Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So)

An orderly sovereign debt restructuring should place the debtor nation's public debt on a sustainable trajectory while minimizing procrastination and contagion. However, the experiences with the debt crisis of the 1980s, Russia 1998, Argentina 2001, and Greece 2010 indicate that orderly debt re...

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Main Authors: Canuto, Otaviano, Pinto, Brian, Prasad, Mona
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22566
id okr-10986-22566
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-225662021-04-23T14:04:09Z Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So) Canuto, Otaviano Pinto, Brian Prasad, Mona bailout bond central bank debt crisis debtor emerging market emerging market countries emerging market international bank liquidity moral hazard political economy private creditor public debt solvency sovereign debt sovereign debt restructuring An orderly sovereign debt restructuring should place the debtor nation's public debt on a sustainable trajectory while minimizing procrastination and contagion. However, the experiences with the debt crisis of the 1980s, Russia 1998, Argentina 2001, and Greece 2010 indicate that orderly debt restructurings remain elusive, even with high-powered official intervention. When solvency problems are present, the chances of success increase if official money is lent at the risk-free rate, reflecting its low risk, and if private creditors receive an upfront haircut. The paper examines the obstacles, which include moral hazard, difficulty in distinguishing between solvency and liquidity crises, and the “political economy” resistance to upfront haircuts. Orderly sovereign debt restructurings are likely to remain elusive notwithstanding recent evidence that the official mindset may be changing. 2015-08-28T20:44:34Z 2015-08-28T20:44:34Z 2014-01-24 Journal Article World Bank Research Observer 1564-6971 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22566 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ World Bank Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article Latin America Argentina Greece Russian Federation
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic bailout
bond
central bank
debt crisis
debtor
emerging market
emerging market countries
emerging market
international bank
liquidity
moral hazard
political economy
private creditor
public debt
solvency
sovereign debt
sovereign debt restructuring
spellingShingle bailout
bond
central bank
debt crisis
debtor
emerging market
emerging market countries
emerging market
international bank
liquidity
moral hazard
political economy
private creditor
public debt
solvency
sovereign debt
sovereign debt restructuring
Canuto, Otaviano
Pinto, Brian
Prasad, Mona
Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So)
geographic_facet Latin America
Argentina
Greece
Russian Federation
description An orderly sovereign debt restructuring should place the debtor nation's public debt on a sustainable trajectory while minimizing procrastination and contagion. However, the experiences with the debt crisis of the 1980s, Russia 1998, Argentina 2001, and Greece 2010 indicate that orderly debt restructurings remain elusive, even with high-powered official intervention. When solvency problems are present, the chances of success increase if official money is lent at the risk-free rate, reflecting its low risk, and if private creditors receive an upfront haircut. The paper examines the obstacles, which include moral hazard, difficulty in distinguishing between solvency and liquidity crises, and the “political economy” resistance to upfront haircuts. Orderly sovereign debt restructurings are likely to remain elusive notwithstanding recent evidence that the official mindset may be changing.
format Journal Article
author Canuto, Otaviano
Pinto, Brian
Prasad, Mona
author_facet Canuto, Otaviano
Pinto, Brian
Prasad, Mona
author_sort Canuto, Otaviano
title Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So)
title_short Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So)
title_full Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So)
title_fullStr Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So)
title_full_unstemmed Orderly Sovereign Debt Restructuring : Missing in Action! (And Likely To Remain So)
title_sort orderly sovereign debt restructuring : missing in action! (and likely to remain so)
publisher Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22566
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