Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness

Since 2004 (Ethiopian Fiscal Year (EFY) 1997), Ethiopia has experienced strong and generally broad-based real economic growth of around 10.6 percent on average between then and 2011. Growth over the last nine years was far beyond the growth rates r...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Geiger, Michael, Goh, Chorching
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
WTO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/842791468252567684/Ethiopia-economic-update-overcoming-inflation-raising-competitiveness
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26771
id okr-10986-26771
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ADVERSE SHOCK
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ASSETS
AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BANK POLICY
BANKING SYSTEM
BROAD MONEY
BUDGETING
CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL INCOME
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL REQUIREMENT
CASH FLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK BILLS
CENTRAL BANK POLICY
CEREAL PRICE
COMMERCIAL BANK
COMMON MARKET
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER PRICE INFLATION
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION BASKETS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CORE INFLATION
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENCY DEVALUATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
DEBT
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT SERVICE
DEFICITS
DEPRECIATION
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISTORTIONS
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC SAVINGS
DURABLE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC SITUATION
ECONOMIC SIZE
EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
ELASTICITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXPERIENCE OF COUNTRIES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORTS
EXPROPRIATION
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL TRADE
EXTREME POVERTY
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL HEALTH
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL PRESSURE
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FOOD PRICE
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL TRADE
GLOBALIZATION
GOLD
GOVERNMENT DEFICIT
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
HIGH INFLATION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME TAX
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFLATION
INFLATION EXPECTATIONS
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION TARGET
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INPUT PRICES
INSURANCE
INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT LEVELS
INVESTMENT PATTERNS
INVESTMENT RATE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LEVELS OF EXPORTS
LEVERAGE
LIQUIDITY
LIVING STANDARDS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRY
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
MARKET FORCES
MARKET INTEGRATION
MARKET PRICES
MARKETING
MARKETIZATION
MONETARY CONDITIONS
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY TRANSMISSION
NATIONAL BANK
NATIONAL ECONOMY
NATIONAL FINANCES
NATIONAL INVESTMENT
NATIONAL SAVING
NOMINAL ANCHOR
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
PER CAPITA INCOME
PERSONAL INCOME
POPULATION GROWTH
POSITIVE EFFECTS
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE DYNAMICS
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INDICES
PRICE INFLATION
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE OF GOOD
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE BANKS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRIVATE PROPERTY
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRODUCER PRICES
PRODUCTION COSTS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PROPERTY RIGHTS PROTECTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PURCHASING POWER
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
REAL INCOME
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL INTEREST RATES
REGIONAL INFLATION
RELATIVE PRICE
RESERVE
RESERVE ACCUMULATION
RESERVE MONEY
RESERVE REQUIREMENT
RESERVES
RETAIL
RETAIL PRICE
RETAIL PRICES
RETURNS
SAVINGS
SAVINGS RATE
SERVICES MARKET
SHORTFALL
SLOWDOWN
SUBSTITUTION
SURPLUS
TARIFF INCREASES
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX REFORM
TAXATION
TOTAL EXPORT
TOTAL IMPORT
TOTAL RESERVES
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DEFICIT
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTION COSTS
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
spellingShingle ADVERSE SHOCK
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ASSETS
AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BANK POLICY
BANKING SYSTEM
BROAD MONEY
BUDGETING
CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL INCOME
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL REQUIREMENT
CASH FLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK BILLS
CENTRAL BANK POLICY
CEREAL PRICE
COMMERCIAL BANK
COMMON MARKET
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER PRICE INFLATION
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION BASKETS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CORE INFLATION
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENCY DEVALUATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
DEBT
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT SERVICE
DEFICITS
DEPRECIATION
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISTORTIONS
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC SAVINGS
DURABLE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC SITUATION
ECONOMIC SIZE
EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
ELASTICITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXPERIENCE OF COUNTRIES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORTS
EXPROPRIATION
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL TRADE
EXTREME POVERTY
