The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market

Civil war in Syria has resulted in more than four million refugees fleeing the country, of which 1.8 million have found refuge in Turkey, making it the largest refugee-hosting country worldwide. This paper combines newly available data on the 2014...

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Main Authors: Del Carpio, Ximena V., Wagner, Mathis
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
JOB
WAR
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/08/24946337/impact-syrians-refugees-turkish-labor-market
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22659
id okr-10986-22659
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-226592021-06-14T10:14:32Z The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market Del Carpio, Ximena V. Wagner, Mathis WAGE IMPACT JOBS EMPLOYMENT IMMIGRANT EMPLOYMENT RATE BASIC SERVICES UNEMPLOYMENT RATES EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS WORKING-AGE POPULATION PRELIMINARY EVIDENCE SKILLED WORKERS RETIREMENT PREVIOUS SECTION SCHOOLING PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION INFLUX OF REFUGEES EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS ATTENDANCE RATES EDUCATION REFORMS LABOR FORCE NUMBER OF REFUGEES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES HIGH SCHOOL HEALTH CARE IMMIGRANTS WAGE LOSSES HIGHER EDUCATION JOB FEMALE EMPLOYMENT AGE CATEGORIES POLICY DISCUSSIONS DISPLACEMENT EFFECT EMPLOYMENT RATES LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET IMPACT NATIONAL LEVEL NUMBER OF PEOPLE EMPLOYMENT TRENDS INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE KNOWLEDGE NATIVE WORKERS LABOR MARKET RIGHT TO WORK FORCED MIGRATION REGULAR JOBS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT DISPLACEMENT WORKER HOST COUNTRIES WORLD CONFERENCE SECONDARY SCHOOL UNEMPLOYED MIGRATION ECONOMIC CHANGES EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITIES TEMPORARY PROTECTION FORMAL LABOR MARKET EMPLOYMENT COMPOSITION SOCIAL SECURITY CULTURAL CHANGE SCHOOL COMPLETION LABOR PRIMARY SCHOOL MIGRANTS WAGE INCREASE MORTALITY REGULAR WORKERS RESPECT PROGRESS WAGE GAINS UNEMPLOYMENT REGULAR” EMPLOYMENT AVERAGE WAGES HUMAN CAPITAL FOOD SECURITY WORKERS LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS LOCAL LABOR MARKETS PRESENT EVIDENCE VALUES SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS EDUCATION REFORM POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER AVERAGE WAGE AGE GROUPS FLOWS OF PEOPLE EMPLOYMENT STATUS REFUGEE LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES JOB CREATION SCHOOL CHILDREN REFUGEES EARNING POPULATIONS LABOR MARKET INDICATORS JOB OFFERS REGULAR EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT EFFECT HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES POLICY MANAGEMENT REFUGEE CAMPS PUBLIC SECTOR EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT IMPACT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES POPULATION MOVEMENTS UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES LABOUR FORCE EDUCATION WARS SUBSTITUTION EFFECT WAR HOST COUNTRY EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY HUMAN RESOURCES DISPLACEMENT EFFECTS EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP IMMIGRATION INTERNAL MIGRATION EMPLOYEE ECONOMIC TRENDS YOUNG PEOPLE POPULATION LABOR SUPPLY WAGE EFFECTS INFORMAL EMPLOYMENT LOCAL LABOR MARKET POLICY RESEARCH CIVIL WAR PRIMARY EDUCATION WOMEN LABOUR LABOR MARKETS HEALTH CONSEQUENCES SCHOOL REFUGEE POPULATION DEVELOPMENT POLICY EMPLOYEES Civil war in Syria has resulted in more than four million refugees fleeing the country, of which 1.8 million have found refuge in Turkey, making it the largest refugee-hosting country worldwide. This paper combines newly available data on the 2014 distribution of Syrian refugees across subregions of Turkey with the Turkish Labour Force Survey, to assess the impact on Turkish labor market conditions. Using a novel instrument, the analysis finds that the refugees, who overwhelmingly do not have work permits, result in the large-scale displacement of informal, low-educated, female Turkish workers, especially in agriculture. While there is net displacement, the inflow of refugees also creates higher-wage formal jobs, allowing for occupational upgrading of Turkish workers. Average Turkish wages have increased primarily as the composition of the employed has changed because of the inflow of refugees. 