Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation

Using household data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey, this paper assesses how aging affects saving. To overcome a systematic bias against the life-cycle hypothesis of survey data, the paper estimates how the age profile of saving ch...

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Main Authors: Bussolo, Maurizio, Simone, Schotte, Matytsin, Mikhail
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/10/25159413/population-aging-households’-saving-russian-federation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22874
id okr-10986-22874
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-228742021-04-23T14:04:11Z Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation Bussolo, Maurizio Simone, Schotte Matytsin, Mikhail GROWTH RATES NATIONAL CURRENCY SAVINGS RATIO DEFICIT HOLDING NATIONAL SAVING FUTURE GROWTH CONSUMER DURABLES INCOME FLOWS FOREIGN CURRENCY ACCOUNTING HOUSEHOLD’ SAVING MICRODATA DISPOSABLE INCOME INCOME INTEREST DUMMY VARIABLES PRIVATIZATION PENSION SYSTEMS FUTURE EARNINGS INTEREST RATE EXCHANGE OPTION BANKING SYSTEM CONSUMER GOODS HOUSEHOLD SAVING DEVELOPING COUNTRIES BEQUEST REPAYMENTS POLITICAL ECONOMY REVENUES RETAIL MARKET BONDS LOAN MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS VALUABLE ASSET SUBSIDY PRICE TAX ASSET MANAGEMENT PENSION SYSTEM PENSION REFORMS SAVING ASSET HOLDINGS PRIVATE PENSION PENSION FUND CONTRIBUTIONS CREDITORS INFLATION INTERNATIONAL BANK PENSION WAGE GROWTH LIFE EXPECTANCY BUDGET PUBLIC POLICY PRIVATE SAVING SAVINGS CURRENCY REPLACEMENT RATE FINANCIAL INSTITUTION DOMESTIC CURRENCY ECONOMIC CRISES INCOME GROWTH INCOME SHOCK CONTRACTS PENSION CONTRIBUTIONS ASSET MANAGER RETIREMENT AGE INTEREST RATES DEBT MARKETS HOUSEHOLD INCOME PENSION REFORM LOCAL GOVERNMENT INFLATION RATE HOUSEHOLD SAVING RATE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE BUSINESS CYCLE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS DIVIDENDS PENSION FUNDS CONSUMER DEMAND SUBSIDIES REAL ESTATE FINANCE FOREIGN CURRENCY NEGATIVE SHOCK TAXES SAVINGS ACCOUNT EXPENDITURE MARKET ECONOMY EQUITY INCOME TAXES SAVINGS RATES LOAN REPAYMENT MACROECONOMIC DATA CAPITAL RATIO GOOD VOLATILITY INVESTMENT OPTIONS TURNOVER FUTURE SAVINGS RATE PENSIONS DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DISPOSABLE INCOMES REPAYMENT EXPENDITURES INCOMES PROPERTY PRIVATE PENSIONS SHARES CASH HOLDINGS INSURANCE PREMIUM NEGATIVE INCOME SHOCK MARKET PERSONAL PROPERTY TRADE UNIONS SECURITIES OUTPUT HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS HOUSEHOLD SAVING RATES EXPOSURE HOLDINGS INSURANCE RETIREMENT SAVINGS DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES TRADE INTERESTS GOODS SECURITY TRANSFER PAYMENTS GROWTH RATE STOCKS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT BEQUESTS SHARE ECONOMIC CRISIS BANKING FINANCIAL ASSETS DEBT REPAYMENTS PROFIT CONSUMER PRICE INDEX PENSION FUND EXCHANGE RATE DEMOGRAPHIC MICRO DATA PROFITS PUBLIC PENSION LIABILITIES PRICES ASSET MANAGERS Using household data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey, this paper assesses how aging affects saving. To overcome a systematic bias against the life-cycle hypothesis of survey data, the paper estimates how the age profile of saving changes when the micro data are corrected to account for the contribution to pensions (as additional saving) and receipt of benefits from pensions (as dissaving). With these corrections, the Russian data support the life-cycle hypothesis. A small decline in the aggregate saving rate, because of aging, can thus be expected. However, since aggregate saving rates result from a combination of age and cohort effects, this decline may not be significant. When extrapolating the rising trends of the cohort effect, the fact that younger generations are earning and saving more than older generation at the same age, the projection shows a growing aggregate saving rate. The changes in saving of future cohorts, for example because of changes in the growth rate of the economy, can affect the aggregate saving rate even more than aging. 