Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners

Accurate forecasts of electricity demand inform investment decisions about power generation and supporting network infrastructure. Of major interest to energy policymakers, power utilities, and private investors alike, forecasts are also essential...

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Main Authors: Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, de Wit, Joeri, Kochnakyan, Artur, Foster, Vivien
Format: Brief
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/600501488434824083/Forecasting-electricity-demand-an-aid-for-practitioners
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26189
id okr-10986-26189
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-261892021-05-26T09:05:19Z Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners Steinbuks, Jevgenijs de Wit, Joeri Kochnakyan, Artur Foster, Vivien electricity demand forecasting energy market electricity generation Accurate forecasts of electricity demand inform investment decisions about power generation and supporting network infrastructure. Of major interest to energy policymakers, power utilities, and private investors alike, forecasts are also essential for development professionals. Inaccurate forecasts, whether they over- or under predict demand, can have dire social and economic consequences. Underestimating demand results in supply shortages and forced power outages, with serious consequences for productivity and economic growth. Overestimating demand can lead to overinvestment in generation capacity, possible financial distress, and, ultimately, higher electricity prices. This Live Wire provides practitioners with a quick reference to historical trends for electricity demand in the developing world and to new econometric forecasts at the country level. By providing a succinct overview, it allows the patterns and interrelationships of economic growth (and other relevant drivers) to come into focus. The note also reviews demand-forecasting methodologies and discusses their applicability in different contexts. 2017-03-02T21:21:08Z 2017-03-02T21:21:08Z 2017 Brief http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/600501488434824083/Forecasting-electricity-demand-an-aid-for-practitioners http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26189 English en_US Live Wire;2017/73 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Brief
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic electricity demand
forecasting
energy market
electricity generation
spellingShingle electricity demand
forecasting
energy market
electricity generation
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs
de Wit, Joeri
Kochnakyan, Artur
Foster, Vivien
Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners
relation Live Wire;2017/73
description Accurate forecasts of electricity demand inform investment decisions about power generation and supporting network infrastructure. Of major interest to energy policymakers, power utilities, and private investors alike, forecasts are also essential for development professionals. Inaccurate forecasts, whether they over- or under predict demand, can have dire social and economic consequences. Underestimating demand results in supply shortages and forced power outages, with serious consequences for productivity and economic growth. Overestimating demand can lead to overinvestment in generation capacity, possible financial distress, and, ultimately, higher electricity prices. This Live Wire provides practitioners with a quick reference to historical trends for electricity demand in the developing world and to new econometric forecasts at the country level. By providing a succinct overview, it allows the patterns and interrelationships of economic growth (and other relevant drivers) to come into focus. The note also reviews demand-forecasting methodologies and discusses their applicability in different contexts.
format Brief
author Steinbuks, Jevgenijs
de Wit, Joeri
Kochnakyan, Artur
Foster, Vivien
author_facet Steinbuks, Jevgenijs
de Wit, Joeri
Kochnakyan, Artur
Foster, Vivien
author_sort Steinbuks, Jevgenijs
title Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners
title_short Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners
title_full Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners
title_fullStr Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners
title_sort forecasting electricity demand : an aid for practitioners
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/600501488434824083/Forecasting-electricity-demand-an-aid-for-practitioners
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26189
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