The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach

Tunisian social development policy making has always counted on energy subsidies to play a pivotal role. Due to the increasingly unsustainable budget implications, a new strategy has begun to reform the subsidy system in the energy sector while str...

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Main Authors: Cuesta, José, El-Lahga, Abdel Rahmen, Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
GAS
TAX
OIL
GDP
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24649387/socioeconomic-impacts-energy-reform-tunisia-simulation-approach
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22186
id okr-10986-22186
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-221862021-04-23T14:04:07Z The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach Cuesta, José El-Lahga, Abdel Rahmen Lara Ibarra, Gabriel LPG SUBSIDIES GROWTH RATES RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH PRICE DISTORTIONS PRICE INCREASES RESIDENTIAL CONSUMERS PRICE OF ELECTRICITY ELECTRICITY TARIFF INCOME MARGINAL COST OIL COMPANY ENERGY EXPENDITURE EXCHANGE ENERGY SOURCE EXCLUSION POLITICAL ECONOMY GASOLINE ENERGY PRODUCTS WELFARE TARIFF STRUCTURES DISTRIBUTION ENERGY SUBSIDIES DOMESTIC PRICE GAS SUBSIDY PRICE TAX VOLTAGE INCOME TAX WEALTH INFORMATION SYSTEMS SUBSIDY REDUCTION ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION GASOLINE SUBSIDIES TRENDS SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS DRIVERS DISTRIBUTION OF ENERGY OIL PRICES PETROLEUM SAVINGS COSTS OIL TRANSPORT ENERGY SOURCES POPULATION GROWTH RESIDENTIAL ENERGY TAX EXEMPTIONS EFFICIENT MARKET FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCOME TAX DEDUCTIONS TRUE PUBLIC FINANCE BUDGET DEFICITS SOCIAL PROTECTION PRICE SUBSIDIES SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT SULFUR SUBSIDIES MARKET PRICE TAXES SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGY PUBLIC SUBSIDIES EQUITY ENERGY CONSUMPTION CONSUMPTION TRANSPORTATION GOVERNMENT BUDGET WAGES POLICIES TRANSPARENCY BALANCE SOURCE OF ENERGY LPG SUBSIDY FUTURE MARKET PRICES COMPETITIVENESS POWER ELECTRICITY CEMENT MARKET—PRICES MARGINAL COSTS INEFFICIENCY HIDDEN SUBSIDIES PRICE CHANGES CONSUMERS AGRICULTURE PETROLEUM GAS ELECTRICITY TARIFFS ENERGY SUBSIDY CONSUMER SUBSIDIES SHARES HOUSEHOLD BUDGETS CONSUMPTION OF ENERGY TRANSACTION COSTS ENERGY PRICES OUTPUT GOVERNANCE INSURANCE ELECTRICITY PRICES FOOD SUBSIDIES NATURAL GAS GDP DOMESTIC PRICES GOODS EXTREME POVERTY TARIFF STRUCTURE SHARE PUBLIC SUBSIDY TARIFF FUEL CRUDE OIL GINI COEFFICIENT TAX DEDUCTIONS INVESTMENTS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX DEDUCTIONS HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES COMMUNICATION RAPID GROWTH CONSUMPTION LEVELS SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGIES DIESEL KEROSENE OUTCOMES CONSUMPTION INCREASES PRICE OF GASOLINE ADVERSE EFFECTS APPROACH PRICES PRODUCTION COSTS BENEFITS ENERGY DEVELOPMENT POLICY Tunisian social development policy making has always counted on energy subsidies to play a pivotal role. Due to the increasingly unsustainable budget implications, a new strategy has begun to reform the subsidy system in the energy sector while striking a balance between improving fiscal and equity considerations without increasing social tensions. This paper presents an analysis of the fiscal and distributive consequences of the changes to the subsidy setup announced by the government at the end of 2014. The results show that raising electricity prices for consumers and removing subsidies for other energy sources would lead to a short-term increase in the poverty rate of 2.5 percentage points. In addition, compensation mechanisms that could be readily implemented (such as universal coverage or building on the existing health cards system) will not bring substantive counterweight to the increased poverty, even if all savings of reforms could be perfectly channeled as cash transfers. The analysis suggests that bold reforms of energy subsidies need to be accompanied by equally bold improvements to the targeting schemes of public spending if poverty and disparities are to be substantively reduced. 