Harnessing the Global Recovery : A Tough Road Ahead
Compared with the past three years, 2014 seems hopeful and 2015 can be a turning point for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. After a slowdown in 2013, recovery in high income economies is expected to boost global growth to 3.2 percent...
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Format: | Brief |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/04/20144323/harnessing-global-recovery-tough-road-ahead http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20548 |
Summary: | Compared with the past three years, 2014
seems hopeful and 2015 can be a turning point for Middle
East and North Africa (MENA) countries. After a slowdown in
2013, recovery in high income economies is expected to boost
global growth to 3.2 percent in 2014, an increase of 0.8
percent from 2013. Global output is to improve further in
2015 with real gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3.4
percent. In addition to growth expansion in the United
States, the United Kingdom, as well modest recovery in the
Euro zone countries, global growth will continue to be
driven by growth in developing countries, expected to be
between 5.3 to 5.5 percent in 2014 and 2015 respectively,
led by China and India. Higher global demand is expected to
boost MENA energy and manufactured exports in countries that
have trade linkages with high-income countries. MENA
countries share many structural problems that have prevented
economies from moving to a higher, sustainable growth path.
Fiscal spending in almost all MENA countries is dominated by
a large civil-service wage bill and general subsidies. The
global recovery remains fragile and downside risks,
including continued low inflation in high-income economies,
can weaken demand and delay economic recovery. |
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