East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, November 2009 : Transforming the Rebound into Recovery
A vigorous economic rebound is under way in East Asia since the second quarter of 2009, following the sharp impact from the financial crisis and the global recession that began in late 2008. As much as the reduction in exports and industrial produc...
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Format: | Publication |
Language: | English |
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World Bank
2012
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Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000333038_20091210003910 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2691 |
Summary: | A vigorous economic rebound is under way
in East Asia since the second quarter of 2009, following the
sharp impact from the financial crisis and the global
recession that began in late 2008. As much as the reduction
in exports and industrial production across the region in
the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009 was
unexpectedly swift and deep, so is the strength of the
rebound, with doubts about green shoots dispelled in a
matter of months and replaced by near-consensus views of a
synchronized global rebound led by emerging East Asia. The
robust rebound is due to a combination of timely and large
fiscal and monetary stimulus in most countries in East Asia,
notably in China, and a powerful process of inventory
restocking that began after mid-2009. Globally, the advanced
economies joined the rebound trend in the third quarter of
2009, and their contributions to global industrial
production notably driven by inventory accumulation have
begun to outpace the contribution from the East Asia region.
These developments are set against a background of solid
macroeconomic fundamentals, including high foreign exchange
reserves, large private and corporate savings, and low
corporate and government debt. The region's
well-capitalized banks and much improved banking supervision
since the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis have also helped
limit financial contagion and the transmission of the forces
of global recession. |
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