Assessing the Impact of WTO Accession on Belarus : A Quantitative Evaluation
As a small and open economy, Belarus' development perspectives are intrinsically linked to its ability to produce and sell goods and services competitively in the global marketplace. While Belarus is an open economy, its trade links are concen...
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Format: | Report |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2016
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26482457/assessing-impact-wto-accession-belarus-quantitative-evaluation http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24698 |
Summary: | As a small and open economy,
Belarus' development perspectives are intrinsically
linked to its ability to produce and sell goods and services
competitively in the global marketplace. While Belarus is an
open economy, its trade links are concentrated both in terms
of products and markets. Mineral goods –most importantly
refined oil and potassium chloride - are the main export
product accounting for more than 1/3 of total exports. Non
mineral exports, including most importantly machinery,
vehicles and transport equipment are mostly exported to
Russia and other CIS markets, which account for 74 percent
of non-mineral exports while the share of EU countries in
Belarus non-mineral exports account for less than 15
percent. With Russia's WTO accession in 2012
competitive pressures on Belarus’ major market for
non-mineral exports have further intensified. As Belarus is
accelerating its own negotiations with the WTO,
understanding the challenges and opportunities faced by the
country's exporters is critical to putting in place an
effective adaptation strategy that will enhance
competitiveness and ensure Belarus can take full advantage
of more open market access. The objective of this note is to
analyze the economic impacts of Belarus' potential
accession to the WTO. The note utilizes a modern computable
general equilibrium model of the economy of Belarus to
simulate impacts on the economy as a whole and on individual sectors. |
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