Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program

This paper examines China’s rural minimum living standard guarantee (dibao) program, one of the largest minimum income cash transfer schemes in the world. Using household survey data matched with published administrative data, the paper describes t...

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Main Authors: Golan, Jennifer, Sicular, Terry, Umapathi, Nithin
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24808135/unconditional-cash-transfers-china-analysis-rural-minimum-living-standard-guarantee-program
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22458
id okr-10986-22458
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic POVERTY THRESHOLD
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
TRANSFER AMOUNTS
POOR‐ PEOPLE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAM
POVERTY REDUCTION
VILLAGE LEADERS
POVERTY LINE
IMPACT ON POVERTY
PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION
FEEDBACK
POVERTY LEVELS
NET INCOME
INCOME
SCHOOLING
POVERTY RATES
PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION
HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION
RURAL POOR
HOUSEHOLD‐SIZE
COUNTERFACTUAL
PROGRAMS
HOUSING
DEATH
RURAL INCOMES
FAMILY MEMBERS
IMPACTS
EGALITARIAN DISTRIBUTION
POOR PEOPLE
POVERTY GAP INDEX
POORER GROUPS
POORER HOUSEHOLDS
POVERTY‐REDUCING
INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINES
POOR AREA
CORRUPTION
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
REGIONAL POPULATIONS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POOR
POVERTY GAP INDEX
BENEFICIARIES
MEASURES
POVERTY MEASURES
INSTRUMENTS
RURAL CONSUMER
REGION
POVERTY REDUCTION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
POORER AREAS
POVERTY OUTCOMES
SAVINGS
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
PER CAPITA INCOME
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
NATURAL DISASTER
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
RURAL CONSUMER
POVERTY GAP
VILLAGE CHARACTERISTICS
SOCIAL PROTECTION
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
PARTICIPATION RATES
POVERTY INCIDENCE
TRANSFERS
POOR AREAS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
DESTITUTE HOUSEHOLDS
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
LEARNING
INDICATORS
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL PROTECTION
RESEARCH
CASH TRANSFERS
IMPACT ON POVERTY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS
POOR AREA
POVERTY LINES
CONSUMPTION
RURAL POVERTY
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
POLICY CHANGES
POVERTY IMPACTS
POVERTY RATES
ANTIPOVERTY PROGRAM
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAM
PARTICIPATION
VILLAGE‐LEVEL
POVERTY‐REDUCTION
POOR‐AREAS
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
POVERTY LINE
CASH TRANSFERS
POVERTY IMPACT
FLEXIBILITY
RURAL POVERTY ALLEVIATION
RURAL POVERTY
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
ABSOLUTE POVERTY
TRANSFER AMOUNTS
RURAL ECONOMY
RURAL
MEANS TESTING
MEANS TESTING
SAMPLE SIZE
RURAL EMPLOYMENT
POOR BENEFICIARIES
POVERTY LINES
RURAL EMPLOYMENT
TRANSFER PROGRAMS
POOR AREAS
SURVEYS
POVERTY OUTCOMES
POOR COUNTIES
VILLAGE LEADERS
POOR COUNTIES
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS
TARGETING
RURAL AREAS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
REGIONS
VILLAGE LEVEL
STATISTICS
EVALUATION
POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
SAMPLING
RURAL AREAS
POVERTY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
BENEFICIARY HOUSEHOLDS
POVERTY GAP
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS
POVERTY MEASURES
POVERTY RATE
POOR
ABSOLUTE POVERTY
HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION
AUTONOMOUS REGIONS
POVERTY IMPACT
OUTCOMES
RURAL POPULATION
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY LEVELS
POLICY CHANGES
WAGE EMPLOYMENT
PARTICIPATION RATES
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
AUDITING
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
INEQUALITY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
spellingShingle POVERTY THRESHOLD
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
TRANSFER AMOUNTS
POOR‐ PEOPLE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAM
POVERTY REDUCTION
VILLAGE LEADERS
POVERTY LINE
IMPACT ON POVERTY
PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION
