Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014

Afghanistan will experience a major security and development transition over the next three years. At the Kabul and Lisbon Conferences in 2010, NATO and the Afghan government agreed that full responsibility for security would be handed over to the...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
GDP
IMF
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/197871468184758083/Main-report
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27224
id okr-10986-27224
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTABILITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURE
AID DEPENDENCE
AID DEPENDENCY
AID EFFECTIVENESS
AID FINANCING
AID FLOWS
AID PROGRAMS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BASE YEAR
BOUNDARIES
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CASH CROP
CESSATION OF HOSTILITIES
CIVIL LIBERTIES
CIVIL WAR
COLLECTIVE ACTION
COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
COMMUNITY LEADERS
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
CONFLICT
CONFLICTS
CORRUPTION
CORRUPTION INDICATOR
COUNTERINSURGENCY
CRIME
CRIMINALITY
CRITICAL IMPORTANCE
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DESERTION
DESERTIONS
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT FINANCING
DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS
DIPLOMACY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DRUG
DRUGS
ECONOMIC BOOM
ECONOMIC COOPERATION
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ELECTIONS
ETHNIC DIVERSITY
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FIGHTING
FINANCIAL AID
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
GAPS
GDP
GDP DEFLATOR
GDP PER CAPITA
GENDER GAPS
GOVERNMENT CAPACITY
GOVERNMENT EFFECTIVENESS
GOVERNMENT RESPONSE
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS NATIONAL INCOME
GROWTH RATES
HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE
HEALTH SERVICES
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RIGHTS
HYPERINFLATION
IMF
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENT
INTERNATIONAL AID
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE
INTERNATIONAL MILITARY FORCES
INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
KINSHIP
LARGE CITIES
LAW INDICATOR
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIVE BIRTHS
LOCAL GOVERNANCE
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
MILITARIZATION
MILITARY EXPENDITURE
MILITARY INTERVENTION
MORTALITY
MORTALITY RATE
NATIONAL AGENDA
NATIONAL GOVERNMENT
NATIONAL INCOME
NATIONAL PRIORITY
NATIONALISM
NATIONS
NEGOTIATIONS
NEUTRALITY
OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
PEACE
PEACEKEEPING
POLICY MAKERS
POLITICAL AUTHORITY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY OUTCOMES
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
POLITICAL LEADERS
POLITICAL PARTIES
POLITICAL POWER
POLITICAL PROCESS
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL STABILITY
POLITICAL SYSTEMS
POOR PERFORMANCE
POST CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PRIORITIES
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
PROGRESS
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC SERVICE
PUBLIC SERVICE DELIVERY
RAPID POPULATION GROWTH
RATES OF POPULATION
REAL GDP
RECESSION
RECONCILIATION
RECONSTRUCTION
REFUGEES
REGULATORY QUALITY
REHABILITATION
REMITTANCES
RESPECT
ROAD
RULE OF LAW
RURAL AREAS
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SECURITY FORCES
SERVICE DELIVERY
SIDE EFFECTS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS
SOVEREIGNTY
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUSTAINABILITY
TACTICS
TAKEOVER
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TECHNICAL COOPERATION
TORTURE
TRANSPARENCY
UNDP
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM
VALUE ADDED
VIOLENCE
VIOLENT CONFLICT
WAGES
WARS
WEAPONS
WORKING POPULATION
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLDWIDE GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
YOUNG MEN
YOUTH
spellingShingle ACCOUNTABILITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURE
AID DEPENDENCE
AID DEPENDENCY
AID EFFECTIVENESS
AID FINANCING
AID FLOWS
AID PROGRAMS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BASE YEAR
BOUNDARIES
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CASH CROP
CESSATION OF HOSTILITIES
CIVIL LIBERTIES
CIVIL WAR
COLLECTIVE ACTION
COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
COMMUNITY LEADERS
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
CONFLICT
CONFLICTS
CORRUPTION
CORRUPTION INDICATOR
COUNTERINSURGENCY
CRIME
CRIMINALITY
CRITICAL IMPORTANCE
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DESERTION
DESERTIONS
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT FINANCING
DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS
DIPLOMACY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DRUG
DRUGS
ECONOMIC BOOM
ECONOMIC COOPERATION
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ELECTIONS
ETHNIC DIVERSITY
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FIGHTING
FINANCIAL AID
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
GAPS
GDP
GDP DEFLATOR
GDP PER CAPITA
GENDER GAPS
GOVERNMENT CAPACITY
GOVERNMENT EFFECTIVENESS
GOVERNMENT RESPONSE
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS NATIONAL INCOME
GROWTH RATES
HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE
HEALTH SERVICES
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RIGHTS
HYPERINFLATION
IMF
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENT
INTERNATIONAL AID
