Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?

This paper explores the conditions under which public spending could minimize violent conflict related to oil wealth. Previous work suggests that oil can lead to violent conflict because it increases the value of the state as a prize or because it...

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Main Authors: Singh, Raju Jan, Bodea, Cristina, Higashijima, Masaaki
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
IMF
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/11/20366887/oil-civil-conflict-can-public-spending-mitigation-effect-oil-civil-conflict-can-public-spending-mitigation-effect
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20607
id okr-10986-20607
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ADEQUATE EDUCATION
ADULT LITERACY
ARMED CONFLICT
ARMED FORCE
ARMED FORCES
ARMS
BASIC HUMAN NEEDS
BATTLE
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL CONFLICTS
CIVIL LIBERTIES
CIVIL PEACE
CIVIL SERVICE
CIVIL UNREST
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
COERCION
COLD WAR
CONFLICT
CONFLICT MANAGEMENT
CONFLICT PREVENTION
CONFLICT RESEARCH
CONFLICT RESOLUTION
CONFLICT RISK
CONFLICT RISKS
CONFLICTS
COST OF REBELLION
DEATHS
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRACY SCORE
DEPENDENCE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISPUTES
DOMESTIC VIOLENCE
DURATION OF CONFLICT
DURATION OF PEACE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ETHNIC DIVISIONS
ETHNIC GROUP
ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY
ETHNIC POLITICS
FERTILITY
FIGHTING
FOUNDATIONS
GENOCIDE
GOVERNMENT POWER
HEALTH SECTOR
HIGH RISK
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
IMF
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME PER CAPITA
INCREASE IN RISK
INFANT
INFANT MORTALITY
INTERNAL CONFLICT
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION
INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
INTERNATIONAL STUDIES
INTERNATIONAL WAR
INTERPERSONAL SKILLS
INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION
JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION
LACK OF DEMOCRACY
LEVEL OF POVERTY
LIMITED RESOURCES
LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION
LITERACY RATES
LIVING STANDARDS
MATERIAL RESOURCES
MILITARIZATION
MILITARY BUDGETS
MILITARY EXPENDITURE
MILITARY EXPENDITURES
MILITARY FORCES
MILITARY OPPOSITION
MILITARY PERSONNEL
MILITARY REGIMES
MILITARY SPENDING
NATIONAL DEFENSE
NATIONALISM
NATIONS
NATURAL GAS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
OBSERVER
OPPORTUNITY COST
PEACE
PEACE RESEARCH
PENSIONS
PERSONAL ENRICHMENT
POLICE
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL CHANGE
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL LEADERSHIP
POLITICAL OPPOSITION
POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
POLITICAL PROCESS
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL STABILITY
POLITICAL SUPPORT
POLITICAL VIOLENCE
POPULATION SIZE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
POST-CONFLICT
PROGRESS
PUBLIC SERVICE
PUBLIC SERVICES
QUALITY OF LIFE
REBEL
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBEL RECRUITMENT
REBELLION
REBELS
RECONSTRUCTION
RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION
RESOURCE MOBILIZATION
REVOLUTIONS
RISK OF CONFLICT
RISKS OF CONFLICT
RURAL AREAS
SAFETY NETS
SANITATION
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SECURITY FORCES
SERVICE DELIVERY
SOCIAL COHESION
SOCIAL EXPENDITURES
SOCIAL MOBILITY
SOCIAL POLICIES
SOCIAL SECTORS
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL WELFARE
STATE UNIVERSITY
TERRORISM
TOLERANCE
UNEMPLOYMENT
VICTIMS
VIOLENT CONFLICT
VIOLENT CONFLICTS
VIOLENT MEANS
WAR DURATION
WAR ECONOMY
WAR PROJECT
WARFARE
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
YOUNG MALE
YOUNG PEOPLE
YOUNG SOLDIERS
spellingShingle ADEQUATE EDUCATION
ADULT LITERACY
ARMED CONFLICT
ARMED FORCE
ARMED FORCES
ARMS
BASIC HUMAN NEEDS
BATTLE
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL CONFLICTS
CIVIL LIBERTIES
CIVIL PEACE
CIVIL SERVICE
CIVIL UNREST
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
COERCION
COLD WAR
CONFLICT
CONFLICT MANAGEMENT
CONFLICT PREVENTION
CONFLICT RESEARCH
CONFLICT RESOLUTION
CONFLICT RISK
CONFLICT RISKS
CONFLICTS
COST OF REBELLION
DEATHS
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRACY SCORE
