Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty

Armenias economic growth remained resilient in 2014. Output expansion slowed to 3.4 percent in 2014, relative to 3.5 percent in the previous year. On the supply side, while services particularly transport and telecoms), agriculture, and manufacturi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank Group
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
NPL
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24575089/armenia-economic-update-accelerating-reforms-increased-uncertainty
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22072
id okr-10986-22072
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic CURRENCY MISMATCHES
TARIFFS
GROWTH RATES
MONETARY POLICY
DEFICIT
RISKS
HOLDING
BASIS POINTS
OIL PRICE
NPL
ECONOMIC GROWTH
DEPOSITS
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
INTEREST
DEPRECIATION
IMPORT
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
IMPORT TARIFF
SLACK
REMITTANCE
EXCHANGE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
CONSUMER GOODS
MARKET PRESSURES
LABOR FORCE
TAX COLLECTION
REVENUES
FISCAL POLICY
WELFARE
RENEGOTIATION
BORROWERS
SLOWDOWN
TAX
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
BOND YIELDS
EXTERNAL TRADE
INFLATION
SUPPLY SIDE
BILLS
SAFETY NETS
TRADE AGREEMENTS
BUDGET
CENTRAL BANK
MATURITY
CUSTOMS DUTIES
EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
LABOR MARKET
TRADE BALANCE
ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN
CURRENCY
EXPORT GROWTH
POLICY RESPONSES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
INCOME GROWTH
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
IMPORT DEMAND
TRADING
MONETARY FUND
MARKETS
DEBT
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
RETURN
BUDGET DEFICIT
STRUCTURAL REFORMS
IMPORTS
TRADE POLICY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
LOANS
RESERVES
TRADE AGREEMENT
DEBT SERVICE
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
FINANCE
TAXES
BANKING SECTOR
FISCAL DEFICIT
EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
EQUITY
INVESTORS
CONSUMPTION
INTEREST PAYMENTS
GOOD
EXTERNAL DEMAND
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
BUFFER
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
FINANCIAL CRISIS
COMPETITIVENESS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
TREASURY BILLS
TRADE DEFICIT
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
DEMAND
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEVELOPMENTS
SAFETY NET
AGGREGATE DEMAND
ECONOMY
EXPENDITURES
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENCY MARKETS
SHARES
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
COUPON RATE
MARKET
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
SECURITIES
PUBLIC DEBT
TREASURY
DOMESTIC DEMAND
BILL
CORE INFLATION
INTERESTS
TAX CODE
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
GOODS
MONETARY CONDITIONS
GROWTH RATE
INVESTMENT
BOND
EUROBOND
SHORTFALLS
COMMERCIAL BANKS
SHARE
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
POVERTY
TARIFF
SUPPLY
GLOBAL DEMAND
COUPON
UNCERTAINTY
REVENUE
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
ACCOUNT DEFICIT
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
EXTERNAL DEBT
INVESTMENTS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
EXCHANGE RATE
DEBT SERVICING
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
FOOD PRICES
REMITTANCES
PUBLIC SPENDING
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
PRICE INDEX
TRADING PARTNERS
WEIGHTS
TRADE REGIME
NONPERFORMING LOANS
DOLLAR VALUE
CONSOLIDATION
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
DEBT MATURITY
spellingShingle CURRENCY MISMATCHES
TARIFFS
GROWTH RATES
MONETARY POLICY
DEFICIT
RISKS
HOLDING
BASIS POINTS
OIL PRICE
NPL
ECONOMIC GROWTH
DEPOSITS
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
INTEREST
DEPRECIATION
IMPORT
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
IMPORT TARIFF
SLACK
REMITTANCE
EXCHANGE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
CONSUMER GOODS
MARKET PRESSURES
LABOR FORCE