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE
INTERNATIONAL MILITARY FORCES
INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
KINSHIP
LARGE CITIES
LAW INDICATOR
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIVE BIRTHS
LOCAL GOVERNANCE
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
MILITARIZATION
MILITARY EXPENDITURE
MILITARY INTERVENTION
MORTALITY
MORTALITY RATE
NATIONAL AGENDA
NATIONAL GOVERNMENT
NATIONAL INCOME
NATIONAL PRIORITY
NATIONALISM
NATIONS
NEGOTIATIONS
NEUTRALITY
OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
PEACE
PEACEKEEPING
POLICY MAKERS
POLITICAL AUTHORITY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY OUTCOMES
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
POLITICAL LEADERS
POLITICAL PARTIES
POLITICAL POWER
POLITICAL PROCESS
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL STABILITY
POLITICAL SYSTEMS
POOR PERFORMANCE
POST CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PRIORITIES
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
PROGRESS
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC SERVICE
PUBLIC SERVICE DELIVERY
RAPID POPULATION GROWTH
RATES OF POPULATION
REAL GDP
RECESSION
RECONCILIATION
RECONSTRUCTION
REFUGEES
REGULATORY QUALITY
REHABILITATION
REMITTANCES
RESPECT
ROAD
RULE OF LAW
RURAL AREAS
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SECURITY FORCES
SERVICE DELIVERY
SIDE EFFECTS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS
SOVEREIGNTY
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUSTAINABILITY
TACTICS
TAKEOVER
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TECHNICAL COOPERATION
TORTURE
TRANSPARENCY
UNDP
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM
VALUE ADDED
VIOLENCE
VIOLENT CONFLICT
WAGES
WARS
WEAPONS
WORKING POPULATION
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLDWIDE GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
YOUNG MEN
YOUTH
World Bank
Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014
geographic_facet South Asia
Afghanistan
description Afghanistan will experience a major security and development transition over the next three years. At the Kabul and Lisbon Conferences in 2010, NATO and the Afghan government agreed that full responsibility for security would be handed over to the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) by the end of 2014. Development progress since 2001 has been mixed. Some major achievements have been recorded, such as rapid economic growth (with large fluctuations), relatively low inflation (after hyperinflation in the 1990s), better public financial management, and gains in basic health and education. Key social indicators, including life expectancy and maternal mortality, have improved markedly (admittedly from an extremely low base), and women are participating more in the economy. Yet in other respects, particularly governance and institution building, the country has fared less well, and many indicators have worsened in recent years. Afghanistan remains one of the world's least developed countries, with a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of only $528 in 2010/11. More than a third of the population live below the poverty line, more than half are vulnerable and at serious risk of falling into poverty, and three?quarters are illiterate. This report is intended to be comprehensive, so it also discusses the broader historical and political economy context of development in the country, and how Afghanistan compares with other countries that have undergone their own transitions over the past 30 years. This report is based on data collected from various sources in 2011, and its analysis and findings therefore comprise the team's considered assessment using the best available information available by the end of that year. In addition, projections of future trends in Afghanistan inevitably are subject to uncertainty and reflect any weaknesses in the underlying data. Thus the report's projections should be seen as subject to further adjustments and improvements as better and more recent information become available. This report is presented in two volumes. Volume one is a stand?alone Overview which highlights the main findings, projections, and recommendations of the study. Volume two consists of five chapters presenting the detailed empirical background, analytical findings, projections, and recommendations of the study, along with a concluding chapter and three technical appendices.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014
title_short Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014
title_full Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014
title_fullStr Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014
title_full_unstemmed Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014
title_sort afghanistan in transition : looking beyond 2014
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/197871468184758083/Main-report
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27224
_version_ 1764463641757745152
