How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?

Alternative scenarios are considered for reducing by one billion the number of people surviving on less than $1.25 a day. The low-case, “pessimistic” path to that goal envisages the developing world outside China returning to the slower pace of economic growth and poverty reduction of the 1980s and...

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Main Author: Ravallion, Martin
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21427
id okr-10986-21427
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-214272021-04-23T14:04:02Z How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty? Ravallion, Martin absolute poverty developing countries developing world Millennium Development Goals distributional change economic development economic growth growth poverty Alternative scenarios are considered for reducing by one billion the number of people surviving on less than $1.25 a day. The low-case, “pessimistic” path to that goal envisages the developing world outside China returning to the slower pace of economic growth and poverty reduction of the 1980s and 1990s, but with China maintaining its progress. This path would take 50 years or more to lift one billion people out of poverty. A more optimistic path is identified that would maintain the developing world's (impressive) progress against absolute poverty since the turn of the century. This path would lift one billion people out of poverty by 2025–30. The optimistic path is consistent with both linear projections of the time-series data and nonlinear simulations of inequality-neutral growth for the developing world as a whole. 2015-02-11T18:26:55Z 2015-02-11T18:26:55Z 2013-08-01 Journal Article World Bank Research Observer 1564-6971 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21427 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic absolute poverty
developing countries
developing world
Millennium Development Goals
distributional change
economic development
economic growth
growth
poverty
spellingShingle absolute poverty
developing countries
developing world
Millennium Development Goals
distributional change
economic development
economic growth
growth
poverty
Ravallion, Martin
How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?
description Alternative scenarios are considered for reducing by one billion the number of people surviving on less than $1.25 a day. The low-case, “pessimistic” path to that goal envisages the developing world outside China returning to the slower pace of economic growth and poverty reduction of the 1980s and 1990s, but with China maintaining its progress. This path would take 50 years or more to lift one billion people out of poverty. A more optimistic path is identified that would maintain the developing world's (impressive) progress against absolute poverty since the turn of the century. This path would lift one billion people out of poverty by 2025–30. The optimistic path is consistent with both linear projections of the time-series data and nonlinear simulations of inequality-neutral growth for the developing world as a whole.
format Journal Article
author Ravallion, Martin
author_facet Ravallion, Martin
author_sort Ravallion, Martin
title How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?
title_short How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?
title_full How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?
title_fullStr How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?
title_full_unstemmed How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?
title_sort how long will it take to lift one billion people out of poverty?
publisher Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21427
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