Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin
This paper presents the first basin-wide assessment of the potential impact of climate change on the hydrology and production of the Ganges system, undertaken as part of the World Bank’s Ganges Strategic Basin Assessment. A series of modeling effor...
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26048528/implications-climate-change-water-resources-development-ganges-basin http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24122 |
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okr-10986-241222021-04-23T14:04:19Z Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin Jeuland, Marc Harshadeep, Nagaraja Escurra, Jorge Blackmore, Don Sadoff, Claudia FLOODING WATER ALLOCATION COVERING POWER PLANTS FLOW TEMPERATURE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE WATER YIELD SNOW DAMS CONVERGENCE WATER SYSTEMS HYDROLOGY AQUIFER CLEAN ENERGY WATER SUPPLY WATER RESOURCE EMISSIONS CATCHMENTS GROUNDWATER RECHARGE RIVER BASINS DOMESTIC WATER RESERVOIRS ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES SURFACE WATER ATMOSPHERE WATER ALLOCATIONS HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION WATER TOWERS CLEAN ENERGY TECHNOLOGY WATER CONSUMPTION WATER RESOURCES WATER STORAGE SALINE INTRUSION WATER MANAGEMENT LARGE DAMS WATER REQUIREMENTS MONSOONS FLOODS BASINS CAPACITY GLOBAL WARMING WATER USE WATER RAINFALL GLACIERS WATER USE PATTERNS AQUIFERS GROUNDWATER IRRIGATION IRRIGATORS NATURAL RESOURCES STREAMFLOW PRECIPITATION RUNOFF ANNUAL RAINFALL COASTAL AREAS WATER SHORTAGE GREENHOUSE GASES LAND USE TEMPERATURE CHANGE CLIMATE VARIABILITY WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EMISSION GREENHOUSE STORAGE CAPACITY ECOSYSTEM CLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT HYDROPOWER POTENTIAL LEAD CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC WATER MANAGERS DROUGHT WATER USES ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SNOW MELT RIVER BASIN CLIMATE DATA HYDRODYNAMICS WATER DEMAND INTERNATIONAL WATERS FLOOD DAMAGE CLIMATE WATER POLICY FORESTS CRYOSPHERE CANALS CATCHMENT HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROPOWER PRODUCTION RIVERS SEDIMENT LOAD SURFACE WATER IRRIGATION WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT INDIRECT RECHARGE SURFACE RUNOFF ENERGY PRODUCTION HYDROLOGIC REGIME WATER AVAILABILITY FLOW AUGMENTATION COASTS IRRIGATION SYSTEMS GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL ENGINEERING IRRIGATION GROUNDWATER METERS LESS RAIN SEAWATER CRU EMISSIONS TRENDS GCM GROUNDWATER RESOURCES WATER CYCLE GASES CLIMATOLOGY EVAPORATION RIVER DELTAS WATERS CLIMATIC VARIABILITY EMISSIONS SCENARIO HYDROLOGICAL DATA AVAILABLE WATER MUNICIPAL WATER BENEFITS ENERGY REMOTE SENSING This paper presents the first basin-wide assessment of the potential impact of climate change on the hydrology and production of the Ganges system, undertaken as part of the World Bank’s Ganges Strategic Basin Assessment. A series of modeling efforts, downscaling of climate projections, water balance calculations, hydrological simulation and economic optimization, inform the assessment. The authors find that projections of precipitation across the basin, obtained from 16 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change-recognized General Circulation Models are highly variable, and lead to considerable differences in predictions of mean flows in the main stem of the Ganges and its tributaries. Despite uncertainties in predicted future flows, they are not, however, outside the range of natural variability in this basin, except perhaps at the tributary or sub-catchment levels. The authors also find that the hydropower potential associated with a set of 23 large dams in Nepal remains high across climate models, largely because annual flow in the tributary rivers greatly exceeds the storage capacities of these projects even in dry scenarios. The additional storage and smoothing of flows provided by these infrastructures translates into enhanced water availability in the dry season, but the relative value of this water for the purposes of irrigation in the Gangetic plain, and for low flow augmentation to Bangladesh under climate change, is unclear. 