Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment

This study aims to achieve a better understanding of the agricultural risk and risk management situation in Tanzania with a view to identifying key solutions to reduce current gross domestic product (GDP) growth volatility. For the purpose of this...

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Main Authors: Arce, Carlos E., Caballero, Jorge
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24739595/tanzania-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22277
id okr-10986-22277
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
POLITICAL REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
POVERTY LINE
SUBSISTENCE
FARMER GROUPS
LACK OF EDUCATION
ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGY
COTTON PRODUCTION
FARMER
ILLITERACY
RURAL INHABITANTS
MILK
FOOD CONSUMPTION
SCHOOLING
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
RURAL GROUPS
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION
REGIONAL LEVEL
ADMINISTRATIVE REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
HOUSING
FOOD POLICY
RURAL LIVELIHOODS
CHEMICAL FERTILIZERS
NATIONAL POVERTY
PROTEIN CONTENT
CAPACITY BUILDING
STORAGE FACILITIES
FOOD SECURITY PROBLEMS
LAND TENURE
RURAL POPULATION
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
LIFE EXPECTANCY
SAFETY NETS
REGION
FARM TECHNOLOGIES
MATERNAL MORTALITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
SMALL FARMERS
AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES
RURAL PEOPLE
YIELD DATA
RURAL POPULATIONS
CROP PRODUCTION
ARABLE LAND
FOOD CROP PRODUCTION
SEED SUPPLY
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
CASH CROPS
REGIONAL RISK
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
POVERTY GAP
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY
INCOME GROWTH
REGIONAL TRADE
FOOD PRICE
FARM RESEARCH
ACCESS TO INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
SPATIAL PATTERNS
PARTICIPATORY POVERTY ASSESSMENT
NATURAL DISASTERS
REGIONAL MARKET
POOR RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
VEGETABLES
LAND DEGRADATION
REGIONAL BODY
CASH INCOME
SOCIAL PROTECTION
LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS
REGIONAL LEVELS
FARMERS
REGIONAL VARIABILITY
VULNERABLE AREAS
DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY
FOOD CROP PRODUCERS
FOOD AID
FOOD PRODUCTION
ECOLOGICAL REGIONS
PEOPLE WITH DISABILITIES
POOR PRODUCERS
RURAL POVERTY LINE
CROP YIELDS
CONSUMPTION
FARMER ASSOCIATIONS
HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY
FOOD SECURITY
LIVESTOCK SECTOR
PLANTING MATERIAL
ACCESS TO ASSETS
CLIMATE CHANGE
COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE
HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
CASH EARNINGS
REGIONAL BASIS
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
FARM PRODUCTION
VULNERABLE GROUPS
REGIONAL WORKSHOP
LIVESTOCK SALES
FAMILY INCOME
SAFETY NET
RURAL POVERTY
SEMI-ARID REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
DRY SEASON
SMALLHOLDER FARMERS
MALNUTRITION
AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT
NUTRITION
ACCESS TO FOOD
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
AGRICULTURAL INPUTS
FOOD IMPORTS
FOOD INSECURITY
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX
MATERNAL HEALTH
DOMESTIC PRICES
LAND PRODUCTIVITY
SUBSISTENCE FARMERS
FOOD CROP
COASTAL REGIONS
REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL SEASON
POLITICAL REGION
IRRIGATION
MAJORITY OF FARMERS
FOOD CROPS
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGIES
SMALLHOLDER FARMING
SMALL-SCALE FARMER
ARID REGIONS
RURAL AREAS
POVERTY
REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION
DROUGHT RISK
AGRICULTURAL INCOMES
FOOD SUPPLY
MEAT
FOOD AVAILABILITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
CONSUMER PRICES
CHILD LABOR
RURAL DISTRICTS
RURAL ROAD
REGIONAL INSTITUTIONS
REGIONAL FORESTRY
REDUCTION OF POVERTY
