The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam
A 'bottom up' regional Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) model for Vietnam is constructed for 28 commodities and 8 regions (using a GSO input-output table for 2005). The model is used to analyze the recent dramatic increases in t...
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| Format: | Report |
| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/619361468329677689/The-effects-of-rice-export-policy-on-regional-income-prices-and-the-poor-A-bottom-up-regional-CGE-model-for-Vietnam http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27579 |
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okr-10986-275792021-04-23T14:04:43Z The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam Kompas, Tom Pham, Van Ha Tuong, Nhu Che Nguyen, Thi Minh Hoa Bui, Trinh AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURE BARRIERS TO ENTRY BENCHMARK BENCHMARKS CALORIE INTAKE CAPITAL STOCKS COFFEE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSUMER PRICE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS COTTON CROPS DECISION MAKING DELTA REGION DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURE EXPORTS FAO FARM FARM ASSETS FARMING FINANCIAL SERVICES FISHERIES FIXED CAPITAL FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICES FOOD SECURITY FREE TRADE GDP GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GRAIN HECTARES OF LAND HOUSEHOLD WELFARE INCOME INFLATION INFLATION RATE INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE INVENTORIES INVENTORY LIBERALIZATION LIVING STANDARDS MARKET INTEGRATION MARKET REFORM MARKET REFORMS MULTIPLIERS OUTPUT OUTPUTS PADDY PEPPER PERENNIAL CROPS PLANTING POULTRY POVERTY ASSESSMENT PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASE PRIVATE PROPERTY PRODUCE PRODUCTION COST PROPERTY RIGHTS REAL INCOME REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS REGIONAL DIMENSION REGIONAL ECONOMY REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT REGIONAL IMPACTS REGIONAL INCOME REGIONAL INEQUALITY REGIONAL INPUT REMOTE REGION RETAIL RICE CULTIVATION RICE PRICE RICE PRICES RICE PROCESSING RICE PRODUCTION RURAL AREAS RURAL DWELLERS RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR SAVINGS SPATIAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL SPREAD SURPLUS TAX TEA TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICY WAGES WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION A 'bottom up' regional Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) model for Vietnam is constructed for 28 commodities and 8 regions (using a GSO input-output table for 2005). The model is used to analyze the recent dramatic increases in the world price of rice on the regional economy of Vietnam, and the Vietnamese policy response to limit exports. Although results show limited 'pro-poor' outcomes, the CGE model and a micro-simulation (using 2006 VHLSS - Vietnamese Household Living Standard Survey data) show that recent rice export quotas resulted in falls total rural savings as measured by the difference in total income less total production cost and consumption of rice. The structure of the paper is as follows. Section two provides the background and reviews existing studies in Vietnam that have tried to estimate the welfare impact of government policies in rice market. Section three describes the methods and data. The results from the CGE model and micro-simulation on household data are discussed in section four. Section five offer concluding remarks. 2017-07-17T19:02:55Z 2017-07-17T19:02:55Z 2010-04 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/619361468329677689/The-effects-of-rice-export-policy-on-regional-income-prices-and-the-poor-A-bottom-up-regional-CGE-model-for-Vietnam http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27579 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Other Poverty Study Economic & Sector Work East Asia and Pacific Vietnam |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURE BARRIERS TO ENTRY BENCHMARK BENCHMARKS CALORIE INTAKE CAPITAL STOCKS COFFEE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSUMER PRICE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS COTTON CROPS DECISION MAKING DELTA REGION DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURE EXPORTS FAO FARM FARM ASSETS FARMING FINANCIAL SERVICES FISHERIES FIXED CAPITAL FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICES FOOD SECURITY FREE TRADE GDP GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GRAIN HECTARES OF LAND HOUSEHOLD WELFARE INCOME INFLATION INFLATION RATE INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE INVENTORIES INVENTORY LIBERALIZATION LIVING STANDARDS MARKET INTEGRATION MARKET REFORM MARKET REFORMS MULTIPLIERS OUTPUT OUTPUTS PADDY PEPPER