2016-04-25T17:13:32Z 2016-04-25T17:13:32Z 2013-03 Journal Article http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26048528/implications-climate-change-water-resources-development-ganges-basin Water Policy http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24122 English en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ IWA Publishing IWA Publishing Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article South Asia South Asia Bangladesh India Nepal |
repository_type |
Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English en_US |
topic |
FLOODING WATER ALLOCATION COVERING POWER PLANTS FLOW TEMPERATURE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE WATER YIELD SNOW DAMS CONVERGENCE WATER SYSTEMS HYDROLOGY AQUIFER CLEAN ENERGY WATER SUPPLY WATER RESOURCE EMISSIONS CATCHMENTS GROUNDWATER RECHARGE RIVER BASINS DOMESTIC WATER RESERVOIRS ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES SURFACE WATER ATMOSPHERE WATER ALLOCATIONS HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION WATER TOWERS CLEAN ENERGY TECHNOLOGY WATER CONSUMPTION WATER RESOURCES WATER STORAGE SALINE INTRUSION WATER MANAGEMENT LARGE DAMS WATER REQUIREMENTS MONSOONS FLOODS BASINS CAPACITY GLOBAL WARMING WATER USE WATER RAINFALL GLACIERS WATER USE PATTERNS AQUIFERS GROUNDWATER IRRIGATION IRRIGATORS NATURAL RESOURCES STREAMFLOW PRECIPITATION RUNOFF ANNUAL RAINFALL COASTAL AREAS WATER SHORTAGE GREENHOUSE GASES LAND USE TEMPERATURE CHANGE CLIMATE VARIABILITY WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EMISSION GREENHOUSE STORAGE CAPACITY ECOSYSTEM CLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT HYDROPOWER POTENTIAL LEAD CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC WATER MANAGERS DROUGHT WATER USES ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SNOW MELT RIVER BASIN CLIMATE DATA HYDRODYNAMICS WATER DEMAND INTERNATIONAL WATERS FLOOD DAMAGE CLIMATE WATER POLICY FORESTS CRYOSPHERE CANALS CATCHMENT HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROPOWER PRODUCTION RIVERS SEDIMENT LOAD SURFACE WATER IRRIGATION WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT INDIRECT RECHARGE SURFACE RUNOFF ENERGY PRODUCTION HYDROLOGIC REGIME WATER AVAILABILITY FLOW AUGMENTATION COASTS IRRIGATION SYSTEMS GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL ENGINEERING IRRIGATION GROUNDWATER METERS LESS RAIN SEAWATER CRU EMISSIONS TRENDS GCM GROUNDWATER RESOURCES WATER CYCLE GASES CLIMATOLOGY EVAPORATION RIVER DELTAS WATERS CLIMATIC VARIABILITY EMISSIONS SCENARIO HYDROLOGICAL DATA AVAILABLE WATER MUNICIPAL WATER BENEFITS ENERGY REMOTE SENSING |
spellingShingle |
FLOODING WATER ALLOCATION COVERING POWER PLANTS FLOW TEMPERATURE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE WATER YIELD SNOW DAMS CONVERGENCE WATER SYSTEMS HYDROLOGY AQUIFER CLEAN ENERGY WATER SUPPLY WATER RESOURCE EMISSIONS CATCHMENTS GROUNDWATER RECHARGE RIVER BASINS DOMESTIC WATER RESERVOIRS ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES SURFACE WATER ATMOSPHERE WATER ALLOCATIONS HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION WATER TOWERS CLEAN ENERGY TECHNOLOGY WATER CONSUMPTION WATER RESOURCES WATER STORAGE SALINE INTRUSION WATER MANAGEMENT LARGE DAMS WATER REQUIREMENTS MONSOONS FLOODS BASINS CAPACITY GLOBAL WARMING WATER USE WATER RAINFALL GLACIERS WATER USE PATTERNS AQUIFERS GROUNDWATER IRRIGATION IRRIGATORS NATURAL RESOURCES STREAMFLOW PRECIPITATION RUNOFF ANNUAL RAINFALL COASTAL AREAS WATER SHORTAGE GREENHOUSE GASES LAND