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
FARMING SYSTEMS
FOOD PRICES
CONSUMPTION BASKET
LAND MANAGEMENT
FARM-GATE
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
POOR RURAL PEOPLE
CENTRAL REGIONS
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
REGIONAL COUNCILS
spellingShingle HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
POLITICAL REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
POVERTY LINE
SUBSISTENCE
FARMER GROUPS
LACK OF EDUCATION
ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGY
COTTON PRODUCTION
FARMER
ILLITERACY
RURAL INHABITANTS
MILK
FOOD CONSUMPTION
SCHOOLING
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
RURAL GROUPS
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION
REGIONAL LEVEL
ADMINISTRATIVE REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
HOUSING
FOOD POLICY
RURAL LIVELIHOODS
CHEMICAL FERTILIZERS
NATIONAL POVERTY
PROTEIN CONTENT
CAPACITY BUILDING
STORAGE FACILITIES
FOOD SECURITY PROBLEMS
LAND TENURE
RURAL POPULATION
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
LIFE EXPECTANCY
SAFETY NETS
REGION
FARM TECHNOLOGIES
MATERNAL MORTALITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
SMALL FARMERS
AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES
RURAL PEOPLE
YIELD DATA
RURAL POPULATIONS
CROP PRODUCTION
ARABLE LAND
FOOD CROP PRODUCTION
SEED SUPPLY
RURAL HOUSEHOLD
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
CASH CROPS
REGIONAL RISK
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
POVERTY GAP
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY
INCOME GROWTH
REGIONAL TRADE
FOOD PRICE
FARM RESEARCH
ACCESS TO INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
SPATIAL PATTERNS
PARTICIPATORY POVERTY ASSESSMENT
NATURAL DISASTERS
REGIONAL MARKET
POOR RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
VEGETABLES
LAND DEGRADATION
REGIONAL BODY
CASH INCOME
SOCIAL PROTECTION
LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS
REGIONAL LEVELS
FARMERS
REGIONAL VARIABILITY
VULNERABLE AREAS
DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY
FOOD CROP PRODUCERS
FOOD AID
FOOD PRODUCTION
ECOLOGICAL REGIONS
PEOPLE WITH DISABILITIES
POOR PRODUCERS
RURAL POVERTY LINE
CROP YIELDS
CONSUMPTION
FARMER ASSOCIATIONS
HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY
FOOD SECURITY
LIVESTOCK SECTOR
PLANTING MATERIAL
ACCESS TO ASSETS
CLIMATE CHANGE
COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE
HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
CASH EARNINGS
REGIONAL BASIS
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
FARM PRODUCTION
VULNERABLE GROUPS
REGIONAL WORKSHOP
LIVESTOCK SALES
FAMILY INCOME
SAFETY NET
RURAL POVERTY
SEMI-ARID REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
DRY SEASON
SMALLHOLDER FARMERS
MALNUTRITION
AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT
NUTRITION
ACCESS TO FOOD
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
AGRICULTURAL INPUTS
FOOD IMPORTS
FOOD INSECURITY
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX
MATERNAL HEALTH
DOMESTIC PRICES
LAND PRODUCTIVITY
SUBSISTENCE FARMERS
FOOD CROP
COASTAL REGIONS
REGIONS
AGRICULTURAL SEASON
POLITICAL REGION
IRRIGATION
MAJORITY OF FARMERS
FOOD CROPS
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGIES
SMALLHOLDER FARMING
SMALL-SCALE FARMER
ARID REGIONS
RURAL AREAS
POVERTY
REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION
DROUGHT RISK
AGRICULTURAL INCOMES
FOOD SUPPLY
MEAT
FOOD AVAILABILITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
CONSUMER PRICES
CHILD LABOR
RURAL DISTRICTS
RURAL ROAD
REGIONAL INSTITUTIONS
REGIONAL FORESTRY
REDUCTION OF POVERTY
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
FARMING SYSTEMS
FOOD PRICES
CONSUMPTION BASKET
LAND MANAGEMENT
FARM-GATE
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
POOR RURAL PEOPLE
CENTRAL REGIONS
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
REGIONAL COUNCILS
Arce, Carlos E.
