Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar

This paper investigates the dynamics of the informal sector in Madagascar during a period of fragile growth. Overall, the behavior of informal firms in terms of earnings, employment and capital accumulation points to a degree of heterogeneity which...

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Main Authors: Vaillant, Julia, Grimm, Michael, Lay, Jann, Roubaud, François
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/357541468337172457/Informal-sector-dynamics-in-times-of-fragile-growth-the-case-of-Madagascar
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26798
id okr-10986-26798
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCESS TO CAPITAL
ACCESS TO CREDIT
ACCESS TO FINANCE
ACCESS TO FORMAL CREDIT
ACCOUNTS
ACCUMULATION RATE
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
ADVANCED ECONOMY
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
BANK CREDIT
BANK POLICY
BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BIASES
BORROWING
BUSINESS ACTIVITIES
BUSINESS ACTIVITY
BUSINESS ASSOCIATIONS
BUSINESS ECONOMICS
BUSINESS OWNERS
BUSINESS RISK
BUSINESS RISKS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL CONSTRAINT
CAPITAL CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL COST
CAPITAL COSTS
CAPITAL INJECTION
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
CAPITAL RETURNS
CAPITAL SHORTAGES
CAPITAL STOCK
CAPITAL STOCKS
CHECKS
COLLATERAL
CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS
COST OF CAPITAL
CREDIT CONSTRAINED FIRMS
CREDIT CONSTRAINT
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CREDIT HISTORY
CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
CREDIT MARKET
CREDIT MARKETS
CREDIT RATIONING
DEGREES OF RISK
DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DIVERSIFICATION
DUMMY VARIABLE
DUMMY VARIABLES
DURABLE
DURABLE GOODS
EARNINGS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC STATISTICS
ENDOWMENTS
ENTERPRISE PERFORMANCE
ENTREPRENEUR
ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITIES
ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITY
ENTREPRENEURS
ENTRY BARRIERS
EQUIPMENT
EXCESSIVE RISK
EXPECTED UTILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL FINANCE
FAMILY FINANCE
FAMILY LOANS
FARMERS
FEMALE ENTREPRENEURS
FINANCIAL MEANS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FIXED COSTS
FORMAL BANKS
GDP
GROUP OF FIRMS
GROWTH THEORY
HIGH INTEREST RATES
HOLDING
HOUSEHOLD WEALTH
HOUSEHOLDS
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME GROWTH
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INFORMATION ON ENTREPRENEURS
INFORMATION ON INVESTMENT
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MARKET
INSURANCE MARKETS
INSURANCE PRODUCTS
INTEREST RATE
INTERNAL FINANCE
INTERNAL FUNDS
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
INVESTING
INVESTMENT BEHAVIOR
JOB CREATION
LABOR FORCE SURVEY
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LACK OF ACCESS
LEVEL OF RISK
LIQUID WEALTH
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINT
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINTS
LIQUIDITY PREMIUM
LIQUIDITY PROBLEMS
LOAN
LOTTERY
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARGINAL UTILITY
MARGINAL UTILITY OF CONSUMPTION
MARKET CONSTRAINTS
MARKET ECONOMY
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET FAILURES
MARKET INTEREST RATE
MARKET INTEREST RATES
MICRO DATA
MICRO ENTERPRISES
MICRO-CREDIT
MICRO-ENTERPRISE
MICRO-FINANCE
MICRO-FINANCE INSTITUTIONS
MICROCREDIT
MICROENTERPRISES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONEY LENDERS
MONEYLENDERS
MORAL HAZARD
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PRICE RISK
PRICE UNCERTAINTY
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT
PROFITABILITY
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF RETURN
RATES OF RETURN
RECEIPTS
REINVESTMENT
