Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead

Compared with the past three years, 2014 seems hopeful and 2015 can be a turning point for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. After a slowdown in 2013, recovery in high income economies is expected to boost global growth to 3.2 percent...

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Main Author: Mottaghi, Lili
Format: Brief
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/04/20144323/harnessing-global-recovery-tough-road-ahead
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20548
id okr-10986-20548
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-205482021-04-23T14:03:56Z Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead Mottaghi, Lili AVERAGE INCOMES BUDGET DEFICIT BUDGET DEFICITS CASH TRANSFERS COMMODITY CREDIT GROWTH DEBT DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING REGIONS DIVERSIFICATION DOMESTIC SECURITY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC SHOCKS EXPORTS EXTERNAL FINANCING EXTERNAL SHOCKS EXTREME POVERTY FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FLOW OF FUNDS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOSTER COMPETITION GINI COEFFICIENT GLOBAL OUTPUT GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HOLDING INCOME INCOME GROWTH INCOME INEQUALITY INFLATION RATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INTANGIBLE LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKETS LOW INFLATION NATURAL CAPITAL OIL EXPORTERS OIL PRICE OIL PRICES POVERTY LINE POVERTY RATE PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC SECTOR RAPID GROWTH REAL GDP REDUCTION IN POVERTY REGIONAL GROWTH REGIONAL GROWTH RATES REGIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT REMITTANCES RESERVES RICH COUNTRIES SAFEGUARDS SAVINGS SECTOR ACTIVITY STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS SUSTAINABLE GROWTH TRADING TRANSITION COUNTRIES UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE VOLATILITY WAGES WEALTH Compared with the past three years, 2014 seems hopeful and 2015 can be a turning point for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. After a slowdown in 2013, recovery in high income economies is expected to boost global growth to 3.2 percent in 2014, an increase of 0.8 percent from 2013. Global output is to improve further in 2015 with real gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3.4 percent. In addition to growth expansion in the United States, the United Kingdom, as well modest recovery in the Euro zone countries, global growth will continue to be driven by growth in developing countries, expected to be between 5.3 to 5.5 percent in 2014 and 2015 respectively, led by China and India. Higher global demand is expected to boost MENA energy and manufactured exports in countries that have trade linkages with high-income countries. MENA countries share many structural problems that have prevented economies from moving to a higher, sustainable growth path. Fiscal spending in almost all MENA countries is dominated by a large civil-service wage bill and general subsidies. The global recovery remains fragile and downside risks, including continued low inflation in high-income economies, can weaken demand and delay economic recovery. 2014-11-19T16:19:22Z 2014-11-19T16:19:22Z 2014-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/04/20144323/harnessing-global-recovery-tough-road-ahead http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20548 English en_US MENA knowledge and learning quick notes series;no. 122 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Brief Publications & Research Middle East and North Africa North Africa Middle East
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AVERAGE INCOMES
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET DEFICITS
CASH TRANSFERS
COMMODITY
CREDIT GROWTH
DEBT
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING REGIONS
DIVERSIFICATION
DOMESTIC SECURITY
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
EXTREME POVERTY
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FLOW OF FUNDS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOSTER COMPETITION
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL OUTPUT
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDING
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INFLATION RATE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INTANGIBLE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKETS
LOW INFLATION
NATURAL CAPITAL
OIL EXPORTERS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY RATE
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC SECTOR
RAPID GROWTH
REAL GDP
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
REGIONAL GROWTH
REGIONAL GROWTH RATES
REGIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT
REMITTANCES
RESERVES
RICH COUNTRIES
SAFEGUARDS
SAVINGS
SECTOR ACTIVITY
STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TRADING
TRANSITION COUNTRIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WEALTH
spellingShingle AVERAGE INCOMES
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET DEFICITS
CASH TRANSFERS
COMMODITY
CREDIT GROWTH
DEBT
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING REGIONS
DIVERSIFICATION
DOMESTIC SECURITY
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
EXTREME POVERTY
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FLOW OF FUNDS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOSTER COMPETITION
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL OUTPUT
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDING
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INFLATION RATE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INTANGIBLE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKETS
LOW INFLATION
NATURAL CAPITAL
OIL EXPORTERS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY RATE
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC SECTOR
RAPID GROWTH
REAL GDP
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
REGIONAL GROWTH
REGIONAL GROWTH RATES
REGIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT
REMITTANCES
RESERVES
RICH COUNTRIES
SAFEGUARDS
SAVINGS
SECTOR ACTIVITY
STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
TRADING
TRANSITION COUNTRIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WEALTH
Mottaghi, Lili
Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
North Africa
Middle East
relation MENA knowledge and learning quick notes series;no. 122
description Compared with the past three years, 2014 seems hopeful and 2015 can be a turning point for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. After a slowdown in 2013, recovery in high income economies is expected to boost global growth to 3.2 percent in 2014, an increase of 0.8 percent from 2013. Global output is to improve further in 2015 with real gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3.4 percent. In addition to growth expansion in the United States, the United Kingdom, as well modest recovery in the Euro zone countries, global growth will continue to be driven by growth in developing countries, expected to be between 5.3 to 5.5 percent in 2014 and 2015 respectively, led by China and India. Higher global demand is expected to boost MENA energy and manufactured exports in countries that have trade linkages with high-income countries. MENA countries share many structural problems that have prevented economies from moving to a higher, sustainable growth path. Fiscal spending in almost all MENA countries is dominated by a large civil-service wage bill and general subsidies. The global recovery remains fragile and downside risks, including continued low inflation in high-income economies, can weaken demand and delay economic recovery.
format Publications & Research :: Brief
author Mottaghi, Lili
author_facet Mottaghi, Lili
author_sort Mottaghi, Lili
title Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead
title_short Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead
title_full Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead
title_fullStr Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead
title_full_unstemmed Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead
title_sort harnessing the global recovery : a tough road ahead
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/04/20144323/harnessing-global-recovery-tough-road-ahead
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20548
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