Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices

The Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) has two main objectives. First, it reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy, and places these in a longer term and global context. Based on these developments, a...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Economic Updates and Modeling
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
ID
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/07/20340004/indonesia-economic-quarterly-hard-choices-july-2014
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20805
id okr-10986-20805
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISMS
ADJUSTMENT POLICIES
ADVANCED COUNTRIES
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
AGRICULTURE
AMORTIZATION
AMORTIZATIONS
ARREARS
ASSET PRICES
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK CREDIT
BANK LIQUIDITY
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BASIS POINTS
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARK YIELDS
BOND
BOND PRICES
BOND YIELDS
BORROWING COSTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY EXPORT
COMMODITY EXPORTS
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
COSTS TO BORROWERS
CREDIT BANK
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT SPREADS
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
CURRENCY MARKET
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT LEVELS
DEFICITS
DEFLATION
DEMOCRACY
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INTEREST
DEPOSIT INTEREST RATE
DEPOSIT RATE
DEPOSIT RATES
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DIVIDEND
DIVIDEND PAYMENTS
DOMESTIC BONDS
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ASSETS
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
ENROLMENT RATES
EQUIPMENT
EQUITIES
EQUITY INDICES
EQUITY PRICES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SECTOR
EXPORT SHARE
EXPORTERS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL FUNDING
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL ASSET
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS
FINANCING COSTS
FINANCING NEEDS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FORECASTS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN LOANS
FUTURE GROWTH
GDP DEFLATOR
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKET
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL RISK
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDINGS
HOUSEHOLDS
ID
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME TAX
INCOMES
INEQUALITY
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INTEREST PAYMENT
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVENTORIES
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
INVESTOR PURCHASES
ISSUANCE
JOB OPPORTUNITIES
LABOR MARKET
LENDING SPREADS
LIMITED ACCESS
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOAN APPROVALS
LOAN REPAYMENTS
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DATA
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MARKET PRICES
MARKET SEGMENTATION
MARKET VOLATILITY
MONETARY AUTHORITY
MONETARY POLICY
MULTIPLIER EFFECT
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
NET EXPORTS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OFFSHORE INVESTOR
OFFSHORE INVESTORS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO CAPITAL
PORTFOLIO CAPITAL INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO FLOWS
PORTFOLIO INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
POWER PARITY
PRICE DECLINES
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE EQUITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
REAL GDP
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RESERVES
RISK MANAGEMENT
RURAL CREDIT
RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SECURITIES ISSUANCE
SELLING PRICE
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL WELFARE
SPOT MARKET
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING
SUBSIDY COSTS
SUPPLY SHOCK
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TAX COLLECTION
TAX REVENUES
TOTAL OUTPUT
TOTAL REVENUE
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE TAXES
TRADING
TRANSACTION
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
WEALTH
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISMS
ADJUSTMENT POLICIES
ADVANCED COUNTRIES
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
AGRICULTURE
AMORTIZATION
AMORTIZATIONS
ARREARS
ASSET PRICES
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK CREDIT
BANK LIQUIDITY
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BASIS POINTS
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARK YIELDS
BOND
BOND PRICES
BOND YIELDS
BORROWING COSTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY EXPORT
COMMODITY EXPORTS
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
COSTS TO BORROWERS
CREDIT BANK
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT SPREADS
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
CURRENCY MARKET
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT LEVELS
DEFICITS
DEFLATION
DEMOCRACY
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INTEREST
DEPOSIT INTEREST RATE
DEPOSIT RATE
DEPOSIT RATES
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DIVIDEND
DIVIDEND PAYMENTS
DOMESTIC BONDS
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ASSETS
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
ENROLMENT RATES
EQUIPMENT
EQUITIES
EQUITY INDICES
EQUITY PRICES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT SECTOR
EXPORT SHARE
EXPORTERS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL FUNDING
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL ASSET
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS
FINANCING COSTS
FINANCING NEEDS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FORECASTS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN LOANS