DEPENDENCE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISPUTES
DOMESTIC VIOLENCE
DURATION OF CONFLICT
DURATION OF PEACE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ETHNIC DIVISIONS
ETHNIC GROUP
ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY
ETHNIC POLITICS
FERTILITY
FIGHTING
FOUNDATIONS
GENOCIDE
GOVERNMENT POWER
HEALTH SECTOR
HIGH RISK
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
IMF
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME PER CAPITA
INCREASE IN RISK
INFANT
INFANT MORTALITY
INTERNAL CONFLICT
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION
INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
INTERNATIONAL STUDIES
INTERNATIONAL WAR
INTERPERSONAL SKILLS
INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION
JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION
LACK OF DEMOCRACY
LEVEL OF POVERTY
LIMITED RESOURCES
LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION
LITERACY RATES
LIVING STANDARDS
MATERIAL RESOURCES
MILITARIZATION
MILITARY BUDGETS
MILITARY EXPENDITURE
MILITARY EXPENDITURES
MILITARY FORCES
MILITARY OPPOSITION
MILITARY PERSONNEL
MILITARY REGIMES
MILITARY SPENDING
NATIONAL DEFENSE
NATIONALISM
NATIONS
NATURAL GAS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
OBSERVER
OPPORTUNITY COST
PEACE
PEACE RESEARCH
PENSIONS
PERSONAL ENRICHMENT
POLICE
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL CHANGE
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL LEADERSHIP
POLITICAL OPPOSITION
POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
POLITICAL PROCESS
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL STABILITY
POLITICAL SUPPORT
POLITICAL VIOLENCE
POPULATION SIZE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
POST-CONFLICT
PROGRESS
PUBLIC SERVICE
PUBLIC SERVICES
QUALITY OF LIFE
REBEL
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBEL RECRUITMENT
REBELLION
REBELS
RECONSTRUCTION
RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION
RESOURCE MOBILIZATION
REVOLUTIONS
RISK OF CONFLICT
RISKS OF CONFLICT
RURAL AREAS
SAFETY NETS
SANITATION
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SECURITY FORCES
SERVICE DELIVERY
SOCIAL COHESION
SOCIAL EXPENDITURES
SOCIAL MOBILITY
SOCIAL POLICIES
SOCIAL SECTORS
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL WELFARE
STATE UNIVERSITY
TERRORISM
TOLERANCE
UNEMPLOYMENT
VICTIMS
VIOLENT CONFLICT
VIOLENT CONFLICTS
VIOLENT MEANS
WAR DURATION
WAR ECONOMY
WAR PROJECT
WARFARE
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
YOUNG MALE
YOUNG PEOPLE
YOUNG SOLDIERS
Singh, Raju Jan
Bodea, Cristina
Higashijima, Masaaki
Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Haiti
relation Policy Research working paper;no. WPS 7100
description This paper explores the conditions under which public spending could minimize violent conflict related to oil wealth. Previous work suggests that oil can lead to violent conflict because it increases the value of the state as a prize or because it undermines the state's bureaucratic penetration. Yet, little has been said on how oil wealth could be used to prevent the onset of violent conflict through public spending by buying off citizens and elites, increasing state legitimacy by providing basic services, or strengthening the military and security apparatus. The empirical analysis (148 countries over 1960-2009) shows that higher levels of military spending are associated with lower risk of small- and large-scale conflict onset in countries rich in oil and gas. By contrast, in economies with little natural resources, increases in military spending are associated with a higher risk of conflict. Welfare expenditure is associated with lower risk of small-scale conflict, irrespective of the level of oil revenue. However, general government spending does not appear to have any robust mitigating effects.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Singh, Raju Jan
Bodea, Cristina
Higashijima, Masaaki
author_facet Singh, Raju Jan
Bodea, Cristina
Higashijima, Masaaki
author_sort Singh, Raju Jan
title Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?
title_short Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?
title_full Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?
title_fullStr Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?
title_full_unstemmed Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?
title_sort oil and civil conflict : can public spending have a mitigation effect?
