Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
This study aims to achieve a better understanding of the agricultural risk and risk management situation in Tanzania with a view to identifying key solutions to reduce current gross domestic product (GDP) growth volatility. For the purpose of this...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Report |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2015
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24739595/tanzania-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22277 |
Summary: | This study aims to achieve a better
understanding of the agricultural risk and risk management
situation in Tanzania with a view to identifying key
solutions to reduce current gross domestic product (GDP)
growth volatility. For the purpose of this assessment, risk
is defined as the probability that an uncertain event will
occur that can potentially produce losses to participants
along the supply chain. Persistence of unmanaged risks in
agriculture is a cause of great economic losses for farmers
and other actors along the supply chains (for example,
traders, processors, and exporters), affecting export
earnings and food security. The agricultural sector risk
assessment is a straightforward methodology based on a
three-phase sequential process. Phase analyzes the
chronological occurrence of inter-seasonal agricultural
risks with a view to identify and prioritize the risks that
are the drivers of agricultural GDP volatility. This report
contains the findings and recommendations of the first phase
and includes the identification, analysis, and
prioritization of major risks facing the agricultural sector
in Tanzania, as well as recommendations regarding key
solutions. Chapter one gives introduction and context.
Chapter two contains an overview of the agricultural sector
and its performance, as well as a discussion of key
agro-climatic, weather, and policy restrictions and
opportunities. Chapter three includes an assessment of major
risks (that is, production, market, and enabling environment
risks) facing key export and food crops. Chapter four
presents an estimate of historical losses due to realized
production risks and a correlation of such losses with
production volatility. Chapter five provides insights into
the exposure to risks by different stakeholders and their
actual capacities, vulnerabilities, and potential to manage
agricultural risks. Chapter six presents a risk
prioritization by different supply chains and discusses the
possible solutions, as well as specific recommendations for
the agricultural sector development program (ASDP). |
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