Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners
Accurate forecasts of electricity demand inform investment decisions about power generation and supporting network infrastructure. Of major interest to energy policymakers, power utilities, and private investors alike, forecasts are also essential...
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2017
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/600501488434824083/Forecasting-electricity-demand-an-aid-for-practitioners http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26189 |
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okr-10986-261892021-05-26T09:05:19Z Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners Steinbuks, Jevgenijs de Wit, Joeri Kochnakyan, Artur Foster, Vivien electricity demand forecasting energy market electricity generation Accurate forecasts of electricity demand inform investment decisions about power generation and supporting network infrastructure. Of major interest to energy policymakers, power utilities, and private investors alike, forecasts are also essential for development professionals. Inaccurate forecasts, whether they over- or under predict demand, can have dire social and economic consequences. Underestimating demand results in supply shortages and forced power outages, with serious consequences for productivity and economic growth. Overestimating demand can lead to overinvestment in generation capacity, possible financial distress, and, ultimately, higher electricity prices. This Live Wire provides practitioners with a quick reference to historical trends for electricity demand in the developing world and to new econometric forecasts at the country level. By providing a succinct overview, it allows the patterns and interrelationships of economic growth (and other relevant drivers) to come into focus. The note also reviews demand-forecasting methodologies and discusses their applicability in different contexts. 2017-03-02T21:21:08Z 2017-03-02T21:21:08Z 2017 Brief http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/600501488434824083/Forecasting-electricity-demand-an-aid-for-practitioners http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26189 English en_US Live Wire;2017/73 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Brief |
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Digital Repository |
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Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
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English en_US |
topic |
electricity demand forecasting energy market electricity generation |
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electricity demand forecasting energy market electricity generation Steinbuks, Jevgenijs de Wit, Joeri Kochnakyan, Artur Foster, Vivien Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners |
relation |
Live Wire;2017/73 |
description |
Accurate forecasts of electricity demand
inform investment decisions about power generation and
supporting network infrastructure. Of major interest to
energy policymakers, power utilities, and private investors
alike, forecasts are also essential for development
professionals. Inaccurate forecasts, whether they over- or
under predict demand, can have dire social and economic
consequences. Underestimating demand results in supply
shortages and forced power outages, with serious
consequences for productivity and economic growth.
Overestimating demand can lead to overinvestment in
generation capacity, possible financial distress, and,
ultimately, higher electricity prices. This Live Wire
provides practitioners with a quick reference to historical
trends for electricity demand in the developing world and to
new econometric forecasts at the country level. By providing
a succinct overview, it allows the patterns and
interrelationships of economic growth (and other relevant
drivers) to come into focus. The note also reviews
demand-forecasting methodologies and discusses their
applicability in different contexts. |
format |
Brief |
author |
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs de Wit, Joeri Kochnakyan, Artur Foster, Vivien |
author_facet |
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs de Wit, Joeri Kochnakyan, Artur Foster, Vivien |
author_sort |
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs |
title |
Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners |
title_short |
Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners |
title_full |
Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners |
title_fullStr |
Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners |
title_full_unstemmed |
Forecasting Electricity Demand : An Aid for Practitioners |
title_sort |
forecasting electricity demand : an aid for practitioners |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/600501488434824083/Forecasting-electricity-demand-an-aid-for-practitioners http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26189 |
_version_ |
1764461096903639040 |