Impact of the Libya Crisis on the Tunisian Economy
This study assesses the main spillover effects of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy and estimates the crisis’ overall social welfare and fiscal impacts on Tunisia. The authors consider four main effects on Tunisia: (i) the increased presenc...
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| Format: | Economic & Sector Work |
| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/517981490766125612/Tunisia-Impact-of-the-Libya-crisis-on-the-Tunisian-economy http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26407 |
| Summary: | This study assesses the main spillover
effects of the Libyan crisis on the Tunisian economy and
estimates the crisis’ overall social welfare and fiscal
impacts on Tunisia. The authors consider four main effects
on Tunisia: (i) the increased presence of Libyans in Tunisia
(both short- and long-term), and the return of Tunisian
workers from Libya; (ii) the level and dynamics of illicit
informal trade and informal cash flows between the two
countries; (iii) the deterioration of civil security in the
region and its effects on private investment and tourism;
and (iv) the increase in the Tunisian government’s security
spending. The chapter is organized as follows. Section one
describes the objectives of the investigation and
methodology. Section two estimates the number of Libyans
living in Tunisia (temporary and permanent) and their
demographic characteristics. Section three analyzes the
living conditions of Libyan households in Tunisia and
provides an estimate of their poverty level. Section four
analyzes the shocks to Libyan households, and those
households’ adaptations and resilience in response to
shocks. Section five discusses the migratory decisions of
Libyan households, in particular their preference to either
return to Libya or remain permanently in Tunisia. |
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