Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates

A recent survey of rigorous impact evaluations of programs to help small and medium-size firms to formalize indicates that the programs do not seem to work for most informal firms. One of the few exceptions finds large effects of a tax simplificati...

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Main Author: Piza, Caio
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26078745/revisiting-impact-brazilian-simples-program-firms-formalization-rates
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24147
id okr-10986-24147
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-241472021-04-23T14:04:19Z Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates Piza, Caio METHODS MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH FIRMS TIME RESULTS RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS VALIDITY EVALUATION METHODS AGE INFORMATION ENTREPRENEURS RESEARCHERS SME DEVELOPMENT EFFECTS SIZE BANDWIDTHS SCENARIO RETAIL TRADE MEASURES OPEN ACCESS RESULT TAXATION WEIGHT ESTIMATING SECURITY BUSINESS EVALUATION BANDWIDTH COMMERCIAL BANKS TESTS PERFORMANCE INDICATORS PERFORMANCE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT LICENSE PROFIT SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM ESTIMATES FIRM SMALL FIRMS INDICATORS RESEARCH PROFITS ENTERPRISES CREDIT LINES PERFORMANCES EXPERIMENTAL IMPACT EVALUATION MICROENTERPRISES SME A recent survey of rigorous impact evaluations of programs to help small and medium-size firms to formalize indicates that the programs do not seem to work for most informal firms. One of the few exceptions finds large effects of a tax simplification program in Brazil called SIMPLES on firms' formalization rates and performance indicators. Using the same data set but a different identification strategy, another study concludes that the program had limited effect on formalization rates. The aim of this paper is twofold. First, it revisits the two studies to reconcile their conflicting conclusions. Second, it investigates the validity of the identification strategy of both studies. The findings suggest that the conflicting results between the two studies are caused by the dates each used to identify when the program was put into effect. A robustness check indicates that data heaping and seasonality around November cast doubts on the identification strategy used in both studies to estimate the effect of this particular program. 2016-04-26T16:13:58Z 2016-04-26T16:13:58Z 2016-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26078745/revisiting-impact-brazilian-simples-program-firms-formalization-rates http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24147 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7605 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Brazil
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic METHODS
MANUFACTURING
EMPLOYMENT
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
FIRMS
TIME
RESULTS
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
VALIDITY
EVALUATION METHODS
AGE
INFORMATION
ENTREPRENEURS
RESEARCHERS
SME DEVELOPMENT
EFFECTS
SIZE
BANDWIDTHS
SCENARIO
RETAIL TRADE
MEASURES
OPEN ACCESS
RESULT
TAXATION
WEIGHT
ESTIMATING
SECURITY
BUSINESS
EVALUATION
BANDWIDTH
COMMERCIAL BANKS
TESTS
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
PERFORMANCE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
LICENSE
PROFIT
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
ESTIMATES
FIRM
SMALL FIRMS
INDICATORS
RESEARCH
PROFITS
ENTERPRISES
CREDIT LINES
PERFORMANCES
EXPERIMENTAL IMPACT EVALUATION
MICROENTERPRISES
SME
spellingShingle METHODS
MANUFACTURING
EMPLOYMENT
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
FIRMS
TIME
RESULTS
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
VALIDITY
EVALUATION METHODS
AGE
INFORMATION
ENTREPRENEURS
RESEARCHERS
SME DEVELOPMENT
EFFECTS
SIZE
BANDWIDTHS
SCENARIO
RETAIL TRADE
MEASURES
OPEN ACCESS
RESULT
TAXATION
WEIGHT
ESTIMATING
SECURITY
BUSINESS
EVALUATION
BANDWIDTH
COMMERCIAL BANKS
TESTS
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
PERFORMANCE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
LICENSE
PROFIT
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
ESTIMATES
FIRM
SMALL FIRMS
INDICATORS
RESEARCH
PROFITS
ENTERPRISES
CREDIT LINES
PERFORMANCES
EXPERIMENTAL IMPACT EVALUATION
MICROENTERPRISES
SME
Piza, Caio
Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Brazil
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7605
description A recent survey of rigorous impact evaluations of programs to help small and medium-size firms to formalize indicates that the programs do not seem to work for most informal firms. One of the few exceptions finds large effects of a tax simplification program in Brazil called SIMPLES on firms' formalization rates and performance indicators. Using the same data set but a different identification strategy, another study concludes that the program had limited effect on formalization rates. The aim of this paper is twofold. First, it revisits the two studies to reconcile their conflicting conclusions. Second, it investigates the validity of the identification strategy of both studies. The findings suggest that the conflicting results between the two studies are caused by the dates each used to identify when the program was put into effect. A robustness check indicates that data heaping and seasonality around November cast doubts on the identification strategy used in both studies to estimate the effect of this particular program.
format Working Paper
author Piza, Caio
author_facet Piza, Caio
author_sort Piza, Caio
title Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates
title_short Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates
title_full Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates
title_fullStr Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates
title_full_unstemmed Revisiting the Impact of the Brazilian SIMPLES Program on Firms' Formalization Rates
title_sort revisiting the impact of the brazilian simples program on firms' formalization rates
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26078745/revisiting-impact-brazilian-simples-program-firms-formalization-rates
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24147
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