Caballero, Jorge
Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
description This study aims to achieve a better understanding of the agricultural risk and risk management situation in Tanzania with a view to identifying key solutions to reduce current gross domestic product (GDP) growth volatility. For the purpose of this assessment, risk is defined as the probability that an uncertain event will occur that can potentially produce losses to participants along the supply chain. Persistence of unmanaged risks in agriculture is a cause of great economic losses for farmers and other actors along the supply chains (for example, traders, processors, and exporters), affecting export earnings and food security. The agricultural sector risk assessment is a straightforward methodology based on a three-phase sequential process. Phase analyzes the chronological occurrence of inter-seasonal agricultural risks with a view to identify and prioritize the risks that are the drivers of agricultural GDP volatility. This report contains the findings and recommendations of the first phase and includes the identification, analysis, and prioritization of major risks facing the agricultural sector in Tanzania, as well as recommendations regarding key solutions. Chapter one gives introduction and context. Chapter two contains an overview of the agricultural sector and its performance, as well as a discussion of key agro-climatic, weather, and policy restrictions and opportunities. Chapter three includes an assessment of major risks (that is, production, market, and enabling environment risks) facing key export and food crops. Chapter four presents an estimate of historical losses due to realized production risks and a correlation of such losses with production volatility. Chapter five provides insights into the exposure to risks by different stakeholders and their actual capacities, vulnerabilities, and potential to manage agricultural risks. Chapter six presents a risk prioritization by different supply chains and discusses the possible solutions, as well as specific recommendations for the agricultural sector development program (ASDP).
format Report
author Arce, Carlos E.
Caballero, Jorge
author_facet Arce, Carlos E.
Caballero, Jorge
author_sort Arce, Carlos E.
title Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_short Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_full Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_fullStr Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_sort tanzania : agricultural sector risk assessment
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24739595/tanzania-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22277
_version_ 1764450687526109184
spelling okr-10986-222772021-06-14T10:19:38Z Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment Arce, Carlos E. Caballero, Jorge HOUSEHOLD INCOMES POLITICAL REGIONS AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH AGRICULTURAL GROWTH POVERTY LINE SUBSISTENCE FARMER GROUPS LACK OF EDUCATION ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGY COTTON PRODUCTION FARMER ILLITERACY RURAL INHABITANTS MILK FOOD CONSUMPTION SCHOOLING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION RURAL GROUPS NATIONAL POVERTY LINE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION REGIONAL LEVEL ADMINISTRATIVE REGIONS AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT AGRICULTURAL SECTORS HOUSING FOOD POLICY RURAL LIVELIHOODS CHEMICAL FERTILIZERS NATIONAL POVERTY PROTEIN CONTENT CAPACITY BUILDING STORAGE FACILITIES FOOD SECURITY PROBLEMS LAND TENURE RURAL POPULATION AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT LIFE EXPECTANCY SAFETY NETS REGION FARM TECHNOLOGIES MATERNAL MORTALITY POVERTY REDUCTION SMALL FARMERS AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES RURAL PEOPLE YIELD DATA RURAL POPULATIONS CROP PRODUCTION ARABLE LAND FOOD CROP PRODUCTION SEED SUPPLY RURAL HOUSEHOLD RURAL HOUSEHOLDS CASH CROPS REGIONAL RISK HOUSEHOLD HEAD POVERTY GAP AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY INCOME GROWTH REGIONAL TRADE FOOD PRICE FARM RESEARCH ACCESS TO INTERNATIONAL MARKETS SPATIAL PATTERNS PARTICIPATORY POVERTY ASSESSMENT NATURAL DISASTERS REGIONAL