FEEDBACK
POVERTY LEVELS
NET INCOME
INCOME
SCHOOLING
POVERTY RATES
PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION
HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION
RURAL POOR
HOUSEHOLD‐SIZE
COUNTERFACTUAL
PROGRAMS
HOUSING
DEATH
RURAL INCOMES
FAMILY MEMBERS
IMPACTS
EGALITARIAN DISTRIBUTION
POOR PEOPLE
POVERTY GAP INDEX
POORER GROUPS
POORER HOUSEHOLDS
POVERTY‐REDUCING
INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINES
POOR AREA
CORRUPTION
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
REGIONAL POPULATIONS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POOR
POVERTY GAP INDEX
BENEFICIARIES
MEASURES
POVERTY MEASURES
INSTRUMENTS
RURAL CONSUMER
REGION
POVERTY REDUCTION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
POORER AREAS
POVERTY OUTCOMES
SAVINGS
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
PER CAPITA INCOME
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
NATURAL DISASTER
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
RURAL CONSUMER
POVERTY GAP
VILLAGE CHARACTERISTICS
SOCIAL PROTECTION
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
PARTICIPATION RATES
POVERTY INCIDENCE
TRANSFERS
POOR AREAS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
DESTITUTE HOUSEHOLDS
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
LEARNING
INDICATORS
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL PROTECTION
RESEARCH
CASH TRANSFERS
IMPACT ON POVERTY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS
POOR AREA
POVERTY LINES
CONSUMPTION
RURAL POVERTY
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
POLICY CHANGES
POVERTY IMPACTS
POVERTY RATES
ANTIPOVERTY PROGRAM
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAM
PARTICIPATION
VILLAGE‐LEVEL
POVERTY‐REDUCTION
POOR‐AREAS
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
POVERTY LINE
CASH TRANSFERS
POVERTY IMPACT
FLEXIBILITY
RURAL POVERTY ALLEVIATION
RURAL POVERTY
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
ABSOLUTE POVERTY
TRANSFER AMOUNTS
RURAL ECONOMY
RURAL
MEANS TESTING
MEANS TESTING
SAMPLE SIZE
RURAL EMPLOYMENT
POOR BENEFICIARIES
POVERTY LINES
RURAL EMPLOYMENT
TRANSFER PROGRAMS
POOR AREAS
SURVEYS
POVERTY OUTCOMES
POOR COUNTIES
VILLAGE LEADERS
POOR COUNTIES
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS
TARGETING
RURAL AREAS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
REGIONS
VILLAGE LEVEL
STATISTICS
EVALUATION
POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
SAMPLING
RURAL AREAS
POVERTY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
BENEFICIARY HOUSEHOLDS
POVERTY GAP
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS
POVERTY MEASURES
POVERTY RATE
POOR
ABSOLUTE POVERTY
HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION
AUTONOMOUS REGIONS
POVERTY IMPACT
OUTCOMES
RURAL POPULATION
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY LEVELS
POLICY CHANGES
WAGE EMPLOYMENT
PARTICIPATION RATES
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
AUDITING
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
INEQUALITY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
Golan, Jennifer
Sicular, Terry
Umapathi, Nithin
Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7374
description This paper examines China’s rural minimum living standard guarantee (dibao) program, one of the largest minimum income cash transfer schemes in the world. Using household survey data matched with published administrative data, the paper describes the dibao program, estimates the program’s impact on poverty, and carries out targeting analysis. The analysis finds that the program provides sufficient income to poor beneficiaries but does not substantially reduce the overall level of poverty, in part because the number of beneficiaries is small relative to the number of poor. Conventional targeting analysis reveals rather large inclusionary and exclusionary targeting errors; propensity score targeting analysis yields smaller but still large targeting errors. Simulations of possible reforms to the dibao program indicate that expanding coverage can potentially yield greater poverty reduction than increasing transfer amounts. In addition, replacing locally diverse dibao lines with a nationally uniform dibao threshold could in theory reduce poverty. The potential gains in poverty reduction, however, depend on the effectiveness of targeting.
