Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan

This paper examines the effects of market integration on household consumption using data on seven food and two energy markets across South Sudan. The analysis reveals that markets in South Sudan are highly segmented. Price differences for narrowly...

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Main Authors: Varela, Gonzalo, Cali, Massimiliano, Pape, Utz, Rojas, Esteban
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
CAR
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/02/25926775/market-integration-poverty-evidence-south-sudan
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23903
id okr-10986-23903
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-239032021-06-14T10:20:05Z Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan Varela, Gonzalo Cali, Massimiliano Pape, Utz Rojas, Esteban SUBSTITUTION WAREHOUSE PRICE LEVELS PRICE STABILIZATION AIRPORT STOCK INCOME INTEREST TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT VEHICLES TRANSPORTATION COSTS ROAD BUILDING AVERAGE PRICES INFORMATION FLOWS EXCHANGE LIQUIDITY TREND ELASTICITY GASOLINE EFFECT OF FUEL PRICES ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE PRICE ROUTES MARKET ACCESS REMOTE REGION TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE DRIVERS PUBLIC POLICY PRICE STRUCTURE SAVINGS ROAD TOLLS COSTS PRODUCTION STRUCTURE ROAD NETWORK TRANSPORT LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES FOOD PRICE PRICE VOLATILITY FIXED COSTS SURPLUS PRODUCTS JOURNEYS SUPPLY SHOCKS MARKETS CONNECTIVITY DOMESTIC TRANSPORT TRUE PRICE SERIES PRICE POLICY ROAD IMPROVEMENT PRODUCT RURAL ROADS ROUTE GASOLINE PRICES FUELS FUEL COSTS ROAD QUALITY FOOD PRODUCTION INFRASTRUCTURE TAXES PRICE CHANGE EXPENDITURE PRICE OF DIESEL DATA AVAILABILITY MARKET SEGMENTATION TRAVEL TRANSPORTATION TRANSIT POLICIES INTERNATIONAL TRADE VOLATILITY BORDER CROSSING BARRIERS MARKET CONDITIONS FINANCIAL CRISIS AGRICULTURAL PRICE VALUE COMPETITIVENESS TRADE DEFICIT ACCESSIBILITY DEMAND CONSUMER PRICE COMMERCIAL VEHICLES PRICE CHANGES EXPENDITURES PRICE EFFECT FUEL PRICES PRICE ADJUSTMENT SIGNALS SALE AVERAGE PRICE MARKET FOREIGN EXCHANGE ENERGY PRICES PRICE INCREASE OUTPUT ROADS EXPOSURE CAR INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS LENGTH OF ROADS CROSSING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT REGIONAL INTEGRATION TRADE RAILROAD PRICE DIFFERENTIAL SECURITY ECONOMIES OF SCALE TRANSPORTATION COST INVESTMENT FUEL PRICE SHARE RAILROADS HIGH TRANSPORT SUPPLY FUEL PURCHASING INVESTMENTS MARKET INTEGRATION COMMODITIES PRICE VARIATIONS FOOD PRICES ARBITRAGE TRANSPORT COSTS MARKET CONDITION COMMODITY PRICES DIESEL COMMERCIAL FARMING TRAVEL TIME COMMODITY PRICES PRICE DIFFERENTIALS This paper examines the effects of market integration on household consumption using data on seven food and two energy markets across South Sudan. The analysis reveals that markets in South Sudan are highly segmented. Price differences for narrowly defined products, across cities exceed in some cases 100 percent. In addition, price volatility increased substantially following the imposition of the trade restrictions with Sudan. This increase tends to hurt disproportionately the poor, who cannot smooth purchasing decisions over time because of liquidity constraints. Transportation costs explain almost half of the variation in food prices across space, and improving the quality of roads has a large potential to reduce prices in the most expensive towns. On the basis of this price effect, the simulations suggest that bringing all road quality across states to that of primary roads can yield a reduction in poverty from the rate of 51.7 percent in 2009 to between 42.8 and 46.9 percent. These estimates have to be interpreted as conservative, as they do not take into account the second-order effects of road construction from increased trade that will result from better road connectivity. 2016-03-09T18:32:35Z 2016-03-09T18:32:35Z 2016-02 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/02/25926775/market-integration-poverty-evidence-south-sudan http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23903 English en_US Policy Brief Zambia;No. 7564 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa South Sudan
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic SUBSTITUTION
WAREHOUSE
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE STABILIZATION
AIRPORT
STOCK
INCOME
INTEREST
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
VEHICLES
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
ROAD BUILDING
AVERAGE PRICES
INFORMATION FLOWS
EXCHANGE
LIQUIDITY
TREND
ELASTICITY
GASOLINE
EFFECT OF FUEL PRICES
ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE
PRICE
ROUTES
MARKET ACCESS
REMOTE REGION
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
DRIVERS
PUBLIC POLICY
PRICE STRUCTURE
SAVINGS
ROAD
TOLLS
COSTS
PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
ROAD NETWORK
TRANSPORT
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
FOOD PRICE
PRICE VOLATILITY
FIXED COSTS
SURPLUS
PRODUCTS
JOURNEYS
SUPPLY SHOCKS
MARKETS
CONNECTIVITY
DOMESTIC TRANSPORT
TRUE
PRICE SERIES
PRICE POLICY
ROAD IMPROVEMENT
PRODUCT
RURAL ROADS
ROUTE
GASOLINE PRICES
FUELS
FUEL COSTS
ROAD QUALITY
FOOD PRODUCTION
INFRASTRUCTURE
TAXES
PRICE CHANGE
EXPENDITURE
PRICE OF DIESEL
DATA AVAILABILITY
MARKET SEGMENTATION
TRAVEL
TRANSPORTATION