RETAINED EARNINGS
RISK AVERSION
RISK PERCEPTIONS
RISK PREMIUM
RISK-AVERSE INDIVIDUALS
SAFE ASSET
SAVINGS
SELF-EMPLOYMENT
SMALL BUSINESS
SMALL ENTERPRISES
SMALL-SCALE ENTREPRENEURS
SOURCE OF CREDIT
SOURCES OF FINANCE
START-UP
TAX
TAXIS
TRADE SECTOR
TRADING
TRANSITION COUNTRY
TRANSITION ECONOMY
TRUST FUND
UNION
VALUE ADDED
WEALTH
spellingShingle ACCESS TO CAPITAL
ACCESS TO CREDIT
ACCESS TO FINANCE
ACCESS TO FORMAL CREDIT
ACCOUNTS
ACCUMULATION RATE
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
ADVANCED ECONOMY
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
BANK CREDIT
BANK POLICY
BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BIASES
BORROWING
BUSINESS ACTIVITIES
BUSINESS ACTIVITY
BUSINESS ASSOCIATIONS
BUSINESS ECONOMICS
BUSINESS OWNERS
BUSINESS RISK
BUSINESS RISKS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL CONSTRAINT
CAPITAL CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL COST
CAPITAL COSTS
CAPITAL INJECTION
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
CAPITAL RETURNS
CAPITAL SHORTAGES
CAPITAL STOCK
CAPITAL STOCKS
CHECKS
COLLATERAL
CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS
COST OF CAPITAL
CREDIT CONSTRAINED FIRMS
CREDIT CONSTRAINT
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CREDIT HISTORY
CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
CREDIT MARKET
CREDIT MARKETS
CREDIT RATIONING
DEGREES OF RISK
DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DIVERSIFICATION
DUMMY VARIABLE
DUMMY VARIABLES
DURABLE
DURABLE GOODS
EARNINGS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC STATISTICS
ENDOWMENTS
ENTERPRISE PERFORMANCE
ENTREPRENEUR
ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITIES
ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITY
ENTREPRENEURS
ENTRY BARRIERS
EQUIPMENT
EXCESSIVE RISK
EXPECTED UTILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL FINANCE
FAMILY FINANCE
FAMILY LOANS
FARMERS
FEMALE ENTREPRENEURS
FINANCIAL MEANS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FIXED COSTS
FORMAL BANKS
GDP
GROUP OF FIRMS
GROWTH THEORY
HIGH INTEREST RATES
HOLDING
HOUSEHOLD WEALTH
HOUSEHOLDS
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME GROWTH
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INFORMATION ON ENTREPRENEURS
INFORMATION ON INVESTMENT
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MARKET
INSURANCE MARKETS
INSURANCE PRODUCTS
INTEREST RATE
INTERNAL FINANCE
INTERNAL FUNDS
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
INVESTING
INVESTMENT BEHAVIOR
JOB CREATION
LABOR FORCE SURVEY
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LACK OF ACCESS
LEVEL OF RISK
LIQUID WEALTH
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINT
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINTS
LIQUIDITY PREMIUM
LIQUIDITY PROBLEMS
LOAN
LOTTERY
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARGINAL UTILITY
MARGINAL UTILITY OF CONSUMPTION
MARKET CONSTRAINTS
MARKET ECONOMY
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET FAILURES
MARKET INTEREST RATE
MARKET INTEREST RATES
MICRO DATA
MICRO ENTERPRISES
MICRO-CREDIT
MICRO-ENTERPRISE
MICRO-FINANCE
MICRO-FINANCE INSTITUTIONS
MICROCREDIT
MICROENTERPRISES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONEY LENDERS
MONEYLENDERS
MORAL HAZARD
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PRICE RISK
PRICE UNCERTAINTY
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT
PROFITABILITY
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF RETURN
RATES OF RETURN
RECEIPTS
REINVESTMENT
RETAINED EARNINGS
RISK AVERSION
RISK PERCEPTIONS
RISK PREMIUM
RISK-AVERSE INDIVIDUALS
SAFE ASSET
SAVINGS
SELF-EMPLOYMENT
SMALL BUSINESS
SMALL ENTERPRISES
SMALL-SCALE ENTREPRENEURS
SOURCE OF CREDIT
SOURCES OF FINANCE
START-UP
TAX
TAXIS
TRADE SECTOR
TRADING
TRANSITION COUNTRY
TRANSITION ECONOMY
TRUST FUND
UNION
VALUE ADDED
WEALTH
Vaillant, Julia
Grimm, Michael
Lay, Jann
