Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data
Absent actual panel household survey data, this paper constructs, for the first time, synthetic panel data for more than 20 countries accounting for two-thirds of the population in Sub-Saharan Africa. In this process, the analysis employs repeated...
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/172891492703250779/Is-Poverty-in-Africa-mostly-chronic-or-transient-evidence-from-synthetic-panel-data http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26471 |
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okr-10986-264712021-06-08T14:42:45Z Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data Dang, Hai-Anh H. Dabalen, Andrew L. CHRONIC POVERTY WELFARE DYNAMICS VULNERABILITY MIDDLE CLASS PRO-POOR GROWTH HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS SYNTHETIC PANEL UPWARD MOBILITY Absent actual panel household survey data, this paper constructs, for the first time, synthetic panel data for more than 20 countries accounting for two-thirds of the population in Sub-Saharan Africa. In this process, the analysis employs repeated cross sections that span, on average, a six-year period for each country. The analysis suggests that all these countries as a whole have had pro-poor growth. One-third of the poor population escaped poverty during the studied period, which is larger than the proportion of the population that fell into poverty in the same period. The region also saw a 9 percent reduction in poverty and a 28 percent increase in the size of the middle class. However, chronic poverty remains high, and a considerable proportion of the population is vulnerable to falling into poverty. There is some limited evidence that most resource-rich and middle-income countries have more upward mobility than downward mobility. Post-secondary education is especially strongly associated with higher upward mobility and less downward mobility, which holds to some extent for female-headed and urban households. 2017-04-26T21:53:27Z 2017-04-26T21:53:27Z 2017-04 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/172891492703250779/Is-Poverty-in-Africa-mostly-chronic-or-transient-evidence-from-synthetic-panel-data http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26471 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8033 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Sub-Saharan Africa |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
CHRONIC POVERTY WELFARE DYNAMICS VULNERABILITY MIDDLE CLASS PRO-POOR GROWTH HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS SYNTHETIC PANEL UPWARD MOBILITY |
| spellingShingle |
CHRONIC POVERTY WELFARE DYNAMICS VULNERABILITY MIDDLE CLASS PRO-POOR GROWTH HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS SYNTHETIC PANEL UPWARD MOBILITY Dang, Hai-Anh H. Dabalen, Andrew L. Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data |
| geographic_facet |
Africa Sub-Saharan Africa |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8033 |
| description |
Absent actual panel household survey
data, this paper constructs, for the first time, synthetic
panel data for more than 20 countries accounting for
two-thirds of the population in Sub-Saharan Africa. In this
process, the analysis employs repeated cross sections that
span, on average, a six-year period for each country. The
analysis suggests that all these countries as a whole have
had pro-poor growth. One-third of the poor population
escaped poverty during the studied period, which is larger
than the proportion of the population that fell into poverty
in the same period. The region also saw a 9 percent
reduction in poverty and a 28 percent increase in the size
of the middle class. However, chronic poverty remains high,
and a considerable proportion of the population is
vulnerable to falling into poverty. There is some limited
evidence that most resource-rich and middle-income countries
have more upward mobility than downward mobility.
Post-secondary education is especially strongly associated
with higher upward mobility and less downward mobility,
which holds to some extent for female-headed and urban households. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| author |
Dang, Hai-Anh H. Dabalen, Andrew L. |
| author_facet |
Dang, Hai-Anh H. Dabalen, Andrew L. |
| author_sort |
Dang, Hai-Anh H. |
| title |
Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data |
| title_short |
Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data |
| title_full |
Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data |
| title_fullStr |
Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? : Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data |
| title_sort |
is poverty in africa mostly chronic or transient? : evidence from synthetic panel data |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2017 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/172891492703250779/Is-Poverty-in-Africa-mostly-chronic-or-transient-evidence-from-synthetic-panel-data http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26471 |
| _version_ |
1764462066008064000 |