TRANSIT
POLICIES
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
VOLATILITY
BORDER CROSSING
BARRIERS
MARKET CONDITIONS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
AGRICULTURAL PRICE
VALUE
COMPETITIVENESS
TRADE DEFICIT
ACCESSIBILITY
DEMAND
CONSUMER PRICE
COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
PRICE CHANGES
EXPENDITURES
PRICE EFFECT
FUEL PRICES
PRICE ADJUSTMENT
SIGNALS
SALE
AVERAGE PRICE
MARKET
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
ENERGY PRICES
PRICE INCREASE
OUTPUT
ROADS
EXPOSURE
CAR
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
LENGTH OF ROADS
CROSSING
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
TRADE
RAILROAD
PRICE DIFFERENTIAL
SECURITY
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
TRANSPORTATION COST
INVESTMENT
FUEL PRICE
SHARE
RAILROADS
HIGH TRANSPORT
SUPPLY
FUEL
PURCHASING
INVESTMENTS
MARKET INTEGRATION
COMMODITIES
PRICE VARIATIONS
FOOD PRICES
ARBITRAGE
TRANSPORT COSTS
MARKET CONDITION
COMMODITY PRICES
DIESEL
COMMERCIAL FARMING
TRAVEL TIME
COMMODITY
PRICES
PRICE DIFFERENTIALS
spellingShingle SUBSTITUTION
WAREHOUSE
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE STABILIZATION
AIRPORT
STOCK
INCOME
INTEREST
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
VEHICLES
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
ROAD BUILDING
AVERAGE PRICES
INFORMATION FLOWS
EXCHANGE
LIQUIDITY
TREND
ELASTICITY
GASOLINE
EFFECT OF FUEL PRICES
ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE
PRICE
ROUTES
MARKET ACCESS
REMOTE REGION
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
DRIVERS
PUBLIC POLICY
PRICE STRUCTURE
SAVINGS
ROAD
TOLLS
COSTS
PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
ROAD NETWORK
TRANSPORT
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
FOOD PRICE
PRICE VOLATILITY
FIXED COSTS
SURPLUS
PRODUCTS
JOURNEYS
SUPPLY SHOCKS
MARKETS
CONNECTIVITY
DOMESTIC TRANSPORT
TRUE
PRICE SERIES
PRICE POLICY
ROAD IMPROVEMENT
PRODUCT
RURAL ROADS
ROUTE
GASOLINE PRICES
FUELS
FUEL COSTS
ROAD QUALITY
FOOD PRODUCTION
INFRASTRUCTURE
TAXES
PRICE CHANGE
EXPENDITURE
PRICE OF DIESEL
DATA AVAILABILITY
MARKET SEGMENTATION
TRAVEL
TRANSPORTATION
TRANSIT
POLICIES
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
VOLATILITY
BORDER CROSSING
BARRIERS
MARKET CONDITIONS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
AGRICULTURAL PRICE
VALUE
COMPETITIVENESS
TRADE DEFICIT
ACCESSIBILITY
DEMAND
CONSUMER PRICE
COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
PRICE CHANGES
EXPENDITURES
PRICE EFFECT
FUEL PRICES
PRICE ADJUSTMENT
SIGNALS
SALE
AVERAGE PRICE
MARKET
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
ENERGY PRICES
PRICE INCREASE
OUTPUT
ROADS
EXPOSURE
CAR
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
LENGTH OF ROADS
CROSSING
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
TRADE
RAILROAD
PRICE DIFFERENTIAL
SECURITY
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
TRANSPORTATION COST
INVESTMENT
FUEL PRICE
SHARE
RAILROADS
HIGH TRANSPORT
SUPPLY
FUEL
PURCHASING
INVESTMENTS
MARKET INTEGRATION
COMMODITIES
PRICE VARIATIONS
FOOD PRICES
ARBITRAGE
TRANSPORT COSTS
MARKET CONDITION
COMMODITY PRICES
DIESEL
COMMERCIAL FARMING
TRAVEL TIME
COMMODITY
PRICES
PRICE DIFFERENTIALS
Varela, Gonzalo
Cali, Massimiliano
Pape, Utz
Rojas, Esteban
Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan
geographic_facet Africa
South Sudan
relation Policy Brief Zambia;No. 7564
description This paper examines the effects of market integration on household consumption using data on seven food and two energy markets across South Sudan. The analysis reveals that markets in South Sudan are highly segmented. Price differences for narrowly defined products, across cities exceed in some cases 100 percent. In addition, price volatility increased substantially following the imposition of the trade restrictions with Sudan. This increase tends to hurt disproportionately the poor, who cannot smooth purchasing decisions over time because of liquidity constraints. Transportation costs explain almost half of the variation in food prices across space, and improving the quality of roads has a large potential to reduce prices in the most expensive towns. On the basis of this price effect, the simulations suggest that bringing all road quality across states to that of primary roads can yield a reduction in poverty from the rate of 51.7 percent in 2009 to between 42.8 and 46.9 percent. These estimates have to be interpreted as conservative, as they do not take into account the second-order effects of road construction from increased trade that will result from better road connectivity.
format Working Paper
author Varela, Gonzalo
Cali, Massimiliano
Pape, Utz
Rojas, Esteban
author_facet Varela, Gonzalo
Cali, Massimiliano
Pape, Utz
Rojas, Esteban
author_sort Varela, Gonzalo
title Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan
title_short Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan
title_full Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan
title_fullStr Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan
title_full_unstemmed Market Integration and Poverty : Evidence from South Sudan
title_sort market integration and poverty : evidence from south sudan
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/02/25926775/market-integration-poverty-evidence-south-sudan
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23903
_version_ 1764455107972300800