Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009

A solid financial armor could not protect Thailand against the impact of the global financial crisis on its real economy. Despite a sound banking system and low external vulnerabilities, the Thai economy contracted 5.7 percent between October 2008...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: Bangkok 2017
Subjects:
CDS
GDP
TAX
WTO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/482501468312354406/Thailand-economic-monitor-April-June-2009
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28123
id okr-10986-28123
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL COOPERATIVES
AGRICULTURE
ASSET QUALITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEET
BANK OFFICE
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKRUPTCY
BASIS POINTS
BENEFICIARIES
BILLS OF EXCHANGE
BINDING CONSTRAINTS
BOND
BOND MARKET
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT
CAPITAL OUTLAYS
CAPITALIZATION
CASH TRANSFER
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
CLEARING HOUSE
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
CREDIT BUREAU
CREDIT DEFAULT
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT MARKETS
CREDITORS
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEBT
DEBT COMPOSITION
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT SECURITIES
DEBT STOCK
DEBTS
DECLINE IN INVESTMENT
DEFLATION
DEPOSIT
DERIVATIVE
DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DIVIDENDS
DOMESTIC BORROWING
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DURABLE
DURABLE GOODS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC COOPERATION
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKETS
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INVESTMENT
EQUITY SECURITIES
EXCHANGE COMMISSION
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SECTOR
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FORECASTS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
FUTURE LOAN
FUTURES
FUTURES EXCHANGE
GDP
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDEBTEDNESS
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATE VOLATILITY
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LEADING INDICATORS
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
MARKET SHARES
MATURE MARKETS
MEDIUM TERM EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORK
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEYLENDERS
MULTIPLIER EFFECT
MULTIPLIER EFFECTS
MUTUAL FUND
NATIONAL CREDIT
NATIONAL INCOME
NET EXPORTS
NEW MARKETS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OIL PRICES
PENSION
POLITICAL RISKS
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTIES
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY
POLITICAL UNREST
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS
PRICE CHANGES
PRINCIPAL REPAYMENTS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTION COSTS
PROPERTY VALUES
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT
PUBLIC DEBT STOCKS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
REAL GDP
RECESSION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REMITTANCE
REMITTANCES
RESERVE
RESERVES
RETURN
RETURNS
SAFETY NET
SAFETY NETS
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SHARE OF ASSETS
SHORT-TERM EXTERNAL DEBT
SKILLS SHORTAGES
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
SOLVENCY
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK MARKETS
TAX
TRADE CREDIT
TRADE CREDITS
TRADE FINANCE
TRADE NEGOTIATIONS
TRADE REFORMS
TRADE REGIME
TRADING
TROUGH
UNDERESTIMATES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNFAIR COMPETITION
VALUATION
VARIABLE INTEREST RATE
WAGES
WEALTH
WORKING CAPITAL
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL COOPERATIVES
AGRICULTURE
ASSET QUALITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEET
BANK OFFICE
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKRUPTCY
BASIS POINTS
BENEFICIARIES
BILLS OF EXCHANGE
BINDING CONSTRAINTS
BOND
BOND MARKET
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT
CAPITAL OUTLAYS
CAPITALIZATION
CASH TRANSFER
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
CLEARING HOUSE
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
CREDIT BUREAU
CREDIT DEFAULT
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT MARKETS
CREDITORS
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEBT
DEBT COMPOSITION
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT SECURITIES
DEBT STOCK
DEBTS
DECLINE IN INVESTMENT
DEFLATION
DEPOSIT
DERIVATIVE
DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DIVIDENDS
DOMESTIC BORROWING
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DURABLE
DURABLE GOODS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC COOPERATION
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKETS
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INVESTMENT
EQUITY SECURITIES
EXCHANGE COMMISSION
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SECTOR
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FORECASTS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
FUTURE LOAN
FUTURES
FUTURES EXCHANGE
GDP
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDEBTEDNESS
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATE VOLATILITY
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LEADING INDICATORS
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
MARKET SHARES
MATURE MARKETS
MEDIUM TERM EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORK
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEYLENDERS
MULTIPLIER EFFECT
MULTIPLIER EFFECTS
MUTUAL FUND
NATIONAL CREDIT
NATIONAL INCOME
NET EXPORTS
NEW MARKETS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OIL PRICES
PENSION
POLITICAL RISKS
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTIES
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY
POLITICAL UNREST
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS
PRICE CHANGES
PRINCIPAL REPAYMENTS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTION COSTS
PROPERTY VALUES
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT
PUBLIC DEBT STOCKS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
REAL GDP
RECESSION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REMITTANCE
REMITTANCES
RESERVE
RESERVES
RETURN
RETURNS
SAFETY NET
SAFETY NETS
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SHARE OF ASSETS
SHORT-TERM EXTERNAL DEBT
SKILLS SHORTAGES
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
SOLVENCY
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK MARKETS
TAX
TRADE CREDIT
TRADE CREDITS
TRADE FINANCE
TRADE NEGOTIATIONS
TRADE REFORMS
TRADE REGIME
TRADING
TROUGH
UNDERESTIMATES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNFAIR COMPETITION
VALUATION
VARIABLE INTEREST RATE
WAGES
WEALTH
WORKING CAPITAL
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
World Bank
Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Thailand
description A solid financial armor could not protect Thailand against the impact of the global financial crisis on its real economy. Despite a sound banking system and low external vulnerabilities, the Thai economy contracted 5.7 percent between October 2008 and March 2009, as the magnitude and speed of the contraction in foreign demand, and resulting shock to the real economy, has been greater than anticipated. There continues to be little impact of the global financial crisis on Thailand's banks: liquidity remained adequate as financial institutions did not face solvency concerns given their adequate capitalization and lack of exposure to 'toxic' assets or risky derivative contracts. The combination of a sound financial sector, low external roll-over and balance-of-payment financing requirements, and, more recently, large current account surpluses, has led to capital inflows, build-up in reserves and an appreciation of the Baht relative to other currencies in the region. However, the impact of the global crisis on the real sector was far more severe than expected. Export volumes contracted by 8.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to the World Bank's forecast in December of a 3.0 percent expansion. Exports contracted a further 16 percent in the first quarter of 2009. The aggravation of Thailand's political crisis, which had been dampening investor and consumer confidence since 2006, compounded the shock to the real economy. As a result, real gross domestic product (GDP) contracted in the fourth quarter of 2008 and first quarter of 2009 after 38 quarters of growth, and is expected to contract for 2009 as a whole, the first annual contraction since the Asian financial crisis of 1997-1998.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009
title_short Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009
title_full Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009
title_fullStr Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009
title_full_unstemmed Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009
title_sort thailand economic monitor, april - june 2009
publisher Bangkok
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/482501468312354406/Thailand-economic-monitor-April-June-2009
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28123
_version_ 1764465702752747520
spelling okr-10986-281232021-04-23T14:04:46Z Thailand Economic Monitor, April - June 2009 World Bank ACCOUNTING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL COOPERATIVES AGRICULTURE ASSET QUALITY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEET BANK OFFICE BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BANKRUPTCY BASIS POINTS BENEFICIARIES BILLS OF EXCHANGE BINDING CONSTRAINTS BOND BOND MARKET BUDGET DEFICIT BUDGET DEFICITS CAPITAL ADEQUACY CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT CAPITAL OUTLAYS CAPITALIZATION CASH TRANSFER CDS CENTRAL BANK CLEARING HOUSE COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICES COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS CONTINGENT LIABILITIES CONTINGENT LIABILITY CREDIT BUREAU CREDIT DEFAULT CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS CREDIT GROWTH CREDIT MARKETS CREDITORS CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES DEBT DEBT COMPOSITION DEBT LEVELS DEBT RATIOS DEBT SECURITIES DEBT STOCK DEBTS DECLINE IN INVESTMENT DEFLATION DEPOSIT