Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal

This update comes in the wake of three game changing and mutually reinforcing trends. First, monetary policy in the United States (U.S.) will determine the direction of capital flows and currency stability. Second, the persistent decline in commodi...

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Main Author: World Bank Group
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Nairobi, Kenya 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26148431/kenya-economic-update-kazi-ni-kazi-informal-not-normal
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24001
id okr-10986-24001
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-240012021-05-25T10:54:44Z Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal World Bank Group CAPITAL FLOWS COMMODITY PRICES CURRENCY STABILITY GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS JOB CREATION PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH TRADE DIRECTION This update comes in the wake of three game changing and mutually reinforcing trends. First, monetary policy in the United States (U.S.) will determine the direction of capital flows and currency stability. Second, the persistent decline in commodity prices will determine winners and losers and third, the cooling and rebalancing of the Chinese economy is likely to see a recalibration and change in the direction of trade. Kenya’s growth will depend on the net impact of these global trends on the one hand and the domestic policy response on the other. Growth in 2015 is estimated at 5.6 percent, and is projected to rise to 5.9 percent in 2016 and 6 percent in 2017. The economy has created more jobs in the recent years, but these are low productivity mainly in the informal services sector and are not associated with higher value added. In the next ten years, nine million youth will enter the labor market, a majority will continue to find jobs in the informal sector. To improve productivity of these jobs, policy interventions can be geared towards increasing access to broad skills beyond formal education, creating linkages between formal and informal firms, and helping small scale firms enter local and global value chains. To encourage private sector growth and create better jobs, the business environment must improve. Finally, Kenya can leverage the changes in the global economy to recalibrate its trade as a platform for structural change and provide the impetus for higher levels of growth and creation of productive jobs. 2016-04-04T16:46:39Z 2016-04-04T16:46:39Z 2016-03 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26148431/kenya-economic-update-kazi-ni-kazi-informal-not-normal http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24001 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Nairobi, Kenya Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work Africa Kenya
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic CAPITAL FLOWS
COMMODITY PRICES
CURRENCY STABILITY
GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS
JOB CREATION
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
TRADE DIRECTION
spellingShingle CAPITAL FLOWS
COMMODITY PRICES
CURRENCY STABILITY
GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS
JOB CREATION
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
TRADE DIRECTION
World Bank Group
Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal
geographic_facet Africa
Kenya
description This update comes in the wake of three game changing and mutually reinforcing trends. First, monetary policy in the United States (U.S.) will determine the direction of capital flows and currency stability. Second, the persistent decline in commodity prices will determine winners and losers and third, the cooling and rebalancing of the Chinese economy is likely to see a recalibration and change in the direction of trade. Kenya’s growth will depend on the net impact of these global trends on the one hand and the domestic policy response on the other. Growth in 2015 is estimated at 5.6 percent, and is projected to rise to 5.9 percent in 2016 and 6 percent in 2017. The economy has created more jobs in the recent years, but these are low productivity mainly in the informal services sector and are not associated with higher value added. In the next ten years, nine million youth will enter the labor market, a majority will continue to find jobs in the informal sector. To improve productivity of these jobs, policy interventions can be geared towards increasing access to broad skills beyond formal education, creating linkages between formal and informal firms, and helping small scale firms enter local and global value chains. To encourage private sector growth and create better jobs, the business environment must improve. Finally, Kenya can leverage the changes in the global economy to recalibrate its trade as a platform for structural change and provide the impetus for higher levels of growth and creation of productive jobs.
format Report
author World Bank Group
author_facet World Bank Group
author_sort World Bank Group
title Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal
title_short Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal
title_full Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal
title_fullStr Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal
title_full_unstemmed Kenya Economic Update, March 2016 : Kazi ni kazi - Informal Should Not Be Normal
title_sort kenya economic update, march 2016 : kazi ni kazi - informal should not be normal
publisher World Bank, Nairobi, Kenya
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26148431/kenya-economic-update-kazi-ni-kazi-informal-not-normal
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24001
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