2015-09-23T17:13:50Z 2015-09-23T17:13:50Z 2015-08 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/08/24946337/impact-syrians-refugees-turkish-labor-market http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22659 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7402 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Middle East and North Africa Syrian Arab Republic Turkey
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic WAGE IMPACT
JOBS
EMPLOYMENT
IMMIGRANT
EMPLOYMENT RATE
BASIC SERVICES
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS
WORKING-AGE POPULATION
PRELIMINARY EVIDENCE
SKILLED WORKERS
RETIREMENT
PREVIOUS SECTION
SCHOOLING
PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
INFLUX OF REFUGEES
EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS
ATTENDANCE RATES
EDUCATION REFORMS
LABOR FORCE
NUMBER OF REFUGEES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
HIGH SCHOOL
HEALTH CARE
IMMIGRANTS
WAGE LOSSES
HIGHER EDUCATION
JOB
FEMALE EMPLOYMENT
AGE CATEGORIES
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
DISPLACEMENT EFFECT
EMPLOYMENT RATES
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET IMPACT
NATIONAL LEVEL
NUMBER OF PEOPLE
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
KNOWLEDGE
NATIVE WORKERS
LABOR MARKET
RIGHT TO WORK
FORCED MIGRATION
REGULAR JOBS
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
DISPLACEMENT
WORKER
HOST COUNTRIES
WORLD CONFERENCE
SECONDARY SCHOOL
UNEMPLOYED
MIGRATION
ECONOMIC CHANGES
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITIES
TEMPORARY PROTECTION
FORMAL LABOR MARKET
EMPLOYMENT COMPOSITION
SOCIAL SECURITY
CULTURAL CHANGE
SCHOOL COMPLETION
LABOR
PRIMARY SCHOOL
MIGRANTS
WAGE INCREASE
MORTALITY
REGULAR WORKERS
RESPECT
PROGRESS
WAGE GAINS
UNEMPLOYMENT
REGULAR” EMPLOYMENT
AVERAGE WAGES
HUMAN CAPITAL
FOOD SECURITY
WORKERS
LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS
LOCAL LABOR MARKETS
PRESENT EVIDENCE
VALUES
SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS
EDUCATION REFORM
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
AVERAGE WAGE
AGE GROUPS
FLOWS OF PEOPLE
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
REFUGEE
LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES
JOB CREATION
SCHOOL CHILDREN
REFUGEES
EARNING
POPULATIONS
LABOR MARKET INDICATORS
JOB OFFERS
REGULAR EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT EFFECT
HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES
POLICY
MANAGEMENT
REFUGEE CAMPS
PUBLIC SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT IMPACT
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
POPULATION MOVEMENTS
UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES
LABOUR FORCE
EDUCATION
WARS
SUBSTITUTION EFFECT
WAR
HOST COUNTRY
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY
HUMAN RESOURCES
DISPLACEMENT EFFECTS
EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP
IMMIGRATION
INTERNAL MIGRATION
EMPLOYEE
ECONOMIC TRENDS
YOUNG PEOPLE
POPULATION
LABOR SUPPLY
WAGE EFFECTS
INFORMAL EMPLOYMENT
LOCAL LABOR MARKET
POLICY RESEARCH
CIVIL WAR
PRIMARY EDUCATION
WOMEN
LABOUR
LABOR MARKETS
HEALTH CONSEQUENCES
SCHOOL
REFUGEE POPULATION
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
EMPLOYEES
spellingShingle WAGE IMPACT
JOBS
EMPLOYMENT
IMMIGRANT
EMPLOYMENT RATE
BASIC SERVICES
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS
WORKING-AGE POPULATION
PRELIMINARY EVIDENCE
SKILLED WORKERS
RETIREMENT
PREVIOUS SECTION
SCHOOLING
PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
INFLUX OF REFUGEES
EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS
ATTENDANCE RATES
EDUCATION REFORMS
LABOR FORCE
NUMBER OF REFUGEES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
HIGH SCHOOL
HEALTH CARE
IMMIGRANTS
WAGE LOSSES
HIGHER EDUCATION
JOB
FEMALE EMPLOYMENT
