Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism

The year 2016 appears to be one of the toughest for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as their governments face serious policy challenges. The biggest challenge for oil exporters is managing their finances and diversification strategies with oil below $45 a barrel. Fiscal consolidation...

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Main Authors:	Devarajan, Shantayanan, Mottaghi, Lili, Do, Quy-Toan, Brockmeyer, Anne, Joubert, Clement, Bhatia, Kartika, Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed
Format:	Serial
Language:	English en_US
Published:	Washington, DC: World Bank 2016
Subjects:	GROWTH DIVERSIFICATION DAESH INCLUSION VIOLENT EXTREMISM CONFLICT SOCIAL CONFLICT RELIGIOUS CONFLICT MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA TERRORIST ATTACKS RADICALIZATION
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25087

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recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-250872021-04-23T14:04:28Z Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism Devarajan, Shantayanan Mottaghi, Lili Do, Quy-Toan Brockmeyer, Anne Joubert, Clement Bhatia, Kartika Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed GROWTH DIVERSIFICATION DAESH INCLUSION VIOLENT EXTREMISM CONFLICT SOCIAL CONFLICT RELIGIOUS CONFLICT MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA TERRORIST ATTACKS RADICALIZATION The year 2016 appears to be one of the toughest for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as their governments face serious policy challenges. The biggest challenge for oil exporters is managing their finances and diversification strategies with oil below $45 a barrel. Fiscal consolidation in a difficult sociopolitical environment and spillovers from conflicts are creating challenges for oil importers as well. Real GOP growth in MENA for 2016 is projected to fall to its lowest level since 2013 -- 2.3 percent -- lower than last year's growth by half a percentage point and about one percentage point lower than predicted in April 2016. It is clear that the disappointing performance of the MENA economies, and possibly the global economy, is partly due to the rise of terrorist attacks and spread of violent extremism. In this report, we attempt to shed light on the underlying causes of this phenomenon by applying an economic perspective to the demand for and supply of violent extremists. Looking at a dataset on foreign fighters joining Daesh, we find that the factors most strongly associated with foreign individuals' joining Daesh have to do with a lack of inclusion -- economic, social and religious -- in their country of origin. Promoting greater inclusion, therefore, could not only bring down the level of violent extremism, but it could improve economic performance in the MENA region. 2016-09-27T18:44:59Z 2016-09-27T18:44:59Z 2016-10-05 Serial 978-1-4648-0990-3 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25087 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication Middle East and North Africa Middle East North Africa
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	GROWTH DIVERSIFICATION DAESH INCLUSION VIOLENT EXTREMISM CONFLICT SOCIAL CONFLICT RELIGIOUS CONFLICT MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA TERRORIST ATTACKS RADICALIZATION
spellingShingle	GROWTH DIVERSIFICATION DAESH INCLUSION VIOLENT EXTREMISM CONFLICT SOCIAL CONFLICT RELIGIOUS CONFLICT MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA TERRORIST ATTACKS RADICALIZATION Devarajan, Shantayanan Mottaghi, Lili Do, Quy-Toan Brockmeyer, Anne Joubert, Clement Bhatia, Kartika Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism
geographic_facet	Middle East and North Africa Middle East North Africa
description	The year 2016 appears to be one of the toughest for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as their governments face serious policy challenges. The biggest challenge for oil exporters is managing their finances and diversification strategies with oil below $45 a barrel. Fiscal consolidation in a difficult sociopolitical environment and spillovers from conflicts are creating challenges for oil importers as well. Real GOP growth in MENA for 2016 is projected to fall to its lowest level since 2013 -- 2.3 percent -- lower than last year's growth by half a percentage point and about one percentage point lower than predicted in April 2016. It is clear that the disappointing performance of the MENA economies, and possibly the global economy, is partly due to the rise of terrorist attacks and spread of violent extremism. In this report, we attempt to shed light on the underlying causes of this phenomenon by applying an economic perspective to the demand for and supply of violent extremists. Looking at a dataset on foreign fighters joining Daesh, we find that the factors most strongly associated with foreign individuals' joining Daesh have to do with a lack of inclusion -- economic, social and religious -- in their country of origin. Promoting greater inclusion, therefore, could not only bring down the level of violent extremism, but it could improve economic performance in the MENA region.
format	Serial
author	Devarajan, Shantayanan Mottaghi, Lili Do, Quy-Toan Brockmeyer, Anne Joubert, Clement Bhatia, Kartika Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed
author_facet	Devarajan, Shantayanan Mottaghi, Lili Do, Quy-Toan Brockmeyer, Anne Joubert, Clement Bhatia, Kartika Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed
author_sort	Devarajan, Shantayanan
title	Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism
title_short	Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism
title_full	Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism
title_fullStr	Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism
title_full_unstemmed	Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism
title_sort	middle east and north africa economic monitor, october 2016 : economic and social inclusion to prevent violent extremism
publisher	Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate	2016
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25087
_version_	1764458339674095616

Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2016 : Economic and Social Inclusion to Prevent Violent Extremism

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