FUTURE GROWTH
GDP DEFLATOR
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKET
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL MARKETS
GLOBAL RISK
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDINGS
HOUSEHOLDS
ID
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME TAX
INCOMES
INEQUALITY
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INTEREST PAYMENT
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVENTORIES
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
INVESTOR PURCHASES
ISSUANCE
JOB OPPORTUNITIES
LABOR MARKET
LENDING SPREADS
LIMITED ACCESS
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOAN APPROVALS
LOAN REPAYMENTS
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DATA
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MARKET PRICES
MARKET SEGMENTATION
MARKET VOLATILITY
MONETARY AUTHORITY
MONETARY POLICY
MULTIPLIER EFFECT
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
NET EXPORTS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OFFSHORE INVESTOR
OFFSHORE INVESTORS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO CAPITAL
PORTFOLIO CAPITAL INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO FLOWS
PORTFOLIO INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
POWER PARITY
PRICE DECLINES
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE EQUITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
REAL GDP
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RESERVES
RISK MANAGEMENT
RURAL CREDIT
RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SECURITIES ISSUANCE
SELLING PRICE
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL WELFARE
SPOT MARKET
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING
SUBSIDY COSTS
SUPPLY SHOCK
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TAX COLLECTION
TAX REVENUES
TOTAL OUTPUT
TOTAL REVENUE
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE TAXES
TRADING
TRANSACTION
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
WEALTH
World Bank
Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Indonesia
description The Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) has two main objectives. First, it reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy, and places these in a longer term and global context. Based on these developments, and on policy changes over the period, the IEQ regularly updates the outlook for Indonesia's economy and social welfare. Second, the IEQ provides a more in-depth examination of selected economic and policy issues, and analysis of Indonesia s medium-term development challenges. It is intended for a wide audience, including policymakers, business leaders, financial market participants, and the community of analysts and professionals engaged in Indonesia's evolving economy. As Indonesians await the results of a presidential election on July 9, 2014 and plan for the upcoming inauguration of a new president in October, they face hard policy choices. The past decade of solid growth has contributed to considerable development progress. Indonesia now has the world's tenth largest economy in purchasing power parity-adjusted terms; however, there remains a clear risk that the recent moderation in economic growth could intensify. Against a backdrop of weakening revenue growth and rising energy subsidy spending, this would further constrain development expenditures in critical areas such as infrastructure, social protection and health. The new government will face an evolving global environment, which is expected to pick up speed later this year. The price of Indonesia's top six exports, accounting for 50 percent of total export revenues, continues to soften, falling by 8.6 percent in 2014 through June, led by coal (down 15.2 percent). The recent volatility of oil prices, due in part to the turmoil in Iraq, highlights the ongoing vulnerability of Indonesia's fiscal position to higher international oil prices. Real GDP growth in Indonesia moderated to 5.2 percent year-on-year and 4.3 percent quarter-on-quarter at a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate in the first quarter of 2014. Safeguarding hard-fought poverty reduction and social protection progress in Indonesia also calls for enhancing the management of disaster risks. This edition of the IEQ examines one such disaster risk: forest and land fires.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices
title_short Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices
title_full Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices
title_fullStr Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices
title_full_unstemmed Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices
title_sort indonesia economic quarterly, july 2014 : hard choices
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/07/20340004/indonesia-economic-quarterly-hard-choices-july-2014
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20805
_version_ 1764447109678891008
spelling okr-10986-208052021-04-23T14:03:59Z Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014 : Hard Choices World Bank ACCOUNTING ADJUSTMENT MECHANISMS ADJUSTMENT POLICIES ADVANCED COUNTRIES ADVANCED ECONOMIES AGRICULTURE AMORTIZATION AMORTIZATIONS ARREARS ASSET PRICES BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK CREDIT BANK LIQUIDITY BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BANKS BASIS POINTS BENCHMARK BENCHMARK YIELDS BOND BOND PRICES BOND YIELDS BORROWING COSTS BUDGET DEFICIT CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL INFLOWS CENTRAL BANK COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY EXPORT COMMODITY EXPORTS COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CONTINGENCY PLANNING COSTS TO BORROWERS CREDIT BANK CREDIT GROWTH CREDIT SPREADS CURRENCY DEPRECIATION CURRENCY MARKET CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT LEVELS DEFICITS DEFLATION DEMOCRACY DEPOSIT DEPOSIT INTEREST DEPOSIT INTEREST RATE DEPOSIT RATE DEPOSIT RATES DEPOSITS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT POLICY DIRECT INVESTMENT DISBURSEMENT DISBURSEMENTS DIVIDEND DIVIDEND PAYMENTS DOMESTIC BONDS DOMESTIC CURRENCY DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET EMERGING MARKET ASSETS EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EMPLOYMENT GROWTH ENROLMENT RATES EQUIPMENT EQUITIES EQUITY INDICES EQUITY PRICES EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATES EXPECTED VALUE EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT SECTOR EXPORT SHARE EXPORTERS EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL FINANCING EXTERNAL FUNDING FEDERAL RESERVE FINANCIAL ASSET FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS FINANCING COSTS FINANCING NEEDS FINANCING REQUIREMENTS FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL POLICY FIXED CAPITAL FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FORECASTS FOREIGN CAPITAL FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTORS FOREIGN LOANS FUTURE GROWTH GDP DEFLATOR GINI COEFFICIENT GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKET GLOBAL MARKET GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL RISK GOVERNMENT BOND GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD GOVERNMENT BORROWING GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT REVENUES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HOLDINGS HOUSEHOLDS ID INCOME INCOME GROWTH INCOME TAX INCOMES INEQUALITY INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFLATION RATES INTEREST PAYMENT INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL BORROWING INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVENTORIES INVESTOR CONFIDENCE INVESTOR PURCHASES ISSUANCE JOB OPPORTUNITIES LABOR MARKET LENDING SPREADS LIMITED ACCESS LIQUIDITY LOAN LOAN APPROVALS LOAN REPAYMENTS LOCAL CURRENCY MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET DATA MARKET LIQUIDITY MARKET PRICES MARKET SEGMENTATION MARKET VOLATILITY MONETARY AUTHORITY MONETARY POLICY MULTIPLIER EFFECT NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT NET EXPORTS NON-PERFORMING LOANS OFFSHORE INVESTOR OFFSHORE INVESTORS OIL PRICE OIL PRICES PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO CAPITAL PORTFOLIO CAPITAL INFLOWS PORTFOLIO FLOWS PORTFOLIO INFLOWS PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT POWER PARITY PRICE DECLINES PRICE LEVELS PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE EQUITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY REAL GDP RESERVE REQUIREMENTS RESERVES RISK MANAGEMENT RURAL CREDIT RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE SAVINGS SECURITIES SECURITIES ISSUANCE SELLING PRICE SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL WELFARE SPOT MARKET STOCK EXCHANGE STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING SUBSIDY COSTS SUPPLY SHOCK SUSTAINABLE GROWTH TAX COLLECTION TAX REVENUES TOTAL OUTPUT TOTAL REVENUE TRADE BALANCE TRADE TAXES TRADING TRANSACTION TRANSPORTATION SERVICES UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE WEALTH The Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) has two main objectives. First, it reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy, and places these in a longer term and global context. Based on these developments, and on policy changes over the period, the IEQ regularly updates the outlook for Indonesia's economy and social welfare. Second, the IEQ provides a more in-depth examination of selected economic and policy issues, and analysis of Indonesia s medium-term development challenges. It is intended for a wide audience, including policymakers, business leaders, financial market participants, and the community of analysts and professionals engaged in Indonesia's evolving economy. As Indonesians await the results of a presidential election on July 9, 2014 and plan for the upcoming inauguration of a new president in October, they face hard policy choices. The past decade of solid growth has contributed to considerable development progress. Indonesia now has the world's tenth largest economy in purchasing power parity-adjusted terms; however, there remains a clear risk that the recent moderation in economic growth could intensify. Against a backdrop of weakening revenue growth and rising energy subsidy spending, this would further constrain development expenditures in critical areas such as infrastructure, social protection and health. The new government will face an evolving global environment, which is expected to pick up speed later this year. The price of Indonesia's top six exports, accounting for 50 percent of total export revenues, continues to soften, falling by 8.6 percent in 2014 through June, led by coal (down 15.2 percent). The recent volatility of oil prices, due in part to the turmoil in Iraq, highlights the ongoing vulnerability of Indonesia's fiscal position to higher international oil prices. Real GDP growth in Indonesia moderated to 5.2 percent year-on-year and 4.3 percent quarter-on-quarter at a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate in the first quarter of 2014. Safeguarding hard-fought poverty reduction and social protection progress in Indonesia also calls for enhancing the management of disaster risks. This edition of the IEQ examines one such disaster risk: forest and land fires. 2014-12-18T21:15:39Z 2014-12-18T21:15:39Z 2014-07 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/07/20340004/indonesia-economic-quarterly-hard-choices-july-2014 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20805 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling East Asia and Pacific Indonesia