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL HEALTH
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL PRESSURE
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FOOD PRICE
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL TRADE
GLOBALIZATION
GOLD
GOVERNMENT DEFICIT
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
HIGH INFLATION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME TAX
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFLATION
INFLATION EXPECTATIONS
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION TARGET
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INPUT PRICES
INSURANCE
INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT LEVELS
INVESTMENT PATTERNS
INVESTMENT RATE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LEVELS OF EXPORTS
LEVERAGE
LIQUIDITY
LIVING STANDARDS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRY
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
MARKET FORCES
MARKET INTEGRATION
MARKET PRICES
MARKETING
MARKETIZATION
MONETARY CONDITIONS
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY TRANSMISSION
NATIONAL BANK
NATIONAL ECONOMY
NATIONAL FINANCES
NATIONAL INVESTMENT
NATIONAL SAVING
NOMINAL ANCHOR
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
PER CAPITA INCOME
PERSONAL INCOME
POPULATION GROWTH
POSITIVE EFFECTS
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE DYNAMICS
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INDICES
PRICE INFLATION
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE OF GOOD
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE BANKS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRIVATE PROPERTY
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRODUCER PRICES
PRODUCTION COSTS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PROPERTY RIGHTS PROTECTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PURCHASING POWER
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
REAL INCOME
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL INTEREST RATES
REGIONAL INFLATION
RELATIVE PRICE
RESERVE
RESERVE ACCUMULATION
RESERVE MONEY
RESERVE REQUIREMENT
RESERVES
RETAIL
RETAIL PRICE
RETAIL PRICES
RETURNS
SAVINGS
SAVINGS RATE
SERVICES MARKET
SHORTFALL
SLOWDOWN
SUBSTITUTION
SURPLUS
TARIFF INCREASES
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX REFORM
TAXATION
TOTAL EXPORT
TOTAL IMPORT
TOTAL RESERVES
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DEFICIT
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTION COSTS
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
Geiger, Michael
Goh, Chorching
Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness
geographic_facet Africa
Ethiopia
description Since 2004 (Ethiopian Fiscal Year (EFY) 1997), Ethiopia has experienced strong and generally broad-based real economic growth of around 10.6 percent on average between then and 2011. Growth over the last nine years was far beyond the growth rates recorded in aggregate terms for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), which on average only reached 5.2 percent, less than half of Ethiopia's average real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate during that period. Inspired by the East Asian experiences for a comparison of selected indicators and policies of Ethiopia and China/Korea), growth was induced through a mix of factors including agricultural modernization, the development of new export sectors, strong global commodity demand, and government-led development investments. The initial double digits growth rates have now manifested slightly lower but remain at high single-digit levels. The economy is expected to stabilize at around seven to eight percent in 2012, largely owing to improved performance in the agriculture sector. GDP growth is likely to stay around that margin up until 2016 (EFY 2008) driven by rising foreign investment and exports (Economist Intelligence Unit 2012). High inflation persists, but is on a slightly decreasing trend. Economic growth brought with it positive trends in reducing poverty, in both urban and rural areas. Ethiopia follows a strategy of increasing exports to facilitate growth. This is appropriate given the currently limited size of its domestic market and it is consistent with the development experience of some of the recently successful countries, particularly in East Asia. Export of goods growth is to a good extent driven by volume growth across a variety of product groups, which indicates that this growth is a result of recent efforts to increase and diversify the export base. Overall export and import developments result in a significantly increased trade deficit by 43 percent, up from US$5.5 billion in 2010/11 to US$7.9 billion.
format Report
author Geiger, Michael
Goh, Chorching
author_facet Geiger, Michael
Goh, Chorching
author_sort Geiger, Michael
title Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness
title_short Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness
title_full Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness
title_fullStr Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness
title_full_unstemmed Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness
title_sort ethiopia economic update, november 2012 : overcoming inflation, raising competitiveness
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/842791468252567684/Ethiopia-economic-update-overcoming-inflation-raising-competitiveness
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26771
_version_ 1764462797948715008