USE TEMPERATURE CHANGE CLIMATE VARIABILITY WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EMISSION GREENHOUSE STORAGE CAPACITY ECOSYSTEM CLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT HYDROPOWER POTENTIAL LEAD CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC WATER MANAGERS DROUGHT WATER USES ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SNOW MELT RIVER BASIN CLIMATE DATA HYDRODYNAMICS WATER DEMAND INTERNATIONAL WATERS FLOOD DAMAGE CLIMATE WATER POLICY FORESTS CRYOSPHERE CANALS CATCHMENT HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROPOWER PRODUCTION RIVERS SEDIMENT LOAD SURFACE WATER IRRIGATION WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT INDIRECT RECHARGE SURFACE RUNOFF ENERGY PRODUCTION HYDROLOGIC REGIME WATER AVAILABILITY FLOW AUGMENTATION COASTS IRRIGATION SYSTEMS GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL ENGINEERING IRRIGATION GROUNDWATER METERS LESS RAIN SEAWATER CRU EMISSIONS TRENDS GCM GROUNDWATER RESOURCES WATER CYCLE GASES CLIMATOLOGY EVAPORATION RIVER DELTAS WATERS CLIMATIC VARIABILITY EMISSIONS SCENARIO HYDROLOGICAL DATA AVAILABLE WATER MUNICIPAL WATER BENEFITS ENERGY REMOTE SENSING Jeuland, Marc Harshadeep, Nagaraja Escurra, Jorge Blackmore, Don Sadoff, Claudia Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin |
geographic_facet |
South Asia South Asia Bangladesh India Nepal |
description |
This paper presents the first basin-wide
assessment of the potential impact of climate change on the
hydrology and production of the Ganges system, undertaken as
part of the World Bank’s Ganges Strategic Basin Assessment.
A series of modeling efforts, downscaling of climate
projections, water balance calculations, hydrological
simulation and economic optimization, inform the assessment.
The authors find that projections of precipitation across
the basin, obtained from 16 Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change-recognized General Circulation Models are
highly variable, and lead to considerable differences in
predictions of mean flows in the main stem of the Ganges and
its tributaries. Despite uncertainties in predicted future
flows, they are not, however, outside the range of natural
variability in this basin, except perhaps at the tributary
or sub-catchment levels. The authors also find that the
hydropower potential associated with a set of 23 large dams
in Nepal remains high across climate models, largely because
annual flow in the tributary rivers greatly exceeds the
storage capacities of these projects even in dry scenarios.
The additional storage and smoothing of flows provided by
these infrastructures translates into enhanced water
availability in the dry season, but the relative value of
this water for the purposes of irrigation in the Gangetic
plain, and for low flow augmentation to Bangladesh under
climate change, is unclear. |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Jeuland, Marc Harshadeep, Nagaraja Escurra, Jorge Blackmore, Don Sadoff, Claudia |
author_facet |
Jeuland, Marc Harshadeep, Nagaraja Escurra, Jorge Blackmore, Don Sadoff, Claudia |
author_sort |
Jeuland, Marc |
title |
Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin |
title_short |
Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin |
title_full |
Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin |
title_fullStr |
Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin |
title_full_unstemmed |
Implications of Climate Change for Water Resources Development in the Ganges Basin |
title_sort |
implications of climate change for water resources development in the ganges basin |
publisher |
IWA Publishing |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26048528/implications-climate-change-water-resources-development-ganges-basin http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24122 |
_version_ |
1764455594336452608 |