TAX COLLECTION
REVENUES
FISCAL POLICY
WELFARE
RENEGOTIATION
BORROWERS
SLOWDOWN
TAX
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
BOND YIELDS
EXTERNAL TRADE
INFLATION
SUPPLY SIDE
BILLS
SAFETY NETS
TRADE AGREEMENTS
BUDGET
CENTRAL BANK
MATURITY
CUSTOMS DUTIES
EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
LABOR MARKET
TRADE BALANCE
ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN
CURRENCY
EXPORT GROWTH
POLICY RESPONSES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
INCOME GROWTH
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
IMPORT DEMAND
TRADING
MONETARY FUND
MARKETS
DEBT
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
RETURN
BUDGET DEFICIT
STRUCTURAL REFORMS
IMPORTS
TRADE POLICY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
LOANS
RESERVES
TRADE AGREEMENT
DEBT SERVICE
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
FINANCE
TAXES
BANKING SECTOR
FISCAL DEFICIT
EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
EQUITY
INVESTORS
CONSUMPTION
INTEREST PAYMENTS
GOOD
EXTERNAL DEMAND
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
BUFFER
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
FINANCIAL CRISIS
COMPETITIVENESS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
TREASURY BILLS
TRADE DEFICIT
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
DEMAND
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEVELOPMENTS
SAFETY NET
AGGREGATE DEMAND
ECONOMY
EXPENDITURES
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENCY MARKETS
SHARES
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
COUPON RATE
MARKET
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
SECURITIES
PUBLIC DEBT
TREASURY
DOMESTIC DEMAND
BILL
CORE INFLATION
INTERESTS
TAX CODE
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
GOODS
MONETARY CONDITIONS
GROWTH RATE
INVESTMENT
BOND
EUROBOND
SHORTFALLS
COMMERCIAL BANKS
SHARE
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
POVERTY
TARIFF
SUPPLY
GLOBAL DEMAND
COUPON
UNCERTAINTY
REVENUE
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
ACCOUNT DEFICIT
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
EXTERNAL DEBT
INVESTMENTS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
EXCHANGE RATE
DEBT SERVICING
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
FOOD PRICES
REMITTANCES
PUBLIC SPENDING
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
PRICE INDEX
TRADING PARTNERS
WEIGHTS
TRADE REGIME
NONPERFORMING LOANS
DOLLAR VALUE
CONSOLIDATION
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
DEBT MATURITY
World Bank Group
Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Armenia
relation Armenia economic update,no.1;
description Armenias economic growth remained resilient in 2014. Output expansion slowed to 3.4 percent in 2014, relative to 3.5 percent in the previous year. On the supply side, while services particularly transport and telecoms), agriculture, and manufacturing performed well, construction, mining, and energy made negative contributions to output growth. On the demand side, net exports were the main contributor to growth, offsetting weak private consumption and negative private investment. However, by the last quarter, Russias economic slowdown and the steep depreciation of the ruble began to depress remittances, FDI inflows, and exports. Few jobs were created during the year, and the unemployment rate reached to 17.6 percent in 2014. A weak labor market, combined with slower emigration and return migration from Russia, are likely to have undermined growth in the incomes of the poor. Declining remittances and higher inflation in the last few months of 2014 reinforced these trends. Poverty at US$2.5/day was 30.2 percent in 2014, still above the levels recorded in the period leading up to the 2008 financial crisis. Fiscal policy continued to be prudent throughout the year, and monetary tightening responded to the currency depreciation. Developments in Russia will adversely affect economic growth in 2015, underscoring the needfor Armenia to press ahead with structural reforms.
