Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances

This paper argues that global imbalances in current account positions are a natural consequence of globalization of financial markets and of demographic trends, particularly in Europe and in East Asia. Those societies are aging rapidly, with declin...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cooper, Richard N.
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/493151468330980345/Remarks-for-Yale-workshop-on-global-trends-and-challenges-understanding-global-imbalances
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27935
id okr-10986-27935
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ASSETS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BONDS
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPITAL GAINS
CAPITAL GAINS ON EQUITIES
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTFLOW
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMER DURABLES
CONSUMERS
CORPORATE SAVINGS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY APPRECIATION
CURRENCY APPRECIATIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT POSITIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEBT
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
DEBT OBLIGATIONS
DEBTOR
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEPRECIATION
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH
DIVIDENDS
DOLLAR VALUES
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DYNAMIC ECONOMY
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RECESSION
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC SIZE
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INVESTMENT
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FEDERAL BUDGET
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CLAIMS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FLOW OF FUNDS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CLAIMS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS
FOREIGN FUNDS
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN OWNERSHIP
GDP
GLOBAL IMBALANCES
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT DEFICITS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GRAVITY MODEL
GRAVITY MODELS
GROWTH THEORY
HIGH CAPITAL MOBILITY
HOME COUNTRIES
HOME CURRENCIES
HOME EQUITY
HOME EQUITY LOANS
HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT DEMAND
IMPORTS
INCOME STREAM
INCOMES
INDEBTEDNESS
INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
INTANGIBLE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT
INVESTING
INVESTMENT EFFICIENCY
INVESTMENT INCOME
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
INVESTMENT RATES
JUDGE
JUDGMENT
KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
LABOR FORCE
LIQUIDITY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MAJOR CURRENCIES
MANDATE
MARKET EXCHANGE RATES
MARKET VALUE
MARKETABLE SECURITIES
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGE LENDING
MORTGAGES
NATIONAL ECONOMIES
NATIONAL SAVING
NATIONAL SAVINGS
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEW PRODUCTS
OIL EXPORTERS
OIL PRICES
OTHER CURRENCIES
OUTPUT
OUTSTANDING CLAIMS
PASSIVE INVESTORS
PAYMENTS CRISES
PENSION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PER CAPITA INCOMES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO EQUITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SAVING
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC DEFICIT
PUBLIC PENSION
PUBLIC SAVING
RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH
RAPID GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
RECESSION
REMOTE LOCATION
RETIREMENT AGE
RETURN
RETURNS
RISK AVERSE
RISK AVERSION
RISK EQUITY
SAVINGS RATES
SECURITIES
SETTLEMENT
SLOWDOWN
STOCKS
SURPLUS
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
TRADE DEFICIT
TREASURY
TREASURY SECURITIES
UNCERTAINTY
UNFUNDED PENSION
VALUATION
VALUATION CHANGES
VALUATIONS
VOLATILITY
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD FINANCIAL MARKETS
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ASSETS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BONDS
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPITAL GAINS
CAPITAL GAINS ON EQUITIES
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTFLOW
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMER DURABLES
CONSUMERS
CORPORATE SAVINGS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY APPRECIATION
CURRENCY APPRECIATIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT POSITIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEBT
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
DEBT OBLIGATIONS
DEBTOR
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEPRECIATION
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH
DIVIDENDS
DOLLAR VALUES
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DYNAMIC ECONOMY
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RECESSION
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC SIZE
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INVESTMENT
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FEDERAL BUDGET
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CLAIMS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FLOW OF FUNDS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CLAIMS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS
FOREIGN FUNDS
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN OWNERSHIP
GDP
GLOBAL IMBALANCES
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT DEFICITS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GRAVITY MODEL
GRAVITY MODELS
GROWTH THEORY
HIGH CAPITAL MOBILITY
HOME COUNTRIES
HOME CURRENCIES
HOME EQUITY
HOME EQUITY LOANS
HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT DEMAND
IMPORTS
INCOME STREAM
INCOMES
INDEBTEDNESS
INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
INTANGIBLE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT
INVESTING
INVESTMENT EFFICIENCY
INVESTMENT INCOME
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
INVESTMENT RATES
JUDGE
JUDGMENT
KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
LABOR FORCE
LIQUIDITY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MAJOR CURRENCIES
MANDATE
MARKET EXCHANGE RATES
MARKET VALUE
MARKETABLE SECURITIES
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGE LENDING
MORTGAGES
NATIONAL ECONOMIES
NATIONAL SAVING
NATIONAL SAVINGS
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEW PRODUCTS
OIL EXPORTERS
OIL PRICES
OTHER CURRENCIES
OUTPUT
OUTSTANDING CLAIMS
PASSIVE INVESTORS
PAYMENTS CRISES
PENSION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PER CAPITA INCOMES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO EQUITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SAVING
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC DEFICIT
PUBLIC PENSION
PUBLIC SAVING
RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH
RAPID GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
RECESSION
REMOTE LOCATION
RETIREMENT AGE
RETURN
RETURNS
RISK AVERSE
RISK AVERSION
RISK EQUITY
SAVINGS RATES
SECURITIES
SETTLEMENT
SLOWDOWN
STOCKS
SURPLUS
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
TRADE DEFICIT
TREASURY
TREASURY SECURITIES
UNCERTAINTY
UNFUNDED PENSION
VALUATION
VALUATION CHANGES
VALUATIONS
VOLATILITY
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD FINANCIAL MARKETS
Cooper, Richard N.
Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances
relation Commission on Growth and Development Working Paper;No. 55
description This paper argues that global imbalances in current account positions are a natural consequence of globalization of financial markets and of demographic trends, particularly in Europe and in East Asia. Those societies are aging rapidly, with declining numbers of young adults. On both counts savings should be high and investment weak, resulting in excess saving. With globalization of capital markets, this excess saving will naturally seek secure investment opportunities abroad. The U.S. economy, where demographic trends are markedly different (due in part to immigration of young adults), offers a good combination of yield, liquidity, and security for this excess savings, which in time will be liquidated to finance consumption in old age. Thus the large 'imbalance' does not obviously reflect disequilibria in the world economy, but rather a current phase of intertemporal trade.
format Working Paper
author Cooper, Richard N.
author_facet Cooper, Richard N.
author_sort Cooper, Richard N.
title Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances
title_short Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances
title_full Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances
title_fullStr Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances
title_full_unstemmed Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances
title_sort remarks for yale workshop on global trends and challenges : understanding global imbalances
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/493151468330980345/Remarks-for-Yale-workshop-on-global-trends-and-challenges-understanding-global-imbalances
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27935
_version_ 1764465528307449856
spelling okr-10986-279352021-04-23T14:04:45Z Remarks for Yale Workshop on Global Trends and Challenges : Understanding Global Imbalances Cooper, Richard N. ACCOUNTING ASSETS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BONDS BUDGET DEFICITS CAPITAL GAINS CAPITAL GAINS ON EQUITIES CAPITAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL OUTFLOW CAPITAL STOCK CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANKS COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSOLIDATION CONSUMER CREDIT CONSUMER DURABLES CONSUMERS CORPORATE SAVINGS CURRENCY CURRENCY APPRECIATION CURRENCY APPRECIATIONS CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS CURRENT ACCOUNT POSITIONS CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES DEBT DEBT INSTRUMENTS DEBT OBLIGATIONS DEBTOR DEMOGRAPHIC DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DEPRECIATION DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DIRECT INVESTMENT DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH DIVIDENDS DOLLAR VALUES DOMESTIC DEMAND DYNAMIC ECONOMY ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS ECONOMIC DOWNTURN ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RECESSION ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMIC SIZE ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS EQUIPMENT EQUITY INVESTMENT EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION EXPORTS EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FEDERAL BUDGET FEDERAL RESERVE FINANCIAL ASSETS FINANCIAL CLAIMS FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL FLOWS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SYSTEM FISCAL CONSOLIDATION FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FIXED CAPITAL FLOW OF FUNDS FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN CAPITAL FOREIGN CLAIMS FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS FOREIGN FUNDS FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS FOREIGN INVESTORS FOREIGN OWNERSHIP GDP GLOBAL IMBALANCES GLOBALIZATION GOVERNMENT DEFICITS GOVERNMENT REVENUE GRAVITY MODEL GRAVITY MODELS GROWTH THEORY HIGH CAPITAL MOBILITY HOME COUNTRIES HOME CURRENCIES HOME EQUITY HOME EQUITY LOANS HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS IMBALANCE IMPORT IMPORT DEMAND IMPORTS INCOME STREAM INCOMES INDEBTEDNESS INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS INTANGIBLE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT INVESTING INVESTMENT EFFICIENCY INVESTMENT INCOME INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES INVESTMENT RATES JUDGE JUDGMENT KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY LABOR FORCE LIQUIDITY LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMIC POLICY MAJOR CURRENCIES MANDATE MARKET EXCHANGE RATES MARKET VALUE MARKETABLE SECURITIES MONETARY AUTHORITIES MONETARY POLICY MORTGAGE MORTGAGE LENDING MORTGAGES NATIONAL ECONOMIES NATIONAL SAVING NATIONAL SAVINGS NATURAL RESOURCES NEW PRODUCTS OIL EXPORTERS OIL PRICES OTHER CURRENCIES OUTPUT OUTSTANDING CLAIMS PASSIVE INVESTORS PAYMENTS CRISES PENSION PER CAPITA INCOME PER CAPITA INCOMES PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO EQUITY POVERTY REDUCTION PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE SAVING PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC DEFICIT PUBLIC PENSION PUBLIC SAVING RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH RAPID GROWTH REAL EXCHANGE RATES RECESSION REMOTE LOCATION RETIREMENT AGE RETURN RETURNS RISK AVERSE RISK AVERSION RISK EQUITY SAVINGS RATES SECURITIES SETTLEMENT SLOWDOWN STOCKS SURPLUS TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE TRADE DEFICIT TREASURY TREASURY SECURITIES UNCERTAINTY UNFUNDED PENSION VALUATION VALUATION CHANGES VALUATIONS VOLATILITY WORLD ECONOMY WORLD FINANCIAL MARKETS This paper argues that global imbalances in current account positions are a natural consequence of globalization of financial markets and of demographic trends, particularly in Europe and in East Asia. Those societies are aging rapidly, with declining numbers of young adults. On both counts savings should be high and investment weak, resulting in excess saving. With globalization of capital markets, this excess saving will naturally seek secure investment opportunities abroad. The U.S. economy, where demographic trends are markedly different (due in part to immigration of young adults), offers a good combination of yield, liquidity, and security for this excess savings, which in time will be liquidated to finance consumption in old age. Thus the large 'imbalance' does not obviously reflect disequilibria in the world economy, but rather a current phase of intertemporal trade. 2017-08-17T21:40:43Z 2017-08-17T21:40:43Z 2009 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/493151468330980345/Remarks-for-Yale-workshop-on-global-trends-and-challenges-understanding-global-imbalances http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27935 English en_US Commission on Growth and Development Working Paper;No. 55 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Working Paper Publications & Research