Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War

The goal of this paper is to examine the effect of inequality on crime rates in a unique context, Mexico's drug war. The analysis exploits an original dataset containing inequality and crime statistics on more than 2000 Mexican municipalities over a 20-year period. To uncover the causal effect...

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Main Authors: Enamorado, Ted, López-Calva, Luis F., Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos, Winkler, Hernán
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Elsevier 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24872
id okr-10986-24872
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spelling okr-10986-248722021-05-25T10:54:40Z Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War Enamorado, Ted López-Calva, Luis F. Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos Winkler, Hernán poverty income inequality crime Gini coefficient drug war drug trafficking The goal of this paper is to examine the effect of inequality on crime rates in a unique context, Mexico's drug war. The analysis exploits an original dataset containing inequality and crime statistics on more than 2000 Mexican municipalities over a 20-year period. To uncover the causal effect of inequality on crime, we use an instrumental variable for the Gini coefficient that combines the initial income distribution at the municipality level with national trends. Our estimates indicate that a one-point increment in the Gini coefficient between 2007 and 2010 translates into an increase of more that 36% in the number of drug-related homicides per 100,000 inhabitants. The fact that the effect found during the drug war is substantially greater is likely caused by the rise in rents to be extracted through crime and an expansion in the employment opportunities in the illegal sector through the proliferation of drug trafficking organizations (DTOs), accompanied by a decline in legal job opportunities and a reduction in the probability of being caught given the resource constraints faced by the law enforcement system. Combined, the latter factors made the expected benefits of criminal activity shift in a socially undesirable direction after 2007. 2016-08-10T18:59:10Z 2016-08-10T18:59:10Z 2016-05 Journal Article Journal of Development Economics 0308-3878 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24872 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ World Bank Elsevier Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Mexico
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic poverty
income inequality
crime
Gini coefficient
drug war
drug trafficking
spellingShingle poverty
income inequality
crime
Gini coefficient
drug war
drug trafficking
Enamorado, Ted
López-Calva, Luis F.
Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos
Winkler, Hernán
Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Mexico
description The goal of this paper is to examine the effect of inequality on crime rates in a unique context, Mexico's drug war. The analysis exploits an original dataset containing inequality and crime statistics on more than 2000 Mexican municipalities over a 20-year period. To uncover the causal effect of inequality on crime, we use an instrumental variable for the Gini coefficient that combines the initial income distribution at the municipality level with national trends. Our estimates indicate that a one-point increment in the Gini coefficient between 2007 and 2010 translates into an increase of more that 36% in the number of drug-related homicides per 100,000 inhabitants. The fact that the effect found during the drug war is substantially greater is likely caused by the rise in rents to be extracted through crime and an expansion in the employment opportunities in the illegal sector through the proliferation of drug trafficking organizations (DTOs), accompanied by a decline in legal job opportunities and a reduction in the probability of being caught given the resource constraints faced by the law enforcement system. Combined, the latter factors made the expected benefits of criminal activity shift in a socially undesirable direction after 2007.
format Journal Article
author Enamorado, Ted
López-Calva, Luis F.
Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos
Winkler, Hernán
author_facet Enamorado, Ted
López-Calva, Luis F.
Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos
Winkler, Hernán
author_sort Enamorado, Ted
title Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War
title_short Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War
title_full Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War
title_fullStr Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War
title_full_unstemmed Income Inequality and Violent Crime : Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War
title_sort income inequality and violent crime : evidence from mexico’s drug war
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2016
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24872
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