2015-11-05T19:02:07Z 2015-11-05T19:02:07Z 2015-10 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/10/25159413/population-aging-households’-saving-russian-federation http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22874 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7443 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia Russian Federation
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic GROWTH RATES
NATIONAL CURRENCY
SAVINGS RATIO
DEFICIT
HOLDING
NATIONAL SAVING
FUTURE GROWTH
CONSUMER DURABLES
INCOME FLOWS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
ACCOUNTING
HOUSEHOLD’ SAVING
MICRODATA
DISPOSABLE INCOME
INCOME
INTEREST
DUMMY VARIABLES
PRIVATIZATION
PENSION SYSTEMS
FUTURE EARNINGS
INTEREST RATE
EXCHANGE
OPTION
BANKING SYSTEM
CONSUMER GOODS
HOUSEHOLD SAVING
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
BEQUEST
REPAYMENTS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
REVENUES
RETAIL MARKET
BONDS
LOAN
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
VALUABLE ASSET
SUBSIDY
PRICE
TAX
ASSET MANAGEMENT
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION REFORMS
SAVING
ASSET HOLDINGS
PRIVATE PENSION
PENSION FUND CONTRIBUTIONS
CREDITORS
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL BANK
PENSION
WAGE GROWTH
LIFE EXPECTANCY
BUDGET
PUBLIC POLICY
PRIVATE SAVING
SAVINGS
CURRENCY
REPLACEMENT RATE
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
ECONOMIC CRISES
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME SHOCK
CONTRACTS
PENSION CONTRIBUTIONS
ASSET MANAGER
RETIREMENT AGE
INTEREST RATES
DEBT
MARKETS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
PENSION REFORM
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
INFLATION RATE
HOUSEHOLD SAVING RATE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
BUSINESS CYCLE
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
DIVIDENDS
PENSION FUNDS
CONSUMER DEMAND
SUBSIDIES
REAL ESTATE
FINANCE
FOREIGN CURRENCY
NEGATIVE SHOCK
TAXES
SAVINGS ACCOUNT
EXPENDITURE
MARKET ECONOMY
EQUITY
INCOME TAXES
SAVINGS RATES
LOAN REPAYMENT
MACROECONOMIC DATA
CAPITAL RATIO
GOOD
VOLATILITY
INVESTMENT OPTIONS
TURNOVER
FUTURE
SAVINGS RATE
PENSIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DISPOSABLE INCOMES
REPAYMENT
EXPENDITURES
INCOMES
PROPERTY
PRIVATE PENSIONS
SHARES
CASH HOLDINGS
INSURANCE PREMIUM
NEGATIVE INCOME SHOCK
MARKET
PERSONAL PROPERTY
TRADE UNIONS
SECURITIES
OUTPUT
HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS
HOUSEHOLD SAVING RATES
EXPOSURE
HOLDINGS
INSURANCE
RETIREMENT SAVINGS
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
TRADE
INTERESTS
GOODS
SECURITY
TRANSFER PAYMENTS
GROWTH RATE
STOCKS
REAL ESTATE
INVESTMENT
BEQUESTS
SHARE
ECONOMIC CRISIS
BANKING
FINANCIAL ASSETS
DEBT REPAYMENTS
PROFIT
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
PENSION FUND
EXCHANGE RATE
DEMOGRAPHIC
MICRO DATA
PROFITS
PUBLIC PENSION
LIABILITIES
PRICES
ASSET MANAGERS
spellingShingle GROWTH RATES
NATIONAL CURRENCY
SAVINGS RATIO
DEFICIT
HOLDING
NATIONAL SAVING
FUTURE GROWTH
CONSUMER DURABLES
INCOME FLOWS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
ACCOUNTING
HOUSEHOLD’ SAVING
MICRODATA
DISPOSABLE INCOME
INCOME
INTEREST
DUMMY VARIABLES
PRIVATIZATION
PENSION SYSTEMS
FUTURE EARNINGS
INTEREST RATE
EXCHANGE
OPTION
BANKING SYSTEM
CONSUMER GOODS
HOUSEHOLD SAVING
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
BEQUEST
REPAYMENTS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
REVENUES
RETAIL MARKET
BONDS
LOAN
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
VALUABLE ASSET
SUBSIDY
PRICE
TAX
ASSET MANAGEMENT
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION REFORMS
SAVING