2015-07-16T21:49:16Z 2015-07-16T21:49:16Z 2015-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24649387/socioeconomic-impacts-energy-reform-tunisia-simulation-approach http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22186 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7312 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Middle East and North Africa Tunisia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic LPG SUBSIDIES
GROWTH RATES
RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH
PRICE DISTORTIONS
PRICE INCREASES
RESIDENTIAL CONSUMERS
PRICE OF ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY TARIFF
INCOME
MARGINAL COST
OIL COMPANY
ENERGY EXPENDITURE
EXCHANGE
ENERGY SOURCE
EXCLUSION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
GASOLINE
ENERGY PRODUCTS
WELFARE
TARIFF STRUCTURES
DISTRIBUTION
ENERGY SUBSIDIES
DOMESTIC PRICE
GAS
SUBSIDY
PRICE
TAX
VOLTAGE
INCOME TAX
WEALTH
INFORMATION SYSTEMS
SUBSIDY REDUCTION
ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION
GASOLINE SUBSIDIES
TRENDS
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS
DRIVERS
DISTRIBUTION OF ENERGY
OIL PRICES
PETROLEUM
SAVINGS
COSTS
OIL
TRANSPORT
ENERGY SOURCES
POPULATION GROWTH
RESIDENTIAL ENERGY
TAX EXEMPTIONS
EFFICIENT MARKET
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INCOME TAX DEDUCTIONS
TRUE
PUBLIC FINANCE
BUDGET DEFICITS
SOCIAL PROTECTION
PRICE SUBSIDIES
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
SULFUR
SUBSIDIES
MARKET PRICE
TAXES
SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGY
PUBLIC SUBSIDIES
EQUITY
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
CONSUMPTION
TRANSPORTATION
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
WAGES
POLICIES
TRANSPARENCY
BALANCE
SOURCE OF ENERGY
LPG SUBSIDY
FUTURE
MARKET PRICES
COMPETITIVENESS
POWER
ELECTRICITY
CEMENT
MARKET—PRICES
MARGINAL COSTS
INEFFICIENCY
HIDDEN SUBSIDIES
PRICE CHANGES
CONSUMERS
AGRICULTURE
PETROLEUM GAS
ELECTRICITY TARIFFS
ENERGY SUBSIDY
CONSUMER SUBSIDIES
SHARES
HOUSEHOLD BUDGETS
CONSUMPTION OF ENERGY
TRANSACTION COSTS
ENERGY PRICES
OUTPUT
GOVERNANCE
INSURANCE
ELECTRICITY PRICES
FOOD SUBSIDIES
NATURAL GAS
GDP
DOMESTIC PRICES
GOODS
EXTREME POVERTY
TARIFF STRUCTURE
SHARE
PUBLIC SUBSIDY
TARIFF
FUEL
CRUDE OIL
GINI COEFFICIENT
TAX DEDUCTIONS
INVESTMENTS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
DEDUCTIONS
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
COMMUNICATION
RAPID GROWTH
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGIES
DIESEL
KEROSENE
OUTCOMES
CONSUMPTION INCREASES
PRICE OF GASOLINE
ADVERSE EFFECTS
APPROACH
PRICES
PRODUCTION COSTS
BENEFITS
ENERGY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
spellingShingle LPG SUBSIDIES
GROWTH RATES
RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH
PRICE DISTORTIONS
PRICE INCREASES
RESIDENTIAL CONSUMERS
PRICE OF ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY TARIFF
INCOME
MARGINAL COST
OIL COMPANY
ENERGY EXPENDITURE
EXCHANGE
ENERGY SOURCE
EXCLUSION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
GASOLINE
ENERGY PRODUCTS
WELFARE
TARIFF STRUCTURES
DISTRIBUTION
ENERGY SUBSIDIES
DOMESTIC PRICE
GAS
SUBSIDY
PRICE
TAX
VOLTAGE
INCOME TAX
WEALTH
INFORMATION SYSTEMS
SUBSIDY REDUCTION
ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION
GASOLINE SUBSIDIES
TRENDS
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS
DRIVERS
DISTRIBUTION OF ENERGY
OIL PRICES
PETROLEUM
SAVINGS
COSTS
OIL
TRANSPORT
