Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa

Demography affects our daily lives. Consciously or not, we take into account the demographic context when making choices on employment, savings, health, and education. This report studies how demographic change is likely to affect demand for social...

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Main Authors: Bruni, Lucilla Maria, Rigolini, Jamele, Troiano, Sara
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26529334/forever-young-social-policies-changing-population-southern-africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24996
id okr-10986-24996
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-249962021-05-25T08:51:18Z Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa Bruni, Lucilla Maria Rigolini, Jamele Troiano, Sara demographics demographic dividend intergenerational poverty economic growth poverty reduction youth employment jobs social spending education early childhood development malnutrition HIV non-communicable diseases social assistance targeting adolescents fiscal policy Demography affects our daily lives. Consciously or not, we take into account the demographic context when making choices on employment, savings, health, and education. This report studies how demographic change is likely to affect demand for social services in Southern Africa and how today’s policies can be shaped to reap potential benefits from demographic dynamics and address the population’s evolving needs. The authors define the social sectors as education, health, and social assistance and social policies as policies related to these three sectors. The study illustrates how social policies designed to fit with evolving demographic structures are likely to lead to wealthier and more productive future generations, fostering growth and equity. But the reverse also holds: ill-tailored social policies can hold back countries’ development and heighten intergenerational tensions. The rest of this report is structured as follows. Chapter two presents evidence on demographic trends in Southern Africa. Chapter three explains the report’s conceptual framework and how demography can be an opportunity or a curse, depending on the policy environment. Chapter four studies the five countries’ labor markets and documents challenges that a growing active labor force is likely to generate. Chapter five looks at the likely impacts of changing demographics on social sectors. It shows how a dependency ratio that will remain relatively low for decades to come will provide the opportunity to redirect social spending towards emerging priorities, and identifies which of these priorities will be in education, health, and social assistance. Chapter six concludes the study by discussing immediate policy implications. 2016-09-01T16:51:26Z 2016-09-01T16:51:26Z 2016-06-26 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26529334/forever-young-social-policies-changing-population-southern-africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24996 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Social Analysis Africa Sub-Saharan Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic demographics
demographic dividend
intergenerational poverty
economic growth
poverty reduction
youth employment
jobs
social spending
education
early childhood development
malnutrition
HIV
non-communicable diseases
social assistance targeting
adolescents
fiscal policy
spellingShingle demographics
demographic dividend
intergenerational poverty
economic growth
poverty reduction
youth employment
jobs
social spending
education
early childhood development
malnutrition
HIV
non-communicable diseases
social assistance targeting
adolescents
fiscal policy
Bruni, Lucilla Maria
Rigolini, Jamele
Troiano, Sara
Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa
geographic_facet Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
description Demography affects our daily lives. Consciously or not, we take into account the demographic context when making choices on employment, savings, health, and education. This report studies how demographic change is likely to affect demand for social services in Southern Africa and how today’s policies can be shaped to reap potential benefits from demographic dynamics and address the population’s evolving needs. The authors define the social sectors as education, health, and social assistance and social policies as policies related to these three sectors. The study illustrates how social policies designed to fit with evolving demographic structures are likely to lead to wealthier and more productive future generations, fostering growth and equity. But the reverse also holds: ill-tailored social policies can hold back countries’ development and heighten intergenerational tensions. The rest of this report is structured as follows. Chapter two presents evidence on demographic trends in Southern Africa. Chapter three explains the report’s conceptual framework and how demography can be an opportunity or a curse, depending on the policy environment. Chapter four studies the five countries’ labor markets and documents challenges that a growing active labor force is likely to generate. Chapter five looks at the likely impacts of changing demographics on social sectors. It shows how a dependency ratio that will remain relatively low for decades to come will provide the opportunity to redirect social spending towards emerging priorities, and identifies which of these priorities will be in education, health, and social assistance. Chapter six concludes the study by discussing immediate policy implications.
format Report
author Bruni, Lucilla Maria
Rigolini, Jamele
Troiano, Sara
author_facet Bruni, Lucilla Maria
Rigolini, Jamele
Troiano, Sara
author_sort Bruni, Lucilla Maria
title Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa
title_short Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa
title_full Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa
title_fullStr Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa
title_full_unstemmed Forever Young? : Social Policies for a Changing Population in Southern Africa
title_sort forever young? : social policies for a changing population in southern africa
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26529334/forever-young-social-policies-changing-population-southern-africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24996
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