spelling okr-10986-272242021-04-23T14:04:40Z Afghanistan in Transition : Looking Beyond 2014 World Bank ACCOUNTABILITY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE AID DEPENDENCE AID DEPENDENCY AID EFFECTIVENESS AID FINANCING AID FLOWS AID PROGRAMS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BASE YEAR BOUNDARIES BUDGET DEFICITS CAPACITY BUILDING CASH CROP CESSATION OF HOSTILITIES CIVIL LIBERTIES CIVIL WAR COLLECTIVE ACTION COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY LEADERS COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS CONFLICT CONFLICTS CORRUPTION CORRUPTION INDICATOR COUNTERINSURGENCY CRIME CRIMINALITY CRITICAL IMPORTANCE DEPENDENCY RATIOS DESERTION DESERTIONS DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT FINANCING DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS DIPLOMACY DIRECT INVESTMENT DRUG DRUGS ECONOMIC BOOM ECONOMIC COOPERATION ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ELECTIONS ETHNIC DIVERSITY EXTERNAL FINANCING FIGHTING FINANCIAL AID FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FOREIGN AID FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT GAPS GDP GDP DEFLATOR GDP PER CAPITA GENDER GAPS GOVERNMENT CAPACITY GOVERNMENT EFFECTIVENESS GOVERNMENT RESPONSE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS NATIONAL INCOME GROWTH RATES HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE HEALTH SERVICES HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HUMAN RIGHTS HYPERINFLATION IMF INFLATION INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENT INTERNATIONAL AID INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE INTERNATIONAL MILITARY FORCES INTERNATIONAL SECURITY KINSHIP LARGE CITIES LAW INDICATOR LIFE EXPECTANCY LIVE BIRTHS LOCAL GOVERNANCE MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS MILITARIZATION MILITARY EXPENDITURE MILITARY INTERVENTION MORTALITY MORTALITY RATE NATIONAL AGENDA NATIONAL GOVERNMENT NATIONAL INCOME NATIONAL PRIORITY NATIONALISM NATIONS NEGOTIATIONS NEUTRALITY OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PEACE PEACEKEEPING POLICY MAKERS POLITICAL AUTHORITY POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL ECONOMY OUTCOMES POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS POLITICAL LEADERS POLITICAL PARTIES POLITICAL POWER POLITICAL PROCESS POLITICAL RIGHTS POLITICAL STABILITY POLITICAL SYSTEMS POOR PERFORMANCE POST CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIORITIES PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH PROGRESS PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC SERVICE PUBLIC SERVICE DELIVERY RAPID POPULATION GROWTH RATES OF POPULATION REAL GDP RECESSION RECONCILIATION RECONSTRUCTION REFUGEES REGULATORY QUALITY REHABILITATION REMITTANCES RESPECT ROAD RULE OF LAW RURAL AREAS RURAL DEVELOPMENT SECURITY FORCES SERVICE DELIVERY SIDE EFFECTS SOCIAL SERVICES SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS SOVEREIGNTY STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUSTAINABILITY TACTICS TAKEOVER TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TECHNICAL COOPERATION TORTURE TRANSPARENCY UNDP UNEMPLOYMENT UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM VALUE ADDED VIOLENCE VIOLENT CONFLICT WAGES WARS WEAPONS WORKING POPULATION WORLD DEVELOPMENT WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLDWIDE GOVERNANCE INDICATORS YOUNG MEN YOUTH Afghanistan will experience a major security and development transition over the next three years. At the Kabul and Lisbon Conferences in 2010, NATO and the Afghan government agreed that full responsibility for security would be handed over to the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) by the end of 2014. Development progress since 2001 has been mixed. Some major achievements have been recorded, such as rapid economic growth (with large fluctuations), relatively low inflation (after hyperinflation in the 1990s), better public financial management, and gains in basic health and education. Key social indicators, including life expectancy and maternal mortality, have improved markedly (admittedly from an extremely low base), and women are participating more in the economy. Yet in other respects, particularly governance and institution building, the country has fared less well, and many indicators have worsened in recent years. Afghanistan remains one of the world's least developed countries, with a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of only $528 in 2010/11. More than a third of the population live below the poverty line, more than half are vulnerable and at serious risk of falling into poverty, and three?quarters are illiterate. This report is intended to be comprehensive, so it also discusses the broader historical and political economy context of development in the country, and how Afghanistan compares with other countries that have undergone their own transitions over the past 30 years. This report is based on data collected from various sources in 2011, and its analysis and findings therefore comprise the team's considered assessment using the best available information available by the end of that year. In addition, projections of future trends in Afghanistan inevitably are subject to uncertainty and reflect any weaknesses in the underlying data. Thus the report's projections should be seen as subject to further adjustments and improvements as better and more recent information become available. This report is presented in two volumes. Volume one is a stand?alone Overview which highlights the main findings, projections, and recommendations of the study. Volume two consists of five chapters presenting the detailed empirical background, analytical findings, projections, and recommendations of the study, along with a concluding chapter and three technical appendices. 2017-06-15T20:04:22Z 2017-06-15T20:04:22Z 2012-05 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/197871468184758083/Main-report http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27224 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum Economic & Sector Work South Asia Afghanistan