Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies

Risk-aversion has generally been found to decrease in income. This may lead one to expect that poor countries will be more risk-averse than rich countries. Recent comparative findings with students, however, suggest the opposite, giving rise to a r...

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Main Authors: Vieider, Ferdinand M., Beyene, Abebe, Bluffstone, Randall, Dissanayake, Sahan, Gebreegziabher, Zenebe, Martinsson, Peter, Mekonnen, Alemu
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/12/23026054/measuring-risk-preferences-rural-ethiopia-risk-tolerance-exogenous-income-proxies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21135
id okr-10986-21135
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-211352021-04-23T14:04:01Z Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies Vieider, Ferdinand M. Beyene, Abebe Bluffstone, Randall Dissanayake, Sahan Gebreegziabher, Zenebe Martinsson, Peter Mekonnen, Alemu APPLICATIONS CATASTROPHIC EVENTS CLASSICAL ECONOMICS CORRELATION ANALYSIS CORRELATIONS DATA QUALITY DECISION MAKING DECISION THEORY DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS ECONOMIC THEORY EXPECTED UTILITY EXPECTED VALUE EXPERIMENTAL DATA EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS FAMINE FARMERS FUNCTIONAL FORMS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH THEORY HUMAN CAPITAL HYPOTHESES INCENTIVE EFFECTS INCOME INCOME MEASURES INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES INSURANCE INVESTIGATIONS LOTTERIES LOTTERY LOW TRUST MARGINAL UTILITY MATRIX MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION MEDICINE NEUTRALITY OPTIMIZATION POLITICAL ECONOMY POOR FARMERS PROBABILITIES PROBABILITY PRODUCTIVITY PROGRAMS PURCHASING POWER RANDOMIZATION RATES REGRESSION ANALYSIS RISK AVERSE RISK AVERSION RISK EXPOSURE RISK MANAGEMENT RISK NEUTRAL RISK PREMIUM STANDARD ERRORS STARVATION STATA STRUCTURAL MODELING UTILITY FUNCTION UTILITY FUNCTIONS UTILITY THEORY VALIDITY WEALTH WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION Risk-aversion has generally been found to decrease in income. This may lead one to expect that poor countries will be more risk-averse than rich countries. Recent comparative findings with students, however, suggest the opposite, giving rise to a risk-income paradox. This paper tests this paradox by measuring the risk preferences of more than 500 household heads spread over the highlands of Ethiopia and finds high degrees of risk tolerance. The paper also finds risk tolerance to increase in income proxies, thus completing the paradox. Using exogenous proxies, the paper concludes that part of the causality must run from income to risk tolerance. The findings suggest that risk preferences cannot be blamed for the failure to adopt new technologies. Alternative explanations are discussed. 2015-01-07T21:20:34Z 2015-01-07T21:20:34Z 2014-12 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/12/23026054/measuring-risk-preferences-rural-ethiopia-risk-tolerance-exogenous-income-proxies http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21135 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7137 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Ethiopia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic APPLICATIONS
CATASTROPHIC EVENTS
CLASSICAL ECONOMICS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATIONS
DATA QUALITY
DECISION MAKING
DECISION THEORY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC THEORY
EXPECTED UTILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPERIMENTAL DATA
EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS
FAMINE
FARMERS
FUNCTIONAL FORMS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH THEORY
HUMAN CAPITAL
HYPOTHESES
INCENTIVE EFFECTS
INCOME
INCOME MEASURES
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES
INSURANCE
INVESTIGATIONS
LOTTERIES
LOTTERY
LOW TRUST
MARGINAL UTILITY
MATRIX
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MEDICINE
NEUTRALITY
OPTIMIZATION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR FARMERS
PROBABILITIES
PROBABILITY
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRAMS
PURCHASING POWER
RANDOMIZATION
RATES
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
RISK AVERSE
RISK AVERSION
RISK EXPOSURE
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK NEUTRAL
RISK PREMIUM
STANDARD ERRORS
STARVATION
STATA
STRUCTURAL MODELING
UTILITY FUNCTION
UTILITY FUNCTIONS
UTILITY THEORY
VALIDITY
WEALTH
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
spellingShingle APPLICATIONS
CATASTROPHIC EVENTS
CLASSICAL ECONOMICS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATIONS
DATA QUALITY
DECISION MAKING
DECISION THEORY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC THEORY
EXPECTED UTILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPERIMENTAL DATA
EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS
FAMINE
FARMERS
FUNCTIONAL FORMS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH THEORY
HUMAN CAPITAL
HYPOTHESES
INCENTIVE EFFECTS
INCOME
INCOME MEASURES
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES
INSURANCE
INVESTIGATIONS
LOTTERIES
LOTTERY
LOW TRUST
MARGINAL UTILITY
MATRIX
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MEDICINE
NEUTRALITY
OPTIMIZATION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR FARMERS
PROBABILITIES
PROBABILITY
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRAMS
PURCHASING POWER
RANDOMIZATION
RATES
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
RISK AVERSE
RISK AVERSION
RISK EXPOSURE
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK NEUTRAL
RISK PREMIUM
STANDARD ERRORS
STARVATION
STATA
STRUCTURAL MODELING
UTILITY FUNCTION
UTILITY FUNCTIONS
UTILITY THEORY
VALIDITY
WEALTH
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
Vieider, Ferdinand M.
Beyene, Abebe
Bluffstone, Randall
Dissanayake, Sahan
Gebreegziabher, Zenebe
Martinsson, Peter
Mekonnen, Alemu
Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies
geographic_facet Africa
Ethiopia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7137
description Risk-aversion has generally been found to decrease in income. This may lead one to expect that poor countries will be more risk-averse than rich countries. Recent comparative findings with students, however, suggest the opposite, giving rise to a risk-income paradox. This paper tests this paradox by measuring the risk preferences of more than 500 household heads spread over the highlands of Ethiopia and finds high degrees of risk tolerance. The paper also finds risk tolerance to increase in income proxies, thus completing the paradox. Using exogenous proxies, the paper concludes that part of the causality must run from income to risk tolerance. The findings suggest that risk preferences cannot be blamed for the failure to adopt new technologies. Alternative explanations are discussed.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Vieider, Ferdinand M.
Beyene, Abebe
Bluffstone, Randall
Dissanayake, Sahan
Gebreegziabher, Zenebe
Martinsson, Peter
Mekonnen, Alemu
author_facet Vieider, Ferdinand M.
Beyene, Abebe
Bluffstone, Randall
Dissanayake, Sahan
Gebreegziabher, Zenebe
Martinsson, Peter
Mekonnen, Alemu
author_sort Vieider, Ferdinand M.
title Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies
title_short Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies
title_full Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies
title_fullStr Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies
title_full_unstemmed Measuring Risk Preferences in Rural Ethiopia : Risk Tolerance and Exogenous Income Proxies
title_sort measuring risk preferences in rural ethiopia : risk tolerance and exogenous income proxies
publisher World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/12/23026054/measuring-risk-preferences-rural-ethiopia-risk-tolerance-exogenous-income-proxies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21135
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