China Economic Update, June 2014

Chinas economic growth is gradually slowing as the structural transformation of the economy continues. Output grew by 7.7 percent in 2013, matching its 2012 growth rate and exceeding the governments 7.5 percent indicative target. In recent months e...

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Main Authors: Smits, Karlis, Hu, Bingjie, Luo, Binglie, Ollero, Tony, Vashakmadze, Ekaterine, Rohland, Klaus, Shetty, Sudhir, Hoftman, Bert, Goh, Chorching
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Beijing 2015
Subjects:
GDP
M2
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19647735/china-economic-update-june-2014
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22108
id okr-10986-22108
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCUMULATION OF DEBT
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ARREARS
ASSET PORTFOLIOS
ASSET VALUES
ASSETS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK DEBT
BANK LOAN
BANK LOANS
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING UNION
BOND
BOND MARKETS
BONDS
BROAD MONEY
BUFFERS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CONSUMPTION INCREASES
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
CORPORATE BONDS
CORPORATE DEBT
CREDIT EXPANSION
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
CUSTOMS DUTIES
DEBT
DEBT BURDENS
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEBT PER CAPITA
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT STOCK
DEBT-SERVICE
DECLINE IN INVESTMENT
DEMAND GROWTH
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISPOSABLE INCOME
DISTORTIONS
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
DOMESTIC SAVINGS
DRAG ON GROWTH
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ENTRY BARRIERS
EXCESS SUPPLY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORTER
EXTERNAL BALANCE
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEMAND
EXTERNAL POSITION
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RISKS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED ASSET
FIXED CAPITAL
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FULL EMPLOYMENT
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT FINANCING
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMBALANCES
IMPLICIT GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
IMPLICIT GUARANTEES
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME TAX
INDEBTEDNESS
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFLATION
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTING
INVESTMENT SPENDING
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LENDING PRACTICES
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONDITIONS
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
M2
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DYNAMICS
MARKET ECONOMY
MARKET FORCES
MARKET REFORMS
MEASURE OF INVESTMENT
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
NET EXPORTS
NONPERFORMING LOANS
OPEN MARKET
OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS
OPTIMIZATION
OUTSTANDING BANK LOANS
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE RISKS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS
REAL GDP
REAL INCOME
REGISTRATION SYSTEM
REPAYMENT
RESERVE
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RETURN
RETURNS
SAFETY NET
SECTOR REFORMS
SHORT MATURITIES
SHORTFALLS
SLOWDOWN
SOFT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
SPECULATIVE CAPITAL INFLOWS
SPOT RATE
STABLE GROWTH
STATE BANKS
SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS
SUPPLY SIDE
SURPLUSES
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX INCENTIVES
TAX POLICIES
TAX REVENUES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TIGHT PEG
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DATA
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE NEGOTIATIONS
TRADING
TRANSFER PAYMENTS
TRANSPARENCY
TREASURY
TREASURY BONDS
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WARRANTS
WEAK DEMAND
spellingShingle ACCUMULATION OF DEBT
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ARREARS
ASSET PORTFOLIOS
ASSET VALUES
ASSETS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK DEBT
BANK LOAN
BANK LOANS
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING UNION
BOND
BOND MARKETS
BONDS
BROAD MONEY
BUFFERS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CONSUMPTION INCREASES
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
CORPORATE BONDS
CORPORATE DEBT
CREDIT EXPANSION
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
CUSTOMS DUTIES
DEBT
DEBT BURDENS
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEBT PER CAPITA
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT STOCK
DEBT-SERVICE
DECLINE IN INVESTMENT
DEMAND GROWTH
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISPOSABLE INCOME
DISTORTIONS
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
DOMESTIC SAVINGS
DRAG ON GROWTH
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ENTRY BARRIERS