ASSET HOLDINGS
PRIVATE PENSION
PENSION FUND CONTRIBUTIONS
CREDITORS
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL BANK
PENSION
WAGE GROWTH
LIFE EXPECTANCY
BUDGET
PUBLIC POLICY
PRIVATE SAVING
SAVINGS
CURRENCY
REPLACEMENT RATE
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
ECONOMIC CRISES
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME SHOCK
CONTRACTS
PENSION CONTRIBUTIONS
ASSET MANAGER
RETIREMENT AGE
INTEREST RATES
DEBT
MARKETS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
PENSION REFORM
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
INFLATION RATE
HOUSEHOLD SAVING RATE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
BUSINESS CYCLE
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
DIVIDENDS
PENSION FUNDS
CONSUMER DEMAND
SUBSIDIES
REAL ESTATE
FINANCE
FOREIGN CURRENCY
NEGATIVE SHOCK
TAXES
SAVINGS ACCOUNT
EXPENDITURE
MARKET ECONOMY
EQUITY
INCOME TAXES
SAVINGS RATES
LOAN REPAYMENT
MACROECONOMIC DATA
CAPITAL RATIO
GOOD
VOLATILITY
INVESTMENT OPTIONS
TURNOVER
FUTURE
SAVINGS RATE
PENSIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DISPOSABLE INCOMES
REPAYMENT
EXPENDITURES
INCOMES
PROPERTY
PRIVATE PENSIONS
SHARES
CASH HOLDINGS
INSURANCE PREMIUM
NEGATIVE INCOME SHOCK
MARKET
PERSONAL PROPERTY
TRADE UNIONS
SECURITIES
OUTPUT
HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS
HOUSEHOLD SAVING RATES
EXPOSURE
HOLDINGS
INSURANCE
RETIREMENT SAVINGS
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
TRADE
INTERESTS
GOODS
SECURITY
TRANSFER PAYMENTS
GROWTH RATE
STOCKS
REAL ESTATE
INVESTMENT
BEQUESTS
SHARE
ECONOMIC CRISIS
BANKING
FINANCIAL ASSETS
DEBT REPAYMENTS
PROFIT
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
PENSION FUND
EXCHANGE RATE
DEMOGRAPHIC
MICRO DATA
PROFITS
PUBLIC PENSION
LIABILITIES
PRICES
ASSET MANAGERS
Bussolo, Maurizio
Simone, Schotte
Matytsin, Mikhail
Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Russian Federation
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7443
description Using household data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey, this paper assesses how aging affects saving. To overcome a systematic bias against the life-cycle hypothesis of survey data, the paper estimates how the age profile of saving changes when the micro data are corrected to account for the contribution to pensions (as additional saving) and receipt of benefits from pensions (as dissaving). With these corrections, the Russian data support the life-cycle hypothesis. A small decline in the aggregate saving rate, because of aging, can thus be expected. However, since aggregate saving rates result from a combination of age and cohort effects, this decline may not be significant. When extrapolating the rising trends of the cohort effect, the fact that younger generations are earning and saving more than older generation at the same age, the projection shows a growing aggregate saving rate. The changes in saving of future cohorts, for example because of changes in the growth rate of the economy, can affect the aggregate saving rate even more than aging.
format Working Paper
author Bussolo, Maurizio
Simone, Schotte
Matytsin, Mikhail
author_facet Bussolo, Maurizio
Simone, Schotte
Matytsin, Mikhail
author_sort Bussolo, Maurizio
title Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation
title_short Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation
title_full Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation
title_fullStr Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation
title_full_unstemmed Population Aging and Households’ Saving in the Russian Federation
title_sort population aging and households’ saving in the russian federation
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/10/25159413/population-aging-households’-saving-russian-federation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22874
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