MARKET POOR RURAL HOUSEHOLDS HOUSEHOLD INCOME VEGETABLES LAND DEGRADATION REGIONAL BODY CASH INCOME SOCIAL PROTECTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS REGIONAL LEVELS FARMERS REGIONAL VARIABILITY VULNERABLE AREAS DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY FOOD CROP PRODUCERS FOOD AID FOOD PRODUCTION ECOLOGICAL REGIONS PEOPLE WITH DISABILITIES POOR PRODUCERS RURAL POVERTY LINE CROP YIELDS CONSUMPTION FARMER ASSOCIATIONS HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY FOOD SECURITY LIVESTOCK SECTOR PLANTING MATERIAL ACCESS TO ASSETS CLIMATE CHANGE COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY CASH EARNINGS REGIONAL BASIS ECOLOGICAL ZONES FARM PRODUCTION VULNERABLE GROUPS REGIONAL WORKSHOP LIVESTOCK SALES FAMILY INCOME SAFETY NET RURAL POVERTY SEMI-ARID REGIONS AGRICULTURAL SECTOR DRY SEASON SMALLHOLDER FARMERS MALNUTRITION AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT NUTRITION ACCESS TO FOOD HOUSEHOLD BUDGET AGRICULTURAL INPUTS FOOD IMPORTS FOOD INSECURITY HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX MATERNAL HEALTH DOMESTIC PRICES LAND PRODUCTIVITY SUBSISTENCE FARMERS FOOD CROP COASTAL REGIONS REGIONS AGRICULTURAL SEASON POLITICAL REGION IRRIGATION MAJORITY OF FARMERS FOOD CROPS AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGIES SMALLHOLDER FARMING SMALL-SCALE FARMER ARID REGIONS RURAL AREAS POVERTY REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION DROUGHT RISK AGRICULTURAL INCOMES FOOD SUPPLY MEAT FOOD AVAILABILITY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY CONSUMER PRICES CHILD LABOR RURAL DISTRICTS RURAL ROAD REGIONAL INSTITUTIONS REGIONAL FORESTRY REDUCTION OF POVERTY POVERTY ASSESSMENT FARMING SYSTEMS FOOD PRICES CONSUMPTION BASKET LAND MANAGEMENT FARM-GATE POVERTY ALLEVIATION POOR RURAL PEOPLE CENTRAL REGIONS HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REGIONAL COUNCILS This study aims to achieve a better understanding of the agricultural risk and risk management situation in Tanzania with a view to identifying key solutions to reduce current gross domestic product (GDP) growth volatility. For the purpose of this assessment, risk is defined as the probability that an uncertain event will occur that can potentially produce losses to participants along the supply chain. Persistence of unmanaged risks in agriculture is a cause of great economic losses for farmers and other actors along the supply chains (for example, traders, processors, and exporters), affecting export earnings and food security. The agricultural sector risk assessment is a straightforward methodology based on a three-phase sequential process. Phase analyzes the chronological occurrence of inter-seasonal agricultural risks with a view to identify and prioritize the risks that are the drivers of agricultural GDP volatility. This report contains the findings and recommendations of the first phase and includes the identification, analysis, and prioritization of major risks facing the agricultural sector in Tanzania, as well as recommendations regarding key solutions. Chapter one gives introduction and context. Chapter two contains an overview of the agricultural sector and its performance, as well as a discussion of key agro-climatic, weather, and policy restrictions and opportunities. Chapter three includes an assessment of major risks (that is, production, market, and enabling environment risks) facing key export and food crops. Chapter four presents an estimate of historical losses due to realized production risks and a correlation of such losses with production volatility. Chapter five provides insights into the exposure to risks by different stakeholders and their actual capacities, vulnerabilities, and potential to manage agricultural risks. Chapter six presents a risk prioritization by different supply chains and discusses the possible solutions, as well as specific recommendations for the agricultural sector development program (ASDP). 2015-07-21T22:26:06Z 2015-07-21T22:26:06Z 2015-06 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24739595/tanzania-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22277 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Other Agricultural Study