY SALE SCALE EFFECT SKILLED LABOR SKILLED WORKERS STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLIERS SUPPLY CHAIN SUPPLY CHAINS SURPLUS SURPLUSES SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE GROWTH TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TAX RATES TELECOMMUNICATIONS TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE REGIME TRADING TRANSITION ECONOMIES UNDERLYING PROBLEMS UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE VALUE ADDED VOLATILITY WAGES WHOLESALE TRADE WORLD MARKET WORLD MARKETS WTO YOUNGER WORKERS This report looks beyond the current global financial crisis to the restoration of dynamic long-run growth in Serbia. The answer in this report is that Serbia will need to fundamentally alter its growth model to compete effectively in world markets. The past model relying on excessive inflows of capital and credit that, in part, fuelled a consumption boom has run its course in all European countries. Serbia must shift to a greater export orientation so that it can attain the major gains in productivity and competitiveness necessary to propel economic growth to a much higher trajectory. This cannot happen without an explicit export strategy, and a set of concomitant structural reforms, driven by commitment and coordination at the highest political level. This report tries to pinpoint policy actions that would be most effective in raising the rate of productivity growth of Serbia s enterprises so that better export performance and sustained growth could be achieved. The report has three parts. Part I reviews Serbia s macroeconomic situation and its progress on structural reforms. Part II starts with a review of the current status of Serbia s exports and trade policy and regional trade arrangements. It then uses product space (PS) analysis to examine areas where Serbia has a revealed or potential comparative advantage. The report then moves on to two such areas, metal processing and automobile production, which are subjected to value chain analysis to identify bottlenecks that need to be removed for Serbia to become a successful producer and exporter in these areas. The final part of the report looks at obstacles to more rapid and sustainable development of production and exports. It starts with the analysis of the business environment, based on a range of surveys, which is followed by four sectoral chapters that discuss the obstacles found to be most binding in the business environment: labor skills, power supply and efficiency of its use, use of land, and trade facilitation. 2012-03-19T10:14:36Z 2012-03-19T10:14:36Z 2011-12-12 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000020953_20120302092038 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2829 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum Europe and Central Asia Europe Serbia