format Working Paper
author Golan, Jennifer
Sicular, Terry
Umapathi, Nithin
author_facet Golan, Jennifer
Sicular, Terry
Umapathi, Nithin
author_sort Golan, Jennifer
title Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
title_short Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
title_full Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
title_fullStr Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
title_full_unstemmed Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
title_sort unconditional cash transfers in china : an analysis of the rural minimum living standard guarantee program
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24808135/unconditional-cash-transfers-china-analysis-rural-minimum-living-standard-guarantee-program
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22458
_version_ 1764451131606433792
spelling okr-10986-224582021-04-23T14:04:08Z Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program Golan, Jennifer Sicular, Terry Umapathi, Nithin POVERTY THRESHOLD HOUSEHOLD INCOMES TRANSFER AMOUNTS POOR‐ PEOPLE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SIZE CASH TRANSFER PROGRAM POVERTY REDUCTION VILLAGE LEADERS POVERTY LINE IMPACT ON POVERTY PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION FEEDBACK POVERTY LEVELS NET INCOME INCOME SCHOOLING POVERTY RATES PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION RURAL POOR HOUSEHOLD‐SIZE COUNTERFACTUAL PROGRAMS HOUSING DEATH RURAL INCOMES FAMILY MEMBERS IMPACTS EGALITARIAN DISTRIBUTION POOR PEOPLE POVERTY GAP INDEX POORER GROUPS POORER HOUSEHOLDS POVERTY‐REDUCING INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINES POOR AREA CORRUPTION SOCIAL PROGRAMS REGIONAL POPULATIONS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE RURAL POPULATION RURAL POOR POVERTY GAP INDEX BENEFICIARIES MEASURES POVERTY MEASURES INSTRUMENTS RURAL CONSUMER REGION POVERTY REDUCTION HOUSEHOLD INCOME POORER AREAS POVERTY OUTCOMES SAVINGS DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS RURAL HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME RURAL HOUSEHOLDS NATURAL DISASTER SOCIAL PROGRAMS INCOME DISTRIBUTION HOUSEHOLD HEAD RURAL CONSUMER POVERTY GAP VILLAGE CHARACTERISTICS SOCIAL PROTECTION DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS PARTICIPATION RATES POVERTY INCIDENCE TRANSFERS POOR AREAS HOUSEHOLD INCOME DESTITUTE HOUSEHOLDS ESTIMATES OF POVERTY LEARNING INDICATORS SOCIAL SECURITY SOCIAL PROTECTION RESEARCH CASH TRANSFERS IMPACT ON POVERTY POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS POOR AREA POVERTY LINES CONSUMPTION RURAL POVERTY ESTIMATES OF POVERTY POLICY CHANGES POVERTY IMPACTS POVERTY RATES ANTIPOVERTY PROGRAM CASH TRANSFER PROGRAM PARTICIPATION VILLAGE‐LEVEL POVERTY‐REDUCTION POOR‐AREAS HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME POVERTY LINE CASH TRANSFERS POVERTY IMPACT FLEXIBILITY RURAL POVERTY ALLEVIATION RURAL POVERTY INCOME DISTRIBUTION HOUSEHOLD SIZE ABSOLUTE POVERTY TRANSFER AMOUNTS RURAL ECONOMY RURAL MEANS TESTING MEANS TESTING SAMPLE SIZE RURAL EMPLOYMENT POOR BENEFICIARIES POVERTY LINES RURAL EMPLOYMENT TRANSFER PROGRAMS POOR AREAS SURVEYS POVERTY OUTCOMES POOR COUNTIES VILLAGE LEADERS POOR COUNTIES CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS TARGETING RURAL AREAS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE REGIONS VILLAGE LEVEL STATISTICS EVALUATION POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS RURAL HOUSEHOLD POOR HOUSEHOLDS SAMPLING RURAL AREAS POVERTY POVERTY ALLEVIATION BENEFICIARY HOUSEHOLDS POVERTY GAP CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POOR ABSOLUTE POVERTY HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION AUTONOMOUS REGIONS POVERTY IMPACT OUTCOMES RURAL POPULATION POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY LEVELS POLICY CHANGES WAGE EMPLOYMENT PARTICIPATION RATES POVERTY ALLEVIATION AUDITING HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INEQUALITY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY POOR HOUSEHOLDS This paper examines China’s rural minimum living standard guarantee (dibao) program, one of the largest minimum income cash transfer schemes in the world. Using household survey data matched with published administrative data, the paper describes the dibao program, estimates the program’s impact on poverty, and carries out targeting analysis. The analysis finds that the program provides sufficient income to poor beneficiaries but does not substantially reduce the overall level of poverty, in part because the number of beneficiaries is small relative to the number of poor. Conventional targeting analysis reveals rather large inclusionary and exclusionary targeting errors; propensity score targeting analysis yields smaller but still large targeting errors. Simulations of possible reforms to the dibao program indicate that expanding coverage can potentially yield greater poverty reduction than increasing transfer amounts. In addition, replacing locally diverse dibao lines with a nationally uniform dibao threshold could in theory reduce poverty. The potential gains in poverty reduction, however, depend on the effectiveness of targeting. 2015-08-17T19:38:02Z 2015-08-17T19:38:02Z 2015-07 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24808135/unconditional-cash-transfers-china-analysis-rural-minimum-living-standard-guarantee-program http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22458 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7374 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific China