Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths

This paper studies how potential work migrants infer mortality rates from incidents of migrant deaths. In the context of migrant workers from Nepal to Malaysia and the Persian Gulf countries, the study finds that the death of a migrant from a distr...

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Main Author: Shrestha, Maheshwor
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/107041485189637717/Death-scares-how-potential-work-migrants-infer-mortality-rates-from-migrant-deaths
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25955
id okr-10986-25955
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-259552021-06-08T14:42:47Z Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths Shrestha, Maheshwor migration mortality risk learning fallacies This paper studies how potential work migrants infer mortality rates from incidents of migrant deaths. In the context of migrant workers from Nepal to Malaysia and the Persian Gulf countries, the study finds that the death of a migrant from a district lowers migration outflows in subsequent months. Furthermore, this migration response is stronger when there have been more migrant deaths in recent months. Using relevant elasticities, this study finds that the migration response implies large changes in mortality rates perceived by potential migrants. Models of learning fallacies better explain the observed responses than a standard model of rational Bayesian learning. 2017-01-30T19:02:14Z 2017-01-30T19:02:14Z 2017-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/107041485189637717/Death-scares-how-potential-work-migrants-infer-mortality-rates-from-migrant-deaths http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25955 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7946 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific South Asia Middle East Malaysia Nepal Qatar Saudi Arabia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic migration
mortality
risk
learning fallacies
spellingShingle migration
mortality
risk
learning fallacies
Shrestha, Maheshwor
Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
South Asia
Middle East
Malaysia
Nepal
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7946
description This paper studies how potential work migrants infer mortality rates from incidents of migrant deaths. In the context of migrant workers from Nepal to Malaysia and the Persian Gulf countries, the study finds that the death of a migrant from a district lowers migration outflows in subsequent months. Furthermore, this migration response is stronger when there have been more migrant deaths in recent months. Using relevant elasticities, this study finds that the migration response implies large changes in mortality rates perceived by potential migrants. Models of learning fallacies better explain the observed responses than a standard model of rational Bayesian learning.
format Working Paper
author Shrestha, Maheshwor
author_facet Shrestha, Maheshwor
author_sort Shrestha, Maheshwor
title Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths
title_short Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths
title_full Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths
title_fullStr Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths
title_full_unstemmed Death Scares : How Potential Work-Migrants Infer Mortality Rates from Migrant Deaths
title_sort death scares : how potential work-migrants infer mortality rates from migrant deaths
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/107041485189637717/Death-scares-how-potential-work-migrants-infer-mortality-rates-from-migrant-deaths
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25955
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