EXCESS SUPPLY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORTER
EXTERNAL BALANCE
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEMAND
EXTERNAL POSITION
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RISKS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED ASSET
FIXED CAPITAL
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FULL EMPLOYMENT
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL TRADE
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT FINANCING
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMBALANCES
IMPLICIT GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
IMPLICIT GUARANTEES
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME TAX
INDEBTEDNESS
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFLATION
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTING
INVESTMENT SPENDING
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LENDING PRACTICES
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONDITIONS
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
M2
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DYNAMICS
MARKET ECONOMY
MARKET FORCES
MARKET REFORMS
MEASURE OF INVESTMENT
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
NET EXPORTS
NONPERFORMING LOANS
OPEN MARKET
OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS
OPTIMIZATION
OUTSTANDING BANK LOANS
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE RISKS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS
REAL GDP
REAL INCOME
REGISTRATION SYSTEM
REPAYMENT
RESERVE
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RETURN
RETURNS
SAFETY NET
SECTOR REFORMS
SHORT MATURITIES
SHORTFALLS
SLOWDOWN
SOFT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
SPECULATIVE CAPITAL INFLOWS
SPOT RATE
STABLE GROWTH
STATE BANKS
SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS
SUPPLY SIDE
SURPLUSES
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX INCENTIVES
TAX POLICIES
TAX REVENUES
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TIGHT PEG
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DATA
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE NEGOTIATIONS
TRADING
TRANSFER PAYMENTS
TRANSPARENCY
TREASURY
TREASURY BONDS
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WARRANTS
WEAK DEMAND
Smits, Karlis
Hu, Bingjie
Luo, Binglie
Ollero, Tony
Vashakmadze, Ekaterine
Rohland, Klaus
Shetty, Sudhir
Hoftman, Bert
Goh, Chorching
China Economic Update, June 2014
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
relation China economic update;
description Chinas economic growth is gradually slowing as the structural transformation of the economy continues. Output grew by 7.7 percent in 2013, matching its 2012 growth rate and exceeding the governments 7.5 percent indicative target. In recent months economic activity, including industrial production, started to show signs of acceleration. The recent acceleration, expected to continue into the next two quarters, is partly reflecting the effect of new growth-supporting measures, robust consumption, and a recovery of external demand. Chinas growth will continue to moderate over the medium term, and the structural shifts will become more evident. Growth in China is expected to decrease marginally to 7.6 percent in 2014 and 7.5 percent in 2015, from 7.7 percent in 2013. Fiscal and financial sector reforms are needed to address financial stability risks in the medium run. The first task involves effectively managing the process of rapid credit growth, including less well-regulated shadow banking system. The second involves gradual and orderly deleveraging of large stock of local government debt accumulated through off-budget and quasi-fiscal platforms.
format Report
author Smits, Karlis
Hu, Bingjie
Luo, Binglie
Ollero, Tony
Vashakmadze, Ekaterine
Rohland, Klaus
Shetty, Sudhir
Hoftman, Bert
Goh, Chorching
author_facet Smits, Karlis
Hu, Bingjie
Luo, Binglie
Ollero, Tony
Vashakmadze, Ekaterine
Rohland, Klaus
Shetty, Sudhir
Hoftman, Bert
Goh, Chorching
author_sort Smits, Karlis
title China Economic Update, June 2014
title_short China Economic Update, June 2014
title_full China Economic Update, June 2014
title_fullStr China Economic Update, June 2014
title_full_unstemmed China Economic Update, June 2014
title_sort china economic update, june 2014
publisher World Bank, Beijing
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19647735/china-economic-update-june-2014
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22108
_version_ 1764450244452417536