spelling okr-10986-267712021-04-23T14:04:38Z Ethiopia Economic Update, November 2012 : Overcoming Inflation, Raising Competitiveness Geiger, Michael Goh, Chorching ADVERSE SHOCK AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ASSETS AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY BALANCE OF PAYMENT BANK POLICY BANKING SYSTEM BROAD MONEY BUDGETING CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL INCOME CAPITAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL REQUIREMENT CASH FLOWS CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANK BILLS CENTRAL BANK POLICY CEREAL PRICE COMMERCIAL BANK COMMON MARKET COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMER PRICE INFLATION CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMERS CONSUMPTION BASKETS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CONSUMPTION GROWTH CORE INFLATION CREDIT GROWTH CURRENCY CURRENCY DEVALUATION CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE DEBT DEBT FINANCING DEBT SERVICE DEFICITS DEPRECIATION DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DISTORTIONS DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC SAVINGS DURABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC EXPANSION ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC SITUATION ECONOMIC SIZE EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE ELASTICITY EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURE EXPERIENCE OF COUNTRIES EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION EXPORT MARKETS EXPORTS EXPROPRIATION EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL TRADE EXTREME POVERTY FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL HEALTH FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL PRESSURE FINANCING REQUIREMENTS FISCAL BALANCE FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL POLICY FIXED CAPITAL FOOD PRICE FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS FOREIGN INVESTORS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT GDP GDP PER CAPITA GINI COEFFICIENT GLOBAL TRADE GLOBALIZATION GOLD GOVERNMENT DEFICIT GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH RATE HIGH INFLATION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN CAPITAL IMBALANCE IMPORT INCOME INCOME GROUPS INCOME GROWTH INCOME INEQUALITY INCOME TAX INDUSTRIALIZATION INFLATION INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INFLATION RATE INFLATION TARGET INFLATIONARY PRESSURES INPUT PRICES INSURANCE INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT DECISIONS INVESTMENT LEVELS INVESTMENT PATTERNS INVESTMENT RATE LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LEVELS OF EXPORTS LEVERAGE LIQUIDITY LIVING STANDARDS LOW-INCOME COUNTRY MARKET ENVIRONMENT MARKET FORCES MARKET INTEGRATION MARKET PRICES MARKETING MARKETIZATION MONETARY CONDITIONS MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICY MONETARY TRANSMISSION NATIONAL BANK NATIONAL ECONOMY NATIONAL FINANCES NATIONAL INVESTMENT NATIONAL SAVING NOMINAL ANCHOR NOMINAL INTEREST RATE PER CAPITA INCOME PERSONAL INCOME POPULATION GROWTH POSITIVE EFFECTS POVERTY REDUCTION PRICE CHANGE PRICE DYNAMICS PRICE INCREASE PRICE INDICES PRICE INFLATION PRICE LEVELS PRICE OF GOOD PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE BANKS PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTORS PRIVATE PROPERTY PRIVATE SAVINGS PRODUCER PRICES PRODUCTION COSTS PROPERTY RIGHTS PROPERTY RIGHTS PROTECTION PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC INVESTMENT PURCHASING POWER RATE OF GROWTH REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REAL INCOME REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATE REAL INTEREST RATES REGIONAL INFLATION RELATIVE PRICE RESERVE RESERVE ACCUMULATION RESERVE MONEY RESERVE REQUIREMENT RESERVES RETAIL RETAIL PRICE RETAIL PRICES RETURNS SAVINGS SAVINGS RATE SERVICES MARKET SHORTFALL SLOWDOWN SUBSTITUTION SURPLUS TARIFF INCREASES TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX REFORM TAXATION TOTAL EXPORT TOTAL IMPORT TOTAL RESERVES TRADE BALANCE TRADE DEFICIT TRANSACTION TRANSACTION COSTS VALUE ADDED WAGES WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION WTO Since 2004 (Ethiopian Fiscal Year (EFY) 1997), Ethiopia has experienced strong and generally broad-based real economic growth of around 10.6 percent on average between then and 2011. Growth over the last nine years was far beyond the growth rates recorded in aggregate terms for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), which on average only reached 5.2 percent, less than half of Ethiopia's average real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate during that period. Inspired by the East Asian experiences for a comparison of selected indicators and policies of Ethiopia and China/Korea), growth was induced through a mix of factors including agricultural modernization, the development of new export sectors, strong global commodity demand, and government-led development investments. The initial double digits growth rates have now manifested slightly lower but remain at high single-digit levels. The economy is expected to stabilize at around seven to eight percent in 2012, largely owing to improved performance in the agriculture sector. GDP growth is likely to stay around that margin up until 2016 (EFY 2008) driven by rising foreign investment and exports (Economist Intelligence Unit 2012). High inflation persists, but is on a slightly decreasing trend. Economic growth brought with it positive trends in reducing poverty, in both urban and rural areas. Ethiopia follows a strategy of increasing exports to facilitate growth. This is appropriate given the currently limited size of its domestic market and it is consistent with the development experience of some of the recently successful countries, particularly in East Asia. Export of goods growth is to a good extent driven by volume growth across a variety of product groups, which indicates that this growth is a result of recent efforts to increase and diversify the export base. Overall export and import developments result in a significantly increased trade deficit by 43 percent, up from US$5.5 billion in 2010/11 to US$7.9 billion. 2017-05-30T19:25:05Z 2017-05-30T19:25:05Z 2012-11 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/842791468252567684/Ethiopia-economic-update-overcoming-inflation-raising-competitiveness http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26771 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work Africa Ethiopia