DERIVATIVE DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISBURSEMENT DISBURSEMENTS DIVIDENDS DOMESTIC BORROWING DOMESTIC DEBT DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES DOMESTIC MARKETS DURABLE DURABLE GOODS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC COOPERATION ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF DEMAND EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET EMERGING MARKETS EQUIPMENT EQUITY INVESTMENT EQUITY SECURITIES EXCHANGE COMMISSION EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATES EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT SECTOR EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXPOSURE FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTION FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SUPPORT FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FINANCING REQUIREMENTS FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FIXED CAPITAL FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS FOREIGN INVESTORS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS FUTURE LOAN FUTURES FUTURES EXCHANGE GDP GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL TRADE GOVERNMENT BONDS GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH RATE HOUSEHOLD INCOMES INCOME INCOME GROWTH INCOME INEQUALITY INDEBTEDNESS INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES INFLATION INSURANCE INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATE VOLATILITY INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVENTORIES INVENTORY INVESTMENT DECISIONS KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LEADING INDICATORS LIQUIDITY LOAN LOCAL GOVERNMENT MARKET SHARES MATURE MARKETS MEDIUM TERM EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORK MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MONETARY AUTHORITIES MONETARY POLICY MONEYLENDERS MULTIPLIER EFFECT MULTIPLIER EFFECTS MUTUAL FUND NATIONAL CREDIT NATIONAL INCOME NET EXPORTS NEW MARKETS NON-PERFORMING LOANS OIL PRICES PENSION POLITICAL RISKS POLITICAL UNCERTAINTIES POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY POLITICAL UNREST PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS PRICE CHANGES PRINCIPAL REPAYMENTS PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRODUCTION COSTS PROPERTY VALUES PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT PUBLIC DEBT STOCKS PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC SPENDING PURCHASING POWER REAL GDP RECESSION REGULATORY FRAMEWORK REMITTANCE REMITTANCES RESERVE RESERVES RETURN RETURNS SAFETY NET SAFETY NETS SAVINGS SECURITIES SHARE OF ASSETS SHORT-TERM EXTERNAL DEBT SKILLS SHORTAGES SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL SAFETY NETS SOLVENCY STOCK EXCHANGE STOCK MARKETS TAX TRADE CREDIT TRADE CREDITS TRADE FINANCE TRADE NEGOTIATIONS TRADE REFORMS TRADE REGIME TRADING TROUGH UNDERESTIMATES UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNFAIR COMPETITION VALUATION VARIABLE INTEREST RATE WAGES WEALTH WORKING CAPITAL WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION WTO A solid financial armor could not protect Thailand against the impact of the global financial crisis on its real economy. Despite a sound banking system and low external vulnerabilities, the Thai economy contracted 5.7 percent between October 2008 and March 2009, as the magnitude and speed of the contraction in foreign demand, and resulting shock to the real economy, has been greater than anticipated. There continues to be little impact of the global financial crisis on Thailand's banks: liquidity remained adequate as financial institutions did not face solvency concerns given their adequate capitalization and lack of exposure to 'toxic' assets or risky derivative contracts. The combination of a sound financial sector, low external roll-over and balance-of-payment financing requirements, and, more recently, large current account surpluses, has led to capital inflows, build-up in reserves and an appreciation of the Baht relative to other currencies in the region. However, the impact of the global crisis on the real sector was far more severe than expected. Export volumes contracted by 8.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to the World Bank's forecast in December of a 3.0 percent expansion. Exports contracted a further 16 percent in the first quarter of 2009. The aggravation of Thailand's political crisis, which had been dampening investor and consumer confidence since 2006, compounded the shock to the real economy. As a result, real gross domestic product (GDP) contracted in the fourth quarter of 2008 and first quarter of 2009 after 38 quarters of growth, and is expected to contract for 2009 as a whole, the first annual contraction since the Asian financial crisis of 1997-1998. 2017-09-06T20:04:33Z 2017-09-06T20:04:33Z 2009 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/482501468312354406/Thailand-economic-monitor-April-June-2009 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28123 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Bangkok Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work East Asia and Pacific Thailand