publisher World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/11/20366887/oil-civil-conflict-can-public-spending-mitigation-effect-oil-civil-conflict-can-public-spending-mitigation-effect
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20607
_version_ 1764446885961007104
spelling okr-10986-206072021-04-23T14:03:59Z Oil and Civil Conflict : Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect? Singh, Raju Jan Bodea, Cristina Higashijima, Masaaki ADEQUATE EDUCATION ADULT LITERACY ARMED CONFLICT ARMED FORCE ARMED FORCES ARMS BASIC HUMAN NEEDS BATTLE CITIZEN CITIZENS CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL CONFLICTS CIVIL LIBERTIES CIVIL PEACE CIVIL SERVICE CIVIL UNREST CIVIL WAR CIVIL WARS COERCION COLD WAR CONFLICT CONFLICT MANAGEMENT CONFLICT PREVENTION CONFLICT RESEARCH CONFLICT RESOLUTION CONFLICT RISK CONFLICT RISKS CONFLICTS COST OF REBELLION DEATHS DEMOCRACY DEMOCRACY SCORE DEPENDENCE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DISPUTES DOMESTIC VIOLENCE DURATION OF CONFLICT DURATION OF PEACE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ENERGY CONSUMPTION ETHNIC DIVISIONS ETHNIC GROUP ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY ETHNIC POLITICS FERTILITY FIGHTING FOUNDATIONS GENOCIDE GOVERNMENT POWER HEALTH SECTOR HIGH RISK HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION IMF INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME PER CAPITA INCREASE IN RISK INFANT INFANT MORTALITY INTERNAL CONFLICT INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION INTERNATIONAL SECURITY INTERNATIONAL STUDIES INTERNATIONAL WAR INTERPERSONAL SKILLS INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION LACK OF DEMOCRACY LEVEL OF POVERTY LIMITED RESOURCES LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION LITERACY RATES LIVING STANDARDS MATERIAL RESOURCES MILITARIZATION MILITARY BUDGETS MILITARY EXPENDITURE MILITARY EXPENDITURES MILITARY FORCES MILITARY OPPOSITION MILITARY PERSONNEL MILITARY REGIMES MILITARY SPENDING NATIONAL DEFENSE NATIONALISM NATIONS NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES OBSERVER OPPORTUNITY COST PEACE PEACE RESEARCH PENSIONS PERSONAL ENRICHMENT POLICE POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL CHANGE POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL LEADERSHIP POLITICAL OPPOSITION POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POLITICAL PROCESS POLITICAL RIGHTS POLITICAL STABILITY POLITICAL SUPPORT POLITICAL VIOLENCE POPULATION SIZE POPULOUS COUNTRIES POST-CONFLICT PROGRESS PUBLIC SERVICE PUBLIC SERVICES QUALITY OF LIFE REBEL REBEL GROUP REBEL GROUPS REBEL RECRUITMENT REBELLION REBELS RECONSTRUCTION RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION RESOURCE MOBILIZATION REVOLUTIONS RISK OF CONFLICT RISKS OF CONFLICT RURAL AREAS SAFETY NETS SANITATION SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITY FORCES SERVICE DELIVERY SOCIAL COHESION SOCIAL EXPENDITURES SOCIAL MOBILITY SOCIAL POLICIES SOCIAL SECTORS SOCIAL SECURITY SOCIAL WELFARE STATE UNIVERSITY TERRORISM TOLERANCE UNEMPLOYMENT VICTIMS VIOLENT CONFLICT VIOLENT CONFLICTS VIOLENT MEANS WAR DURATION WAR ECONOMY WAR PROJECT WARFARE WORLD DEVELOPMENT YOUNG MALE YOUNG PEOPLE YOUNG SOLDIERS This paper explores the conditions under which public spending could minimize violent conflict related to oil wealth. Previous work suggests that oil can lead to violent conflict because it increases the value of the state as a prize or because it undermines the state's bureaucratic penetration. Yet, little has been said on how oil wealth could be used to prevent the onset of violent conflict through public spending by buying off citizens and elites, increasing state legitimacy by providing basic services, or strengthening the military and security apparatus. The empirical analysis (148 countries over 1960-2009) shows that higher levels of military spending are associated with lower risk of small- and large-scale conflict onset in countries rich in oil and gas. By contrast, in economies with little natural resources, increases in military spending are associated with a higher risk of conflict. Welfare expenditure is associated with lower risk of small-scale conflict, irrespective of the level of oil revenue. However, general government spending does not appear to have any robust mitigating effects. 2014-12-03T14:50:07Z 2014-12-03T14:50:07Z 2014-11 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/11/20366887/oil-civil-conflict-can-public-spending-mitigation-effect-oil-civil-conflict-can-public-spending-mitigation-effect http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20607 English en_US Policy Research working paper;no. WPS 7100 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Haiti