format Report
author World Bank Group
author_facet World Bank Group
author_sort World Bank Group
title Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty
title_short Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty
title_full Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty
title_fullStr Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty
title_sort armenia economic update, spring 2015 : accelerating reforms, increased uncertainty
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24575089/armenia-economic-update-accelerating-reforms-increased-uncertainty
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22072
_version_ 1764450200153227264
spelling okr-10986-220722021-04-23T14:04:06Z Armenia Economic Update, Spring 2015 : Accelerating Reforms, Increased Uncertainty World Bank Group CURRENCY MISMATCHES TARIFFS GROWTH RATES MONETARY POLICY DEFICIT RISKS HOLDING BASIS POINTS OIL PRICE NPL ECONOMIC GROWTH DEPOSITS FREE TRADE AGREEMENT INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT INTEREST DEPRECIATION IMPORT GOVERNMENT SPENDING IMPORT TARIFF SLACK REMITTANCE EXCHANGE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CONSUMER GOODS MARKET PRESSURES LABOR FORCE TAX COLLECTION REVENUES FISCAL POLICY WELFARE RENEGOTIATION BORROWERS SLOWDOWN TAX CONSUMPTION GROWTH BOND YIELDS EXTERNAL TRADE INFLATION SUPPLY SIDE BILLS SAFETY NETS TRADE AGREEMENTS BUDGET CENTRAL BANK MATURITY CUSTOMS DUTIES EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE LABOR MARKET TRADE BALANCE ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN CURRENCY EXPORT GROWTH POLICY RESPONSES CURRENT ACCOUNT INCOME GROWTH INFLATIONARY PRESSURES IMPORT DEMAND TRADING MONETARY FUND MARKETS DEBT PRIVATE INVESTMENT RETURN BUDGET DEFICIT STRUCTURAL REFORMS IMPORTS TRADE POLICY DIRECT INVESTMENT LOANS RESERVES TRADE AGREEMENT DEBT SERVICE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FINANCE TAXES BANKING SECTOR FISCAL DEFICIT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT SECURITIES EQUITY INVESTORS CONSUMPTION INTEREST PAYMENTS GOOD EXTERNAL DEMAND INTERNATIONAL RESERVES BUFFER UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FINANCIAL CRISIS COMPETITIVENESS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TREASURY BILLS TRADE DEFICIT FOREIGN INVESTMENT DEMAND BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEVELOPMENTS SAFETY NET AGGREGATE DEMAND ECONOMY EXPENDITURES CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT CURRENCY MARKETS SHARES REAL EXCHANGE RATE COUPON RATE MARKET FOREIGN EXCHANGE SECURITIES PUBLIC DEBT TREASURY DOMESTIC DEMAND BILL CORE INFLATION INTERESTS TAX CODE CURRENCY DEPRECIATION GOODS MONETARY CONDITIONS GROWTH RATE INVESTMENT BOND EUROBOND SHORTFALLS COMMERCIAL BANKS SHARE INVESTMENT CLIMATE POVERTY TARIFF SUPPLY GLOBAL DEMAND COUPON UNCERTAINTY REVENUE PRIVATE INVESTMENTS ACCOUNT DEFICIT PRIVATE CONSUMPTION EXTERNAL DEBT INVESTMENTS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX EXCHANGE RATE DEBT SERVICING REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE FOOD PRICES REMITTANCES PUBLIC SPENDING CAPITAL INVESTMENT PRICE INDEX TRADING PARTNERS WEIGHTS TRADE REGIME NONPERFORMING LOANS DOLLAR VALUE CONSOLIDATION HUMAN DEVELOPMENT DEBT MATURITY Armenias economic growth remained resilient in 2014. Output expansion slowed to 3.4 percent in 2014, relative to 3.5 percent in the previous year. On the supply side, while services particularly transport and telecoms), agriculture, and manufacturing performed well, construction, mining, and energy made negative contributions to output growth. On the demand side, net exports were the main contributor to growth, offsetting weak private consumption and negative private investment. However, by the last quarter, Russias economic slowdown and the steep depreciation of the ruble began to depress remittances, FDI inflows, and exports. Few jobs were created during the year, and the unemployment rate reached to 17.6 percent in 2014. A weak labor market, combined with slower emigration and return migration from Russia, are likely to have undermined growth in the incomes of the poor. Declining remittances and higher inflation in the last few months of 2014 reinforced these trends. Poverty at US$2.5/day was 30.2 percent in 2014, still above the levels recorded in the period leading up to the 2008 financial crisis. Fiscal policy continued to be prudent throughout the year, and monetary tightening responded to the currency depreciation. Developments in Russia will adversely affect economic growth in 2015, underscoring the needfor Armenia to press ahead with structural reforms. 2015-06-25T19:01:50Z 2015-06-25T19:01:50Z 2015-04 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24575089/armenia-economic-update-accelerating-reforms-increased-uncertainty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22072 English en_US Armenia economic update,no.1; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Europe and Central Asia Armenia