Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression

Africa is estimated to have great potential for agricultural production, but there are a number of constraints inhibiting the development of that potential. Spatial data are increasingly important in the realization of potential as well as the asso...

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Main Authors: Iimi, Atsushi, You, Liangzhi, Wood-Sichra, Ulrike, Humphrey, Richard Martin
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
TEA
FAO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24574272/agriculture-production-transport-infrastructure-east-africa-application-spatial-autoregression
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22154
id okr-10986-22154
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-221542021-04-23T14:04:07Z Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression Iimi, Atsushi You, Liangzhi Wood-Sichra, Ulrike Humphrey, Richard Martin WOOD AGRICULTURAL GROWTH FERTILIZER ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION PRODUCTION DOMESTIC FOOD CROP DISTRIBUTION CROPLAND AGRICULTURE SECTOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE INFORMATION ELASTICITY AGRICULTURAL LANDS CASSAVA FOOD POLICY IFPRI AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSPORT ACCESS INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE FERTILIZERS KNOWLEDGE MAIZE CLIMATIC CONDITIONS ROAD CROP PRODUCTION CEREALS COSTS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES PRODUCTION SYSTEM CASH CROPS ACCESSIBILITY INDICES ROAD NETWORK FOOD POLICY RESEARCH TRANSPORT POPULATION GROWTH COFFEE PRODUCTION SEEDS PRODUCTS SEED RESEARCH FARMING FARMERS RURAL ROADS COCOA TOBACCO CROPS INFRASTRUCTURE ACCESS TO INFORMATION LAND USE PRODUCE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT TRANSPORT NETWORK INITIATIVES NATIONAL PARKS TRANSPORTATION TEA CROP AGRIBUSINESS PLANTAINS ECOLOGICAL ZONES PRODUCTIVITY OF LAND CROP PRICES ELASTICITIES MAIZE YIELDS CLIMATE ACCESSIBILITY NATIONAL TRANSPORT POPULATION DENSITY CROPPING CROP SUITABILITY AGRICULTURAL SECTOR COFFEE AGRICULTURE HORTICULTURE CROP LAND AGRICULTURAL LAND FAO RICE PRODUCTION FERTILIZER APPLICATION FERTILIZER USE AGRICULTURAL AREAS AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS RAILWAY FOOD ECONOMICS ROAD USER EXPORT CROPS MANAGEMENT ROADS COTTON WALKING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS LAND FOOD CROP AGRICULTURAL LABOR PRODUCTION SYSTEMS FARM FOOD CROPS RAILROADS BANANAS FEED WHEAT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY INVESTMENTS RICE YIELDS WALKING DISTANCE SOIL FERTILITY CROPPING INTENSITY ROAD INVESTMENT PORT ACCESS ROAD CONDITIONS AGRICULTURAL TRANSPORT COSTS TECHNOLOGIES ROAD TRANSPORT COMMODITY FOOD STAPLES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUTS BOTTLENECKS Africa is estimated to have great potential for agricultural production, but there are a number of constraints inhibiting the development of that potential. Spatial data are increasingly important in the realization of potential as well as the associated constraints. With crop production data generated at 5-minute spatial resolution, the paper applies the spatial tobit regression model to estimate the possible impacts of improvements in transport accessibility in East Africa. It is found that rural accessibility and access to markets are important to increase agricultural production. In particular for export crops, such as coffee, tea, tobacco, and cotton, access to ports is crucial. The elasticities are estimated at 0.3–4.6. In addition, the estimation results show that spatial autocorrelation matters to the estimation results. While a random shock in a particular locality would likely affect its neighboring places, the spatial autoregressive term can be positive or negative, depending on how fragmented the current production areas are. 2015-07-14T21:01:53Z 2015-07-14T21:01:53Z 2015-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24574272/agriculture-production-transport-infrastructure-east-africa-application-spatial-autoregression http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22154 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa East Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic WOOD
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
FERTILIZER
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
PRODUCTION
DOMESTIC FOOD
CROP DISTRIBUTION
CROPLAND
AGRICULTURE SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
INFORMATION
ELASTICITY
AGRICULTURAL LANDS
CASSAVA
FOOD POLICY
IFPRI
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT ACCESS
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
FERTILIZERS
KNOWLEDGE
MAIZE
CLIMATIC CONDITIONS
ROAD
CROP PRODUCTION
CEREALS
COSTS
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
PRODUCTION SYSTEM
CASH CROPS
ACCESSIBILITY INDICES
ROAD NETWORK
FOOD POLICY RESEARCH
TRANSPORT
POPULATION GROWTH
COFFEE PRODUCTION
SEEDS
PRODUCTS
SEED
RESEARCH
FARMING
FARMERS
RURAL ROADS
COCOA
TOBACCO
CROPS
INFRASTRUCTURE
ACCESS TO INFORMATION
LAND USE
PRODUCE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
TRANSPORT NETWORK
INITIATIVES
NATIONAL PARKS
TRANSPORTATION
TEA
CROP
