Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA

Plagued by war, violence and low oil prices, economic activity in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region remained subdued between 2013 and 2015, but the situation is expected to improve and growth to surge above 3 percent over the forecast period. Though still below potential, the improve...

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Main Authors: Devarajan, Shantayanan, Mottaghi, Lili
Format: Serial
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26305
id okr-10986-26305
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-263052021-04-23T14:04:35Z Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA Devarajan, Shantayanan Mottaghi, Lili GROWTH PEACE ECONOMIC POLICY VOLATILITY POVERTY CIVIL WAR GREEN SHOOTS INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY OIL PRICES PIL EXPORTERS CONFLICT REFUGEES IDP Plagued by war, violence and low oil prices, economic activity in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region remained subdued between 2013 and 2015, but the situation is expected to improve and growth to surge above 3 percent over the forecast period. Though still below potential, the improvement in growth offers hope. We see signs of "green shoots" in some countries in the region, therefore we have upgraded our short-term prospects for MENA from "cautiously pessimistic" to "cautiously optimistic" over the forecast period. The prospects of peace in Syria, Yemen and Libya are one of the keys to resuming growth over the next decade. But realizing that potential depends crucially on how the post-conflict reconstruction is conducted. On the one hand, a well-managed process could help these war-tom countries rebuild their shattered economies and re-integrate their people so that the region as a whole, and possibly the rest of the world, benefits. On the other hand, a badly managed process can risk a recurrence of conflict, continued stagnation and suffering, and perpetual fragility. The economics of postconflict reconstruction, therefore, is critical to the future of MENA's economies. 2017-03-28T17:38:05Z 2017-03-28T17:38:05Z 2017-04-17 Serial 978-1-4648-1085-5 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26305 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication Middle East and North Africa Middle East Lebanon Libya Syrian Arab Republic
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic GROWTH
PEACE
ECONOMIC POLICY
VOLATILITY
POVERTY
CIVIL WAR
GREEN SHOOTS
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
OIL PRICES
PIL EXPORTERS
CONFLICT
REFUGEES
IDP
spellingShingle GROWTH
PEACE
ECONOMIC POLICY
VOLATILITY
POVERTY
CIVIL WAR
GREEN SHOOTS
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
OIL PRICES
PIL EXPORTERS
CONFLICT
REFUGEES
IDP
Devarajan, Shantayanan
Mottaghi, Lili
Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Middle East
Lebanon
Libya
Syrian Arab Republic
description Plagued by war, violence and low oil prices, economic activity in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region remained subdued between 2013 and 2015, but the situation is expected to improve and growth to surge above 3 percent over the forecast period. Though still below potential, the improvement in growth offers hope. We see signs of "green shoots" in some countries in the region, therefore we have upgraded our short-term prospects for MENA from "cautiously pessimistic" to "cautiously optimistic" over the forecast period. The prospects of peace in Syria, Yemen and Libya are one of the keys to resuming growth over the next decade. But realizing that potential depends crucially on how the post-conflict reconstruction is conducted. On the one hand, a well-managed process could help these war-tom countries rebuild their shattered economies and re-integrate their people so that the region as a whole, and possibly the rest of the world, benefits. On the other hand, a badly managed process can risk a recurrence of conflict, continued stagnation and suffering, and perpetual fragility. The economics of postconflict reconstruction, therefore, is critical to the future of MENA's economies.
format Serial
author Devarajan, Shantayanan
Mottaghi, Lili
author_facet Devarajan, Shantayanan
Mottaghi, Lili
author_sort Devarajan, Shantayanan
title Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA
title_short Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA
title_full Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA
title_fullStr Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA
title_full_unstemmed Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, April 2017 : The Economics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction in MENA
title_sort middle east and north africa economic monitor, april 2017 : the economics of post-conflict reconstruction in mena
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2017
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26305
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