spelling okr-10986-221082021-04-23T14:04:07Z China Economic Update, June 2014 Smits, Karlis Hu, Bingjie Luo, Binglie Ollero, Tony Vashakmadze, Ekaterine Rohland, Klaus Shetty, Sudhir Hoftman, Bert Goh, Chorching ACCUMULATION OF DEBT AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ARREARS ASSET PORTFOLIOS ASSET VALUES ASSETS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BANK DEBT BANK LOAN BANK LOANS BANKING SYSTEM BANKING UNION BOND BOND MARKETS BONDS BROAD MONEY BUFFERS CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL ACCOUNT CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL STOCK CENTRAL BANK COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES CONSUMPTION GROWTH CONSUMPTION INCREASES CONSUMPTION LEVELS CONTINGENT LIABILITIES CORPORATE BONDS CORPORATE DEBT CREDIT EXPANSION CREDIT GROWTH CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS CUSTOMS DUTIES DEBT DEBT BURDENS DEBT MANAGEMENT DEBT PER CAPITA DEBT RATIOS DEBT STOCK DEBT-SERVICE DECLINE IN INVESTMENT DEMAND GROWTH DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT BANK DISPOSABLE INCOME DISTORTIONS DOMESTIC DEMAND DOMESTIC ECONOMIC ACTIVITY DOMESTIC SAVINGS DRAG ON GROWTH ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CRISIS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC INEFFICIENCY ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIES OF SCALE ELASTICITY ENTRY BARRIERS EXCESS SUPPLY EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORTER EXTERNAL BALANCE EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL DEMAND EXTERNAL POSITION FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL RISKS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL STABILITY FINANCIAL SYSTEM FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED ASSET FIXED CAPITAL FOOD PRICES FOREIGN CURRENCIES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN INVESTMENT FULL EMPLOYMENT GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL MARKET GLOBAL TRADE GOVERNMENT BORROWING GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT FINANCING GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS GOVERNMENT REVENUES GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HUMAN CAPITAL IMBALANCES IMPLICIT GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES IMPLICIT GUARANTEES IMPORTS INCOME INCOME GROUPS INCOME GROWTH INCOME LEVELS INCOME TAX INDEBTEDNESS INDUSTRIALIZATION INFLATION INFLATIONARY PRESSURES INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTING INVESTMENT SPENDING LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LENDING PRACTICES LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY CONDITIONS LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENTS M2 MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MARGINAL PRODUCT MARKET ACCESS MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET DYNAMICS MARKET ECONOMY MARKET FORCES MARKET REFORMS MEASURE OF INVESTMENT MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY NET EXPORTS NONPERFORMING LOANS OPEN MARKET OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS OPTIMIZATION OUTSTANDING BANK LOANS PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASES PRICE RISKS PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT PUBLIC SPENDING PURCHASING POWER REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS REAL GDP REAL INCOME REGISTRATION SYSTEM REPAYMENT RESERVE RESERVE REQUIREMENTS RETURN RETURNS SAFETY NET SECTOR REFORMS SHORT MATURITIES SHORTFALLS SLOWDOWN SOFT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS SPECULATIVE CAPITAL INFLOWS SPOT RATE STABLE GROWTH STATE BANKS SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS SUPPLY SIDE SURPLUSES TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX INCENTIVES TAX POLICIES TAX REVENUES TELECOMMUNICATIONS TIGHT PEG TRADE BALANCE TRADE DATA TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE NEGOTIATIONS TRADING TRANSFER PAYMENTS TRANSPARENCY TREASURY TREASURY BONDS UNEMPLOYMENT VALUE ADDED WAGES WARRANTS WEAK DEMAND Chinas economic growth is gradually slowing as the structural transformation of the economy continues. Output grew by 7.7 percent in 2013, matching its 2012 growth rate and exceeding the governments 7.5 percent indicative target. In recent months economic activity, including industrial production, started to show signs of acceleration. The recent acceleration, expected to continue into the next two quarters, is partly reflecting the effect of new growth-supporting measures, robust consumption, and a recovery of external demand. Chinas growth will continue to moderate over the medium term, and the structural shifts will become more evident. Growth in China is expected to decrease marginally to 7.6 percent in 2014 and 7.5 percent in 2015, from 7.7 percent in 2013. Fiscal and financial sector reforms are needed to address financial stability risks in the medium run. The first task involves effectively managing the process of rapid credit growth, including less well-regulated shadow banking system. The second involves gradual and orderly deleveraging of large stock of local government debt accumulated through off-budget and quasi-fiscal platforms. 2015-07-07T16:35:33Z 2015-07-07T16:35:33Z 2014-06 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19647735/china-economic-update-june-2014 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22108 English en_US China economic update; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Beijing Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling East Asia and Pacific China