PERENNIAL CROPS PLANTING POULTRY POVERTY ASSESSMENT PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASE PRIVATE PROPERTY PRODUCE PRODUCTION COST PROPERTY RIGHTS REAL INCOME REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS REGIONAL DIMENSION REGIONAL ECONOMY REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT REGIONAL IMPACTS REGIONAL INCOME REGIONAL INEQUALITY REGIONAL INPUT REMOTE REGION RETAIL RICE CULTIVATION RICE PRICE RICE PRICES RICE PROCESSING RICE PRODUCTION RURAL AREAS RURAL DWELLERS RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR SAVINGS SPATIAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL SPREAD SURPLUS TAX TEA TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICY WAGES WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION |
| spellingShingle |
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURE BARRIERS TO ENTRY BENCHMARK BENCHMARKS CALORIE INTAKE CAPITAL STOCKS COFFEE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSUMER PRICE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS COTTON CROPS DECISION MAKING DELTA REGION DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURE EXPORTS FAO FARM FARM ASSETS FARMING FINANCIAL SERVICES FISHERIES FIXED CAPITAL FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICES FOOD SECURITY FREE TRADE GDP GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GRAIN HECTARES OF LAND HOUSEHOLD WELFARE INCOME INFLATION INFLATION RATE INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE INVENTORIES INVENTORY LIBERALIZATION LIVING STANDARDS MARKET INTEGRATION MARKET REFORM MARKET REFORMS MULTIPLIERS OUTPUT OUTPUTS PADDY PEPPER PERENNIAL CROPS PLANTING POULTRY POVERTY ASSESSMENT PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASE PRIVATE PROPERTY PRODUCE PRODUCTION COST PROPERTY RIGHTS REAL INCOME REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS REGIONAL DIMENSION REGIONAL ECONOMY REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT REGIONAL IMPACTS REGIONAL INCOME REGIONAL INEQUALITY REGIONAL INPUT REMOTE REGION RETAIL RICE CULTIVATION RICE PRICE RICE PRICES RICE PROCESSING RICE PRODUCTION RURAL AREAS RURAL DWELLERS RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR SAVINGS SPATIAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL SPREAD SURPLUS TAX TEA TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICY WAGES WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION Kompas, Tom Pham, Van Ha Tuong, Nhu Che Nguyen, Thi Minh Hoa Bui, Trinh The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam |
| geographic_facet |
East Asia and Pacific Vietnam |
| description |
A 'bottom up' regional
Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) model for Vietnam
is constructed for 28 commodities and 8 regions (using a GSO
input-output table for 2005). The model is used to analyze
the recent dramatic increases in the world price of rice on
the regional economy of Vietnam, and the Vietnamese policy
response to limit exports. Although results show limited
'pro-poor' outcomes, the CGE model and a
micro-simulation (using 2006 VHLSS - Vietnamese Household
Living Standard Survey data) show that recent rice export
quotas resulted in falls total rural savings as measured by
the difference in total income less total production cost
and consumption of rice. The structure of the paper is as
follows. Section two provides the background and reviews
existing studies in Vietnam that have tried to estimate the
welfare impact of government policies in rice market.
Section three describes the methods and data. The results
from the CGE model and micro-simulation on household data
are discussed in section four. Section five offer concluding remarks. |
| format |
Report |
| author |
Kompas, Tom Pham, Van Ha Tuong, Nhu Che Nguyen, Thi Minh Hoa Bui, Trinh |
| author_facet |
Kompas, Tom Pham, Van Ha Tuong, Nhu Che Nguyen, Thi Minh Hoa Bui, Trinh |
| author_sort |
Kompas, Tom |
| title |
The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam |
| title_short |
The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam |
| title_full |
The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam |
| title_fullStr |
The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The Effects of Rice Export Policy on Regional Income, Prices and the Poor : A 'Bottom-Up' Regional CGE Model for Vietnam |
| title_sort |
effects of rice export policy on regional income, prices and the poor : a 'bottom-up' regional cge model for vietnam |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2017 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/619361468329677689/The-effects-of-rice-export-policy-on-regional-income-prices-and-the-poor-A-bottom-up-regional-CGE-model-for-Vietnam http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27579 |
| _version_ |
1764464926021124096 |