AGE CATEGORIES
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
DISPLACEMENT EFFECT
EMPLOYMENT RATES
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET IMPACT
NATIONAL LEVEL
NUMBER OF PEOPLE
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
KNOWLEDGE
NATIVE WORKERS
LABOR MARKET
RIGHT TO WORK
FORCED MIGRATION
REGULAR JOBS
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
DISPLACEMENT
WORKER
HOST COUNTRIES
WORLD CONFERENCE
SECONDARY SCHOOL
UNEMPLOYED
MIGRATION
ECONOMIC CHANGES
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITIES
TEMPORARY PROTECTION
FORMAL LABOR MARKET
EMPLOYMENT COMPOSITION
SOCIAL SECURITY
CULTURAL CHANGE
SCHOOL COMPLETION
LABOR
PRIMARY SCHOOL
MIGRANTS
WAGE INCREASE
MORTALITY
REGULAR WORKERS
RESPECT
PROGRESS
WAGE GAINS
UNEMPLOYMENT
REGULAR” EMPLOYMENT
AVERAGE WAGES
HUMAN CAPITAL
FOOD SECURITY
WORKERS
LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS
LOCAL LABOR MARKETS
PRESENT EVIDENCE
VALUES
SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS
EDUCATION REFORM
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
AVERAGE WAGE
AGE GROUPS
FLOWS OF PEOPLE
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
REFUGEE
LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES
JOB CREATION
SCHOOL CHILDREN
REFUGEES
EARNING
POPULATIONS
LABOR MARKET INDICATORS
JOB OFFERS
REGULAR EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT EFFECT
HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES
POLICY
MANAGEMENT
REFUGEE CAMPS
PUBLIC SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT IMPACT
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
POPULATION MOVEMENTS
UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES
LABOUR FORCE
EDUCATION
WARS
SUBSTITUTION EFFECT
WAR
HOST COUNTRY
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY
HUMAN RESOURCES
DISPLACEMENT EFFECTS
EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP
IMMIGRATION
INTERNAL MIGRATION
EMPLOYEE
ECONOMIC TRENDS
YOUNG PEOPLE
POPULATION
LABOR SUPPLY
WAGE EFFECTS
INFORMAL EMPLOYMENT
LOCAL LABOR MARKET
POLICY RESEARCH
CIVIL WAR
PRIMARY EDUCATION
WOMEN
LABOUR
LABOR MARKETS
HEALTH CONSEQUENCES
SCHOOL
REFUGEE POPULATION
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
EMPLOYEES
Del Carpio, Ximena V.
Wagner, Mathis
The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Middle East and North Africa
Syrian Arab Republic
Turkey
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7402
description Civil war in Syria has resulted in more than four million refugees fleeing the country, of which 1.8 million have found refuge in Turkey, making it the largest refugee-hosting country worldwide. This paper combines newly available data on the 2014 distribution of Syrian refugees across subregions of Turkey with the Turkish Labour Force Survey, to assess the impact on Turkish labor market conditions. Using a novel instrument, the analysis finds that the refugees, who overwhelmingly do not have work permits, result in the large-scale displacement of informal, low-educated, female Turkish workers, especially in agriculture. While there is net displacement, the inflow of refugees also creates higher-wage formal jobs, allowing for occupational upgrading of Turkish workers. Average Turkish wages have increased primarily as the composition of the employed has changed because of the inflow of refugees.
format Working Paper
author Del Carpio, Ximena V.
Wagner, Mathis
author_facet Del Carpio, Ximena V.
Wagner, Mathis
author_sort Del Carpio, Ximena V.
title The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market
title_short The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market
title_full The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market
title_fullStr The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Syrians Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market
title_sort impact of syrians refugees on the turkish labor market
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/08/24946337/impact-syrians-refugees-turkish-labor-market
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22659
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