ENERGY SOURCES
POPULATION GROWTH
RESIDENTIAL ENERGY
TAX EXEMPTIONS
EFFICIENT MARKET
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INCOME TAX DEDUCTIONS
TRUE
PUBLIC FINANCE
BUDGET DEFICITS
SOCIAL PROTECTION
PRICE SUBSIDIES
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
SULFUR
SUBSIDIES
MARKET PRICE
TAXES
SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGY
PUBLIC SUBSIDIES
EQUITY
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
CONSUMPTION
TRANSPORTATION
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
WAGES
POLICIES
TRANSPARENCY
BALANCE
SOURCE OF ENERGY
LPG SUBSIDY
FUTURE
MARKET PRICES
COMPETITIVENESS
POWER
ELECTRICITY
CEMENT
MARKET—PRICES
MARGINAL COSTS
INEFFICIENCY
HIDDEN SUBSIDIES
PRICE CHANGES
CONSUMERS
AGRICULTURE
PETROLEUM GAS
ELECTRICITY TARIFFS
ENERGY SUBSIDY
CONSUMER SUBSIDIES
SHARES
HOUSEHOLD BUDGETS
CONSUMPTION OF ENERGY
TRANSACTION COSTS
ENERGY PRICES
OUTPUT
GOVERNANCE
INSURANCE
ELECTRICITY PRICES
FOOD SUBSIDIES
NATURAL GAS
GDP
DOMESTIC PRICES
GOODS
EXTREME POVERTY
TARIFF STRUCTURE
SHARE
PUBLIC SUBSIDY
TARIFF
FUEL
CRUDE OIL
GINI COEFFICIENT
TAX DEDUCTIONS
INVESTMENTS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
DEDUCTIONS
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
COMMUNICATION
RAPID GROWTH
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGIES
DIESEL
KEROSENE
OUTCOMES
CONSUMPTION INCREASES
PRICE OF GASOLINE
ADVERSE EFFECTS
APPROACH
PRICES
PRODUCTION COSTS
BENEFITS
ENERGY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
Cuesta, José
El-Lahga, Abdel Rahmen
Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Tunisia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7312
description Tunisian social development policy making has always counted on energy subsidies to play a pivotal role. Due to the increasingly unsustainable budget implications, a new strategy has begun to reform the subsidy system in the energy sector while striking a balance between improving fiscal and equity considerations without increasing social tensions. This paper presents an analysis of the fiscal and distributive consequences of the changes to the subsidy setup announced by the government at the end of 2014. The results show that raising electricity prices for consumers and removing subsidies for other energy sources would lead to a short-term increase in the poverty rate of 2.5 percentage points. In addition, compensation mechanisms that could be readily implemented (such as universal coverage or building on the existing health cards system) will not bring substantive counterweight to the increased poverty, even if all savings of reforms could be perfectly channeled as cash transfers. The analysis suggests that bold reforms of energy subsidies need to be accompanied by equally bold improvements to the targeting schemes of public spending if poverty and disparities are to be substantively reduced.
format Working Paper
author Cuesta, José
El-Lahga, Abdel Rahmen
Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
author_facet Cuesta, José
El-Lahga, Abdel Rahmen
Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
author_sort Cuesta, José
title The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach
title_short The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach
title_full The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach
title_fullStr The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach
title_full_unstemmed The Socioeconomic Impacts of Energy Reform in Tunisia : A Simulation Approach
title_sort socioeconomic impacts of energy reform in tunisia : a simulation approach
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24649387/socioeconomic-impacts-energy-reform-tunisia-simulation-approach
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22186
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