Roubaud, François
Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar
geographic_facet Africa
Madagascar
description This paper investigates the dynamics of the informal sector in Madagascar during a period of fragile growth. Overall, the behavior of informal firms in terms of earnings, employment and capital accumulation points to a degree of heterogeneity which goes beyond a simple dualistic model and even a more refined model that would distinguish between an upper entrepreneurial and a lower subsistence tier within the informal sector. However, in line with the dualistic model, the informal sector indeed fulfills a labor absorbing function in times of crisis. During the growth period authors see capital accumulation in most of the sectors and lots of evidence that households expand their activities. However, this happens mainly through the creation of new firms instead of the expansion of existing ones, which is consistent with much higher returns at very low levels of capital. More rapid expansion can be observed in sectors that operate with lower capital intensity, which is also consistent with risk or credit constraints as major deterrents to expansion. While there is some indication that total factor productivity increased over time, returns to capital and labor where not higher at the end of the observation period than at the beginning. Returns are also rather low at high levels of capital. These findings point to a limited growth potential of the informal sector as a whole. The heterogeneity in capital returns hints at large inefficiencies in allocating capital across informal firms.
format Working Paper
author Vaillant, Julia
Grimm, Michael
Lay, Jann
Roubaud, François
author_facet Vaillant, Julia
Grimm, Michael
Lay, Jann
Roubaud, François
author_sort Vaillant, Julia
title Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar
title_short Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar
title_full Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar
title_fullStr Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar
title_full_unstemmed Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar
title_sort informal sector dynamics in times of fragile growth : the case of madagascar
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/357541468337172457/Informal-sector-dynamics-in-times-of-fragile-growth-the-case-of-Madagascar
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26798
_version_ 1764462862139392000
spelling okr-10986-267982021-04-23T14:04:38Z Informal Sector Dynamics in Times of Fragile Growth : The Case of Madagascar Vaillant, Julia Grimm, Michael Lay, Jann Roubaud, François ACCESS TO CAPITAL ACCESS TO CREDIT ACCESS TO FINANCE ACCESS TO FORMAL CREDIT ACCOUNTS ACCUMULATION RATE ADVANCED ECONOMIES ADVANCED ECONOMY AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS BANK CREDIT BANK POLICY BARRIERS TO ENTRY BIASES BORROWING BUSINESS ACTIVITIES BUSINESS ACTIVITY BUSINESS ASSOCIATIONS BUSINESS ECONOMICS BUSINESS OWNERS BUSINESS RISK BUSINESS RISKS CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL CONSTRAINT CAPITAL CONSTRAINTS CAPITAL COST CAPITAL COSTS CAPITAL INJECTION CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS CAPITAL RETURNS CAPITAL SHORTAGES CAPITAL STOCK CAPITAL STOCKS CHECKS COLLATERAL CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS COST OF CAPITAL CREDIT CONSTRAINED FIRMS CREDIT CONSTRAINT CREDIT CONSTRAINTS CREDIT HISTORY CREDIT INSTITUTIONS CREDIT MARKET CREDIT MARKETS CREDIT RATIONING DEGREES OF RISK DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DIVERSIFICATION DUMMY VARIABLE DUMMY VARIABLES DURABLE DURABLE GOODS EARNINGS ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC STATISTICS ENDOWMENTS ENTERPRISE PERFORMANCE ENTREPRENEUR ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITIES ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITY ENTREPRENEURS