Bangladesh Economic Update, April 2011
The outlook for FY2011 has changed since the last macroeconomic update in October 2010.1 While gross development product (GDP) growths is still projected to be around 6.2 percent in FY11, inflationary pressures have strengthened and the external po...
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Format: | Report |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
Washington, DC
2017
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/771981468006879176/Bangladesh-economic-update http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27405 |
Summary: | The outlook for FY2011 has changed since
the last macroeconomic update in October 2010.1 While gross
development product (GDP) growths is still projected to be
around 6.2 percent in FY11, inflationary pressures have
strengthened and the external position has weakened. Rising
energy and food subsidies are placing a strain on the
budget, but higher-than-anticipated revenues and
lower-than-budgeted Annual Development Program expenditures
leave sufficient fiscal space for the government to react to
these pressures. Progress on reforms is mixed, with advances
made on Value Added Tax reforms, efforts to tighten
liquidity and setting up a framework for public-private
partnership projects. Developments on telecommunication
policy, the Anticorruption Commission, and policy responses
to stock market volatility are a cause for concern. The
growth outlook for FY12 remains good but there are risks
that need to be contained. Short-term risks include rising
food and fuel prices, deteriorating remittances, an
increased reserve drawdown, a growing quasi-fiscal deficit,
stock market volatility and its potential impact on the
banking sector. Long-term risks include the inability to
sufficiently alleviate power shortages, raise public
investment, and remove bottlenecks for private investment. |
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