From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Burden? : Regional Trends of Population Aging in Russia
Do regions with higher working age populations grow faster? This paper examines this question using data from Russian regions and finds evidence that demographic trends influence regional growth convergence. In other words, keeping other factors co...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2015
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/11/25485357/demographic-dividend-demographic-burden-regional-trends-population-aging-russia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23465 |
| Summary: | Do regions with higher working age
populations grow faster? This paper examines this question
using data from Russian regions and finds evidence that
demographic trends influence regional growth convergence. In
other words, keeping other factors constant, poorer regions
grow faster than richer regions, and some of the growth
convergence is explained by demographic changes: faster
growth in poor regions in the past was related in part to
more favorable demographic trends. This finding has
important consequences for Russia. If the demographic trends
in poorer regions worsen in the future, this could dampen
economic convergence. Unless there are significant increases
in labor productivity or additions to the labor force
through migration, growth in Russian regions will moderate
as the Russian population shrinks and ages in the coming decades. |
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