Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States

This paper explores the economic implications of a potential free trade agreement between India and the United States. A series of simulations is conducted assuming 100 percent ad valorem equivalent tariff cuts for goods and 50 percent cuts for services. The overall impacts are likely to be positive...

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Main Authors: Fukase, Emiko, Martin, Will
Format: Working Paper
Language:en_US
Published: World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21651
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spelling okr-10986-216512021-04-23T14:04:03Z Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States Fukase, Emiko Martin, Will free trade agreement CGE model computable general equilibrium modelling preferential trade liberalization welfare effects FTA This paper explores the economic implications of a potential free trade agreement between India and the United States. A series of simulations is conducted assuming 100 percent ad valorem equivalent tariff cuts for goods and 50 percent cuts for services. The overall impacts are likely to be positive for the United States and India. While gains from trade creation are offset by trade diversion on the import side, both countries appear to gain from improved access on the export side. The United States is likely to gain largely through terms of trade improvements for its goods and services, as initial protection in India is particularly high. India would experience an expansion of exports and output, especially in textiles and apparel. As the United States and India are negotiating other free trade agreements, such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership and India's agreement with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, the paper also explores how the effects of an India-United States free trade agreement are affected by prior free trade agreements. Adding an India-United States free trade agreement to prior agreements tends to bring additional welfare benefits to both countries. India would also gain substantially if it concluded a free trade agreement with the United States and then extended it to other partners. The results suggest that an India-United States free trade agreement might become a building block toward more liberal trade regimes. 2015-03-31T14:41:42Z 2015-03-31T14:41:42Z 2015-03 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21651 en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7212 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper South Asia India
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic free trade agreement
CGE model
computable general equilibrium modelling
preferential trade liberalization
welfare effects
FTA
spellingShingle free trade agreement
CGE model
computable general equilibrium modelling
preferential trade liberalization
welfare effects
FTA
Fukase, Emiko
Martin, Will
Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States
geographic_facet South Asia
India
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7212
description This paper explores the economic implications of a potential free trade agreement between India and the United States. A series of simulations is conducted assuming 100 percent ad valorem equivalent tariff cuts for goods and 50 percent cuts for services. The overall impacts are likely to be positive for the United States and India. While gains from trade creation are offset by trade diversion on the import side, both countries appear to gain from improved access on the export side. The United States is likely to gain largely through terms of trade improvements for its goods and services, as initial protection in India is particularly high. India would experience an expansion of exports and output, especially in textiles and apparel. As the United States and India are negotiating other free trade agreements, such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership and India's agreement with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, the paper also explores how the effects of an India-United States free trade agreement are affected by prior free trade agreements. Adding an India-United States free trade agreement to prior agreements tends to bring additional welfare benefits to both countries. India would also gain substantially if it concluded a free trade agreement with the United States and then extended it to other partners. The results suggest that an India-United States free trade agreement might become a building block toward more liberal trade regimes.
format Working Paper
author Fukase, Emiko
Martin, Will
author_facet Fukase, Emiko
Martin, Will
author_sort Fukase, Emiko
title Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States
title_short Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States
title_full Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States
title_fullStr Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States
title_full_unstemmed Economic Implications of a Potential Free Trade Agreement between India and the United States
title_sort economic implications of a potential free trade agreement between india and the united states
publisher World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21651
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