Predicting Project Outcomes : A Simple Methodology for Predictions Based on Project Ratings
The downgrading of projects at the closing from moderately satisfactory to moderately unsatisfactory has been a persistent problem in the World Bank and a particular problem in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific region since 2012. Through...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2016
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/08/26718952/predicting-project-outcomes-simple-methodology-predictions-based-project-ratings http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25045 |
| Summary: | The downgrading of projects at the
closing from moderately satisfactory to moderately
unsatisfactory has been a persistent problem in the World
Bank and a particular problem in the World Bank's East
Asia and Pacific region since 2012. Through analysis of the
projects that exited the East Asia and Pacific region's
portfolio in fiscal years 2012 and 2013, this paper derives
a prediction model based on ratings for implementation
progress and achievement of development objectives during
project supervision. The model, used in combination with
other indicators of project progress toward outcomes,
appears to improve on existing methods for assessing the
downgrade risk. |
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