Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean

The report is structured in four chapters that outline the main sources of volatility in the region and suggest ways to mitigate the impacts of that volatility on growth. Chapter one presents stylized facts associated with the growth performance of...

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Main Authors: Carneiro, Francisco Galrao, Odawara, Rei
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26539208/taming-volatility-fiscal-policy-financial-development-growth-eastern-caribbean
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24925
id okr-10986-24925
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-249252021-06-14T10:15:54Z Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean Carneiro, Francisco Galrao Odawara, Rei regional integration fiscal policy economic growth volatility pro-cyclical fiscal policy financial development The report is structured in four chapters that outline the main sources of volatility in the region and suggest ways to mitigate the impacts of that volatility on growth. Chapter one presents stylized facts associated with the growth performance of the Eastern Caribbean over the last 40 years. It contrasts the growth performance of the OECS with the rest of the Latin America region and shows that the two groups of countries have shown significant heterogeneity over the business cycle. The chapter also highlights some of the factors that might be responsible for the volatility of growth in the OECS, including the region’s exposure to natural disasters, high debt, and adverse developments in the financial sector. Chapter two provides new evidence on output volatility and the cyclicality of fiscal policy in the OECS and discusses why countries are better off avoiding a pro-cyclical fiscal policy stance. Chapter three assesses the level of financial development in the region as well as the relationship between financial development, growth, and volatility. The chapter also explores critical policy options to strengthen financial development in the OECS. Chapter four assesses empirically the combined effects of terms of trade volatility, fiscal policy (pro) cyclicality, and financial development on growth in the OECS and other countries using two complementary modeling approaches. First, through an econometric model using panel data for 175 countries over the period 1980-2010. Second, by using impulse-response analysis based on a structural model of the business cycle in the OECS region. 2016-08-24T17:09:46Z 2016-08-24T17:09:46Z 2016-06 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26539208/taming-volatility-fiscal-policy-financial-development-growth-eastern-caribbean http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24925 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum Economic & Sector Work Latin America & Caribbean Caribbean
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic regional integration
fiscal policy
economic growth
volatility
pro-cyclical fiscal policy
financial development
spellingShingle regional integration
fiscal policy
economic growth
volatility
pro-cyclical fiscal policy
financial development
Carneiro, Francisco Galrao
Odawara, Rei
Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Caribbean
description The report is structured in four chapters that outline the main sources of volatility in the region and suggest ways to mitigate the impacts of that volatility on growth. Chapter one presents stylized facts associated with the growth performance of the Eastern Caribbean over the last 40 years. It contrasts the growth performance of the OECS with the rest of the Latin America region and shows that the two groups of countries have shown significant heterogeneity over the business cycle. The chapter also highlights some of the factors that might be responsible for the volatility of growth in the OECS, including the region’s exposure to natural disasters, high debt, and adverse developments in the financial sector. Chapter two provides new evidence on output volatility and the cyclicality of fiscal policy in the OECS and discusses why countries are better off avoiding a pro-cyclical fiscal policy stance. Chapter three assesses the level of financial development in the region as well as the relationship between financial development, growth, and volatility. The chapter also explores critical policy options to strengthen financial development in the OECS. Chapter four assesses empirically the combined effects of terms of trade volatility, fiscal policy (pro) cyclicality, and financial development on growth in the OECS and other countries using two complementary modeling approaches. First, through an econometric model using panel data for 175 countries over the period 1980-2010. Second, by using impulse-response analysis based on a structural model of the business cycle in the OECS region.
format Report
author Carneiro, Francisco Galrao
Odawara, Rei
author_facet Carneiro, Francisco Galrao
Odawara, Rei
author_sort Carneiro, Francisco Galrao
title Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean
title_short Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean
title_full Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean
title_fullStr Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean
title_full_unstemmed Taming Volatility : Fiscal Policy and Financial Development for Growth in the Eastern Caribbean
title_sort taming volatility : fiscal policy and financial development for growth in the eastern caribbean
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26539208/taming-volatility-fiscal-policy-financial-development-growth-eastern-caribbean
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24925
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