ENTRY BARRIERS EQUIPMENT EXCESSIVE RISK EXPECTED UTILITY EXPECTED VALUE EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXTERNAL FINANCE FAMILY FINANCE FAMILY LOANS FARMERS FEMALE ENTREPRENEURS FINANCIAL MEANS FINANCIAL RESOURCES FINANCIAL SUPPORT FIXED COSTS FORMAL BANKS GDP GROUP OF FIRMS GROWTH THEORY HIGH INTEREST RATES HOLDING HOUSEHOLD WEALTH HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME GROWTH INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES INFORMATION ON ENTREPRENEURS INFORMATION ON INVESTMENT INSTRUMENT INSURANCE INSURANCE MARKET INSURANCE MARKETS INSURANCE PRODUCTS INTEREST RATE INTERNAL FINANCE INTERNAL FUNDS INVENTORIES INVENTORY INVESTING INVESTMENT BEHAVIOR JOB CREATION LABOR FORCE SURVEY LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LACK OF ACCESS LEVEL OF RISK LIQUID WEALTH LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINT LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINTS LIQUIDITY PREMIUM LIQUIDITY PROBLEMS LOAN LOTTERY MARGINAL COST MARGINAL PRODUCT MARGINAL UTILITY MARGINAL UTILITY OF CONSUMPTION MARKET CONSTRAINTS MARKET ECONOMY MARKET FAILURE MARKET FAILURES MARKET INTEREST RATE MARKET INTEREST RATES MICRO DATA MICRO ENTERPRISES MICRO-CREDIT MICRO-ENTERPRISE MICRO-FINANCE MICRO-FINANCE INSTITUTIONS MICROCREDIT MICROENTERPRISES MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MONEY LENDERS MONEYLENDERS MORAL HAZARD OPPORTUNITY COST OPPORTUNITY COSTS PHYSICAL CAPITAL POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PRICE RISK PRICE UNCERTAINTY PRODUCTION FUNCTION PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT PROFITABILITY PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RATE OF RETURN RATES OF RETURN RECEIPTS REINVESTMENT RETAINED EARNINGS RISK AVERSION RISK PERCEPTIONS RISK PREMIUM RISK-AVERSE INDIVIDUALS SAFE ASSET SAVINGS SELF-EMPLOYMENT SMALL BUSINESS SMALL ENTERPRISES SMALL-SCALE ENTREPRENEURS SOURCE OF CREDIT SOURCES OF FINANCE START-UP TAX TAXIS TRADE SECTOR TRADING TRANSITION COUNTRY TRANSITION ECONOMY TRUST FUND UNION VALUE ADDED WEALTH This paper investigates the dynamics of the informal sector in Madagascar during a period of fragile growth. Overall, the behavior of informal firms in terms of earnings, employment and capital accumulation points to a degree of heterogeneity which goes beyond a simple dualistic model and even a more refined model that would distinguish between an upper entrepreneurial and a lower subsistence tier within the informal sector. However, in line with the dualistic model, the informal sector indeed fulfills a labor absorbing function in times of crisis. During the growth period authors see capital accumulation in most of the sectors and lots of evidence that households expand their activities. However, this happens mainly through the creation of new firms instead of the expansion of existing ones, which is consistent with much higher returns at very low levels of capital. More rapid expansion can be observed in sectors that operate with lower capital intensity, which is also consistent with risk or credit constraints as major deterrents to expansion. While there is some indication that total factor productivity increased over time, returns to capital and labor where not higher at the end of the observation period than at the beginning. Returns are also rather low at high levels of capital. These findings point to a limited growth potential of the informal sector as a whole. The heterogeneity in capital returns hints at large inefficiencies in allocating capital across informal firms. 2017-05-30T22:19:39Z 2017-05-30T22:19:39Z 2011-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/357541468337172457/Informal-sector-dynamics-in-times-of-fragile-growth-the-case-of-Madagascar http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26798 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Madagascar