AGRIBUSINESS
PLANTAINS
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
PRODUCTIVITY OF LAND
CROP PRICES
ELASTICITIES
MAIZE YIELDS
CLIMATE
ACCESSIBILITY
NATIONAL TRANSPORT
POPULATION DENSITY
CROPPING
CROP SUITABILITY
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
COFFEE
AGRICULTURE
HORTICULTURE
CROP LAND
AGRICULTURAL LAND
FAO
RICE PRODUCTION
FERTILIZER APPLICATION
FERTILIZER USE
AGRICULTURAL AREAS
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
RAILWAY
FOOD
ECONOMICS
ROAD USER
EXPORT CROPS
MANAGEMENT
ROADS
COTTON
WALKING
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
LAND
FOOD CROP
AGRICULTURAL LABOR
PRODUCTION SYSTEMS
FARM
FOOD CROPS
RAILROADS
BANANAS
FEED
WHEAT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
INVESTMENTS
RICE
YIELDS
WALKING DISTANCE
SOIL FERTILITY
CROPPING INTENSITY
ROAD INVESTMENT
PORT ACCESS
ROAD CONDITIONS
AGRICULTURAL
TRANSPORT COSTS
TECHNOLOGIES
ROAD TRANSPORT
COMMODITY
FOOD STAPLES
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUTS
BOTTLENECKS
spellingShingle WOOD
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
FERTILIZER
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
PRODUCTION
DOMESTIC FOOD
CROP DISTRIBUTION
CROPLAND
AGRICULTURE SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
INFORMATION
ELASTICITY
AGRICULTURAL LANDS
CASSAVA
FOOD POLICY
IFPRI
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT ACCESS
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
FERTILIZERS
KNOWLEDGE
MAIZE
CLIMATIC CONDITIONS
ROAD
CROP PRODUCTION
CEREALS
COSTS
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
PRODUCTION SYSTEM
CASH CROPS
ACCESSIBILITY INDICES
ROAD NETWORK
FOOD POLICY RESEARCH
TRANSPORT
POPULATION GROWTH
COFFEE PRODUCTION
SEEDS
PRODUCTS
SEED
RESEARCH
FARMING
FARMERS
RURAL ROADS
COCOA
TOBACCO
CROPS
INFRASTRUCTURE
ACCESS TO INFORMATION
LAND USE
PRODUCE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
TRANSPORT NETWORK
INITIATIVES
NATIONAL PARKS
TRANSPORTATION
TEA
CROP
AGRIBUSINESS
PLANTAINS
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
PRODUCTIVITY OF LAND
CROP PRICES
ELASTICITIES
MAIZE YIELDS
CLIMATE
ACCESSIBILITY
NATIONAL TRANSPORT
POPULATION DENSITY
CROPPING
CROP SUITABILITY
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
COFFEE
AGRICULTURE
HORTICULTURE
CROP LAND
AGRICULTURAL LAND
FAO
RICE PRODUCTION
FERTILIZER APPLICATION
FERTILIZER USE
AGRICULTURAL AREAS
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
RAILWAY
FOOD
ECONOMICS
ROAD USER
EXPORT CROPS
MANAGEMENT
ROADS
COTTON
WALKING
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
LAND
FOOD CROP
AGRICULTURAL LABOR
PRODUCTION SYSTEMS
FARM
FOOD CROPS
RAILROADS
BANANAS
FEED
WHEAT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
INVESTMENTS
RICE
YIELDS
WALKING DISTANCE
SOIL FERTILITY
CROPPING INTENSITY
ROAD INVESTMENT
PORT ACCESS
ROAD CONDITIONS
AGRICULTURAL
TRANSPORT COSTS
TECHNOLOGIES
ROAD TRANSPORT
COMMODITY
FOOD STAPLES
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUTS
BOTTLENECKS
Iimi, Atsushi
You, Liangzhi
Wood-Sichra, Ulrike
Humphrey, Richard Martin
Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression
geographic_facet Africa
East Africa
description Africa is estimated to have great potential for agricultural production, but there are a number of constraints inhibiting the development of that potential. Spatial data are increasingly important in the realization of potential as well as the associated constraints. With crop production data generated at 5-minute spatial resolution, the paper applies the spatial tobit regression model to estimate the possible impacts of improvements in transport accessibility in East Africa. It is found that rural accessibility and access to markets are important to increase agricultural production. In particular for export crops, such as coffee, tea, tobacco, and cotton, access to ports is crucial. The elasticities are estimated at 0.3–4.6. In addition, the estimation results show that spatial autocorrelation matters to the estimation results. While a random shock in a particular locality would likely affect its neighboring places, the spatial autoregressive term can be positive or negative, depending on how fragmented the current production areas are.
format Working Paper
author Iimi, Atsushi
You, Liangzhi
Wood-Sichra, Ulrike
Humphrey, Richard Martin
author_facet Iimi, Atsushi
You, Liangzhi
Wood-Sichra, Ulrike
Humphrey, Richard Martin
author_sort Iimi, Atsushi
title Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression
title_short Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression
title_full Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression
title_fullStr Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression
title_full_unstemmed Agriculture Production and Transport Infrastructure in East Africa : An Application of Spatial Autoregression
title_sort agriculture production and transport infrastructure in east africa : an application of spatial autoregression
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24574272/agriculture-production-transport-infrastructure-east-africa-application-spatial-autoregression
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22154
_version_ 1764450298577813504