Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?

According to conventional wisdom, capital flows are fickle. Focusing on emerging markets, this paper asks whether this conventional wisdom still holds in the contemporary world. The results show that, despite recent structural and regulatory change...

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Main Authors: Eichengreen, Barry, Gupta, Poonam, Masetti, Oliver
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/195801487166902153/Are-capital-flows-fickle-Increasingly-and-does-the-answer-still-depend-on-type
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26140
id okr-10986-26140
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-261402021-06-08T14:42:47Z Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type? Eichengreen, Barry Gupta, Poonam Masetti, Oliver capital flows emerging markets sudden stops portfolio flows FDI foreign direct investment direct foreign investment DFI portfolio debt According to conventional wisdom, capital flows are fickle. Focusing on emerging markets, this paper asks whether this conventional wisdom still holds in the contemporary world. The results show that, despite recent structural and regulatory changes, much of it survives. FDI inflows are more stable than non-FDI inflows. Within non-FDI inflows, portfolio debt and bank-intermediated flows remain the most volatile. While FDI inflows are driven mainly by pull factors, portfolio debt and equity are driven mainly by push factors; and bank-intermediated flows are driven by a combination of push and pull factors. But capital outflows from emerging markets behave differently. FDI outflows from emerging markets have grown and become significantly more volatile. There is similarly an increase in the volatility of bank-intermediated capital outflows from emerging markets. The findings underscore that outflows from emerging markets, both FDI and bank-related flows, have come to play a growing role and warrant greater attention from analysts and policy makers. 2017-02-22T22:33:29Z 2017-02-22T22:33:29Z 2017-02 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/195801487166902153/Are-capital-flows-fickle-Increasingly-and-does-the-answer-still-depend-on-type http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26140 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7972 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic capital flows
emerging markets
sudden stops
portfolio flows
FDI
foreign direct investment
direct foreign investment
DFI
portfolio debt
spellingShingle capital flows
emerging markets
sudden stops
portfolio flows
FDI
foreign direct investment
direct foreign investment
DFI
portfolio debt
Eichengreen, Barry
Gupta, Poonam
Masetti, Oliver
Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7972
description According to conventional wisdom, capital flows are fickle. Focusing on emerging markets, this paper asks whether this conventional wisdom still holds in the contemporary world. The results show that, despite recent structural and regulatory changes, much of it survives. FDI inflows are more stable than non-FDI inflows. Within non-FDI inflows, portfolio debt and bank-intermediated flows remain the most volatile. While FDI inflows are driven mainly by pull factors, portfolio debt and equity are driven mainly by push factors; and bank-intermediated flows are driven by a combination of push and pull factors. But capital outflows from emerging markets behave differently. FDI outflows from emerging markets have grown and become significantly more volatile. There is similarly an increase in the volatility of bank-intermediated capital outflows from emerging markets. The findings underscore that outflows from emerging markets, both FDI and bank-related flows, have come to play a growing role and warrant greater attention from analysts and policy makers.
format Working Paper
author Eichengreen, Barry
Gupta, Poonam
Masetti, Oliver
author_facet Eichengreen, Barry
Gupta, Poonam
Masetti, Oliver
author_sort Eichengreen, Barry
title Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?
title_short Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?
title_full Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?
title_fullStr Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?
title_full_unstemmed Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?
title_sort are capital flows fickle? increasingly? and does the answer still depend on type?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/195801487166902153/Are-capital-flows-fickle-Increasingly